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Role of Sea Surface Temperature in Simulation of Arabian Sea Cyclone

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Abstract

It is well established for a long time in literature about the relationship between ocean temperature and tropical cyclone (TC) activities (frequency and intensity). A number of studies confirm that warm local sea surface temperatures (SSTs) (≥ 26°C) are one of the necessary conditions for the formation and intensification of TCs (Palmen, 1948; Gray, 1968, 1979; Emanuel, 1987). Several theoretical and observational studies have been carried out during the last few decades to examine the impact of global warming on the frequency of occurrence and intensification of the TCs worldwide (Emanuel, 1987, 2000; Henderson-Sellers et al., 1998; Levitus et al., 2000; Webster et al., 2005; Ryan et al., 2007; Mohanty et al., 2012; Kishtawal et al., 2012). Past studies suggested that the frequency of occurrence of TCs does not show any notable changes in trends during the warming scenario (Emanuel, 2005); however significant changes in intensification of the TCs are observed over all basins of the world (Emanuel, 2005; Webster et al., 2005). The TC is one of the most devastating phenomena among all the natural hazards worldwide in terms of loss of lives and potential damages of properties. It is well recognized that the variation in the TC activity have large impact to the society especially over the dense population areas. Although the occurrence of TCs over Indian Seas (Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal) is about 7% of the world’s total and the intensity of these cyclones are moderate as compared to typhoons/hurricanes, the Indian Seas cyclone is one of the deadliest phenomena as compared to other basins (Mohanty, 1994; Mandal et al., 2007; Mohanty et al., 2012).

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Correspondence to P. Sinha .

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Sinha, P., Mohanty, U.C., Ali, M.M. (2014). Role of Sea Surface Temperature in Simulation of Arabian Sea Cyclone. In: Mohanty, U.C., Mohapatra, M., Singh, O.P., Bandyopadhyay, B.K., Rathore, L.S. (eds) Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7720-0_29

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