Abstract
Study of seismicity in the Eastern Mediterranean region shows that analysis of long-term observations provides a more sound basis for seismic hazard assessment and prediction than statistics based on recent events. Slip rates for plate movement along major boundary faults are only partly accounted for by seismic motions of modern events, and areas presently thought to be asesimic are more probably merely quiescent. Study of historical and archaeological data are valuable, in many cases confirming the seismicity derived from 20th-century data but also indicating other areas of potential seismicity. The magnitude of early earthquakes can be assessed from the intensity distribution and reported fault displacement, leading to enhanced data for parameters for the design of earthquake-resistant structures.
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© 1992 G.J.H. McCall, D.J.C. Laming and S.C. Scott
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Ambraseys, N.N. (1992). Long-term seismic hazard in the Eastern Mediterranean region. In: McCall, G.J.H., Laming, D.J.C., Scott, S.C. (eds) Geohazards. AGID Report Series. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0381-4_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-0381-4_9
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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