Abstract
In this chapter the ‘Reference Scenario Ageing’ is discussed. A reference scenario serves as a background against which one or more other scenarios can be viewed. A reference scenario can assume the form of a trend scenario. In this instance, existing development trends are extrapolated into the future. A reference scenario can also consist of a null scenario. In this case, one or more components are assumed to remain permanently or temporarily unchanged. 1)
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© 1987 Bohn, Scheltema & Holkema bv, Utrecht
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Hollander, C.F., Becker, H.A. (1987). Scenario A: The reference scenario. In: Hollander, C.F., Becker, H.A. (eds) Growing Old in the Future. Scenario-report, commissioned by the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3309-5_3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3309-5_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-0-89838-869-5
Online ISBN: 978-94-009-3309-5
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive