Abstract
This section describes the range of climatic variations observed in Japan in recent history, and the scale of the changes that may accompany future increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide. The description provides a basis for the characterization of three types of climatic scenario that will subsequently be used to estimate the potential impact of climatic variations on rice yield and rice production in Japan:
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(1)
The weather in extreme individual years selected from historical records of agroclimatic conditions.
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(2)
The climate during anomalous sequences of years, also determined from historical records.
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(3)
A simulated climate under doubled concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide based on estimations from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) general circulation model.
Finally in this section, the patterns of climatic change implied in the scenarios for the Japan region are examined in relation to the synoptic climatological features that might explain them.
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© 1988 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and United Nations Environment Program
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Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R., Konijn, N.T. (1988). Development of the Climatic Scenarios. In: Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R., Konijn, N.T. (eds) The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2943-2_29
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2943-2_29
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-277-2701-5
Online ISBN: 978-94-009-2943-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive