Abstract
The following paper consists of two parts. In the first it is argued that Bruno de Finetti’s theory of subjective probability provides a partial resolution of Hume’s problem of induction, if that problem is cast in a certain way. De Finetti’s solution depends in a crucial way, however, on a symmetry assumption — exchangeability — and in the second half of the paper the broader question of the use of symmetry arguments in probability is analyzed. The problems and difficulties that can arise are explicated through historical examples which illustrate how symmetry arguments have played a important role in probability theory throughout its development. In a concluding section the proper role of such arguments is discussed.
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Zabell, S.L. (1988). Symmetry and Its Discontents. In: Skyrms, B., Harper, W.L. (eds) Causation, Chance and Credence. The University of Western Ontario Series in Philosophy of Science, vol 41. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2863-3_10
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2863-3_10
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