Skip to main content

Climate Change and Forest Values

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Climate Change and United States Forests

Part of the book series: Advances in Global Change Research ((AGLO,volume 57))

Abstract

Interactions between changes in biophysical environments (climate, disturbance, and ecological function) and human responses to those changes (management and policy) will determine the effects of climate change on human communities. Effects of climate change on forests could result in a ripple effect of policy and economic response on economic sectors and human communities. The United States produces more timber than any other nation, and although timber volume nearly doubled between 1945 and the late 1980s, production since then has declined. Per capita consumption of wood products has declined since the late 1980s, but population growth has continued to increase consumption to 0.57 billion m3 in the 2000s. Increased production will be concentrated on a smaller land base with a projected net loss of 9.3 million ha of forest land in the United States over the next 50 years, mostly on private lands subject to urbanization. In natural resource-based communities, socioeconomic relationships based on commodities (e.g., timber) or amenities (e.g., recreation) will be disproportionately affected by climate-forest interactions. Anticipated climate changes, coupled with population growth, strongly increase the value of urban trees in providing ecosystem services and for mitigating climate change impacts at fine scales. Policies targeting climate mitigation directly influence forest extent and use, and responses may include more harvesting (a result of new product markets such as biofuels) and altered forest management (responding to demands for forest-based C storage). Preparation for future climate stresses in rural, urban, and wildland-urban interface communities will be enhanced by ensuring that present-day communities have diverse economies and are capable of adapting to change.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Alig, R. J., Plantinga, A. J., Ahn, S., & Kline, J. D. (2003). Land use changes involving forestry in the United States: 1952 to 1997, with projections to 2050 (Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-587, 92pp). Portland: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brauman, K. A., Dailey, G. C., Duartel, T. K., & Mooney, H. A. (2007). The nature and value of ecosystem services: An overview highlighting hydrologic services. Annual Review of Environmental Resources, 32, 67–98.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brooks, N. (2003). Vulnerability, risk and adaptation: A conceptual framework (Working Paper 38, 16pp). Norwich: University of East Anglia, School of Environmental Sciences, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.

    Google Scholar 

  • Butler, B. J. (2008). Family forest owners of the United States, 2006 (Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-27, 73pp). Newtown Square: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Butler, B. J., Tyrrell, M., Feinberg, G., et al. (2007). Understanding and reaching family forest owners: Lessons from social marketing research. Journal of Forestry, 105, 348–357.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cohen, J. D. (2000). Preventing disaster: Home ignitability in the wildland-urban interface. Journal of Forestry, 98, 15–21.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cova, T. J., Drews, F. A., Siebeneck, L. K., & Musters, A. (2009). Protective actions in wildfires: Evacuate or shelter-in-place? Natural Hazards Review, 10, 151–162.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Curry, R., Eichman, C., Staudt, A., et al. (2011). Facing the storm: Indian tribes, climate-induced weather extremes, and the future for Indian country (28pp). Boulder: National Wildlife Federation, Rocky Mountain Regional Center.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, D. J., Williamson, T., & Parkins, J. (2003). Understanding climate change risk and vulnerability in Northern forest-based communities. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 33, 2252–2261.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dimitri, C., Effland, A., & Conklin, N. (2005). The 20th-century transformation of U.S. agriculture and farm policy (Economic Information Bulletin Number EIB3, 17pp). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fall, S., Niyogi, D., Gluhovsky, A., et al. (2009). Impacts of land use land cover on temperature trends over the continental United States: Assessment using the North American regional reanalysis. International Journal of Climatology, 30, 1980–1993.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Food, Conservation, and Energy Act. (2008). Public Law 110–234. Washington, DC: V.S. Government.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gimmi, U., Schmidt, S. M., Hawbaker, T. J., et al. (2011). Decreasing effectiveness of protected areas due to increasing development in the surroundings of U.S. National Park Service holdings after park establishment. Journal of Environmental Management, 92, 229–239.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, J., Berry, J., Ferrucci, M., et al. (2003). An assessment of Indian forests and forest management in the United States: By the Second Indian Forest Management Assessment Team for the Intertribal Timber Council (134pp). Portland: Clear Water Printing.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenwalt, T., & McGrath, D. (2009). Protecting the city’s water: Designing a payment for ecosystem services program. Natural Resources and Environment, 24, 9–13.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hammer, R. B., Stewart, S. I., & Radeloff, V. C. (2009). Demographic trends, the wildland-urban interface, and wildfire management. Society and Natural Resources, 22, 777–782.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haque, C. E., & Etkin, D. (2007). People and community as constituent parts of hazards: The significance of societal dimensions in hazards analysis. Natural Hazards, 41, 271–282.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heisler, G. M. (1986). Energy savings with trees. Journal of Arboriculture, 12, 113–125.

