Skip to main content

Presuppositions and the Normative Content of Probability Statements

  • Chapter
The Philosophy of Logical Mechanism

Part of the book series: Synthese Library ((SYLI,volume 206))

  • 121 Accesses

Abstract

Arthur W. Burks has argued with care and in detail for a theory of ampliative inference with a number of important and unique features. The outcome of his work in this area is contained in Chance, Cause, Reason (1977). Central to his system is his concept of inductive probability. His analysis of this concept has been strongly influenced by C. S. Peirce’s pragmatic theory of meaning. According to this theory we should equate the meaning of a statement with “the set of those practical conditionals that are logically implied by the statement” (p. 167). This can not be applied directly to probability statements; since the practical consequences of scientific statements must so often be expressed in terms of probability. So as to develop a satisfactory pragmatic theory of probability, Burks relates inductive probability on the one hand to a Calculus of Choice and on the other to empirical probability and causation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Burks, Arthur W.: 1943, ‘Peirce’s conception of logic as a normative science’, Philosophical Review, LII, pp. 187–193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burks, Arthur W.: 1963, ‘On the significance of Carnap’s system of inductive logic for the philosophy of induction’, pp. 739–759 in Shillp (1963).

    Google Scholar 

  • Burks, Arthur W.: 1977, Chance, Cause, Reason, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carnap, Rudolf: 1950, Logical Foundations of Probability, Routledge and Kegan Paul, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carnap, Rudolf: 1952, The Continuum of Inductive Methods, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carnap, Rudolf: 1963, ‘Replies and systematic expositions’ pp. 859–1013 in Schlipp (1963).

    Google Scholar 

  • Clendinnen, F. John: 1977, ‘Inference, practice and theory’ Synthese, 34, pp. 89–132.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clendinnen, F. John: 1982, ‘Rational expectation and simplicity’ in McLaughlin (1982) pp. 1–25.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colodny, Robert G.: 1966, Mind and Cosmos, University of Pittsburgh Press, Pittsburgh.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goodman, Nelson: 1965, Fact, Fiction and Forecast, (Bobbs-Merril Co., Indianapolis(First edition 1955).

    Google Scholar 

  • McLaughlin, R.(ed.): 1982, What? Where? When? Why?, D. Reidel, Dordrecht.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reichenbach, H.: 1949, The Theory of Probability, University of California Press, Berkeley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Salmon, Wesley, C: 1966, ‘The foundation of scientifc inference’, pp. 135–275 in Colodny (1966).

    Google Scholar 

  • Schillp, P. A.: 1963, The Philosophy of Rudolf Carnap, Open Court, La Salle.

    Google Scholar 

  • Searle, John R.: 1970, Speech Acts, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Strawson, P. F.: 1952, Introduction to Logical Theory, Methuén, London.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1990 Kluwer Academic Publishers

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Clendinnen, F.J. (1990). Presuppositions and the Normative Content of Probability Statements. In: Salmon, M.H. (eds) The Philosophy of Logical Mechanism. Synthese Library, vol 206. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0987-8_12

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0987-8_12

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-6933-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-009-0987-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics