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Abstract

In this section we describe the most important characteristics of Ecuadorian highland climate and construct plausible scenarios of short-term climatic variability and long-term climatic change for the central highlands. These scenarios will then be used in subsequent sections of this case study to estimate (a) the effects of climatic variability on barley yields (Section 4), and on crop zones (Section 6), and (b) the possible effects of long-term climatic changes on ecological zones (Section 7). We will be focusing here on variations in precipitation. Variability of temperature and frost risk will be discussed in more detail in Section 5.

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© 1988 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and United Nations Environment Programme

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Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R., Konijn, N.T. (1988). Selection of the Climatic Scenarios. In: Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R., Konijn, N.T. (eds) The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2965-4_17

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2965-4_17

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-7832-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-009-2965-4

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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