    Google Scholar 

  • Howard, J. L., Westby, R., & Skog, K. E. (2010a). Criterion 6 indicator 25: Value and volume of wood and wood products production, including primary and secondary processing (Res. Note FPL-RN-0316, 14pp). Madison: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Products Laboratory.

    Google Scholar 

  • Howard, J. L., Westby, R., & Skog, K. E. (2010b). Criterion 6 indicator 28: Total and per capita consumption of wood and wood products in roundwood equivalents (Res. Note FPL-RN-0317, 20pp). Madison: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Products Laboratory.

    Google Scholar 

  • Indian Forest Management Assessment Team [IFMAT]. (2003). An assessment of Indian forests and forest management in the United States (134pp). Portland: Intertribal Timber Council.

    Google Scholar 

  • Iverson, L. R., & Prasad, A. M. (2001). Potential changes in tree species richness and forest community types following climate change. Ecosystems, 4, 186–199.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Karl, T. R., Melillo, J. M., Peterson, T. C. (Eds.). (2009). Global climate change impacts in the United States (196pp). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly, P. M., & Adger, W. N. (2000). Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation. Climatic Change, 47, 325–352.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krutilla, J., & Haigh, J. A. (1978). An integrated approach to National Forest management. Environmental Law, 8, 373–415.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lal, P., Alavalapati, J., & Mercer, D. E. (2010). Socioeconomic impacts of climate change on rural communities in the United States. In R. J. Alig (Tech. Coord.), Effects of climate change on natural resources and communities: A compendium of briefing papers (Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-837, pp. 73–118). Portland: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. Chapter 3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Larsen, S. C., Foulkes, M., Sorenson, C. J., & Thomas, A. (2011). Environmental learning and the social construction of an exurban landscape in Fremont County, Colorado. Geoforum, 42, 83–93.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lynn, K., & Gerlitz W. (2006). Mapping the relationship between wildfire and poverty. In P. L. Andrews & B.W. Butler (Comps.), Fuels management—How to measure success (Proceedings RMRS-P-41, pp. 401–415). Fort Collins: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lynn, K., MacKendrick, K., & Donoghue, E. M. (2011). Social vulnerability and climate change: Synthesis of literature (Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-838, 70pp). Portland: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • McCaffrey, S. (2009). Crucial factors influencing public acceptance of fuels treatments. Fire Management Today, 69, 9–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • McKinley, D. C., Ryan, M. G., Birdsey, R. A., et al. (2011). A synthesis of current knowledge on forests and carbon storage in the United States. Ecological Applications, 21, 1902–1924.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendehsohn, R., Basist, A., Dinar, A., et al. (2007). What explains agricultural performance: Climate normals or climate variance? Climatic Change, 81, 85–99.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W. D., & Shaw, D. (1994). The impact of global warming on agriculture: A Ricardian analysis. American Economic Review, 84, 753–771.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Fire Protection Association [NFPA]. (2011). Firewise at NFPA: A brief history. http://www.firewise.org/About/History.aspx. Accessed 10 Jan 2012.

  • Nowak, D. J. (2000). The interactions between urban forests and global climate change. In K. K. Abdollahi, Z. H. Ning, & A. Appeaning (Eds.), Global climate change and the urban forest (pp. 31–44). Baton Rouge: GCRCC and Franklin Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J. (2010). Urban biodiversity and climate change. In N. Muller, P. Werner, & J. G. Kelcey (Eds.), Urban biodiversity and design (pp. 101–117). Hoboken: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., & Greenfield, E. J. (2012a). Tree and impervious cover change in U.S. cities. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening, 11, 21–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., & Greenfield, E. J. (2012b). Tree and impervious cover in the United States. Landscape and Urban Planning, 107, 21–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Greenfield, E. J., Hoehn, R., & La Point, E. (2013). Carbon storage and sequestration by trees in urban and community areas of the United States. Environmental Pollution, 178, 229–236.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., & Walton, T. (2005). Projected urban growth and its estimated impact on the U.S. forest resource (2000–2050). Journal of Forestry, 103, 383–389.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Rowntree, R. A., McPherson, E. G., et al. (1996). Measuring and analyzing urban tree cover. Landscape and Urban Planning, 36, 49–57.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Noble, M. H., Sisinni, S. M., & Dwyer, J. F. (2001). Assessing the US urban forest resource. Journal of Forestry, 99, 37–42.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Crane, D. E., & Dwyer, J. F. (2002a). Compensatory value of urban trees in the United States. Journal of Arboriculture, 28, 194–199.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Stevens, J. C., Sisinni, S. M., & Luley, C. J. (2002b). Effects of urban tree management and species selection on atmospheric carbon dioxide. Journal of Arboriculture, 28, 113–122.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Walton, J. T., Dwyer, J. F., et al. (2005). The increasing influence of urban environments on U.S. forest management. Journal of Forestry, 103, 377–382.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, D. J., Crane, D. E., & Stevens, J. C. (2006). Air pollution removal by urban trees and shrubs in the United States. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening, 4, 115–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pachauri, R. K., & Reisinger, A. (Eds.). 2007. Climate change 2007: Synthesis report (104pp). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pevar, S. L. (1992). The rights of Indians and tribes: The basic ACLU guide to Indian and tribal rights (2nd ed., 315pp). Carbondale: Southern Illinois University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Polsky, C., Neff, R., & Yarnal, B. (2007). Building comparable global change vulnerability assessments: The vulnerability coping diagram. Global Environmental Change, 17, 472–485.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Radeloff, V. C., Hammer, R. B., & Stewart, S. I. (2005). The wildland urban interface in the United States. Ecological Applications, 15, 799–805.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Radeloff, V. C., Stewart, S. I., Hawbaker, T. J., et al. (2010). Housing growth in and near United States’ protected areas limits their conservation value. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 107, 940–945.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Schlenker, W., & Roberts, M. J. (2009). Nonlinear temperature effects indicate sever damages to US crop yields under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 106, 15594–15598.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Shepherd, J. M. (2005). A review of current investigations of urban-induced rainfall and recommendations for the future. Earth Interactions, 9, 1–6.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shepherd, J. M., Pierce, H., & Negri, A. J. (2002). Rainfall modification by major urban areas: Observations from spaceborne rain radar on the TRMM satellite. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 41, 689–701.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slovik, P. (1987). Perception of risk. Science, 236, 280–285.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smit, B., & Wandel, J. (2006). Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, 16, 282–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith, W. B., Miles, P. D., Perry, C. H., & Pugh, S. A. (2009). Forest resources of the United States, 2007 (Gen. Tech. Rep. WO-78, 336pp). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service.

    Google Scholar 

  • Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., et al. (2007). Climate change 2007: The physical science basis—Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (996pp). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Theobald, D. M., & Romme, W. H. (2007). Expansion of the US wildland–urban interface. Landscape and Urban Planning., 83, 340–354.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Census Bureau. (2007). U.S. census data. www.census.gov. Accessed Jan 2007.

  • U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service [USDA ERS]. (2011). Atlas of rural and small-town America. http://www.ers.usda.gov/data/ruralatlas

  • U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service [USDA FS]. (2011). National report on sustainable forests—2010 (FS-979). Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service [USDA FS]. (2012). Future of Americas forest and rangelands: Forest