Abstract
What happens when research findings seem to disconfirm one’s belief or hypothesis? Our story in this chapter concentrates mainly on the 1984 controversy over poverty statistics in Israel. To better appreciate the role of politics in knowing, in constructing the factual foundations of public policy, I first introduce the question of ‘what happens when hostile data threatens one’s hypothesis’ in the context of science. This allows me to discern more clearly the “net” play of politics.
“And how many divisions did you say the Pope had available for combat duty?” (Joseph Stalin)
“If at some point democracy historically has been interpreted to be a device to bring reason to bear on policy, it is at other points a device to frustrate it — to make sure that no small group, not even one that may think it knows what needs be done, can achieve a greatly disproportionate influence on policy.” (Lindblom and Cohen, 1979, p. 70)
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Notes
In 1963 a committee was appointed by the Minister of Weifare to determine Standards for the measurement of poverty in Israel. This committee produced hostile data: the poverty line it suggested (calculated as the cost of a food basket plus some 200%) was twice as high as income maintenance allowances. The committee was dispersed, before it had submitted its final report.
State of Israel, National Institute of Insurance, Annual Survey 1981, Jerusalem, 1983.
State of Israel, Ministry of Labor and Weifare, “The Response of the Deputy Minister on the Subject of Poverty Line”, (undated).
State of Israel, Ministry of Finance, “Poverty in Israel”, a press release (undated).
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© 1990 Springer Science+Business Media New York
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Dery, D. (1990). Poverty Data in Politics. In: Data and Policy Change. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2187-0_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2187-0_5
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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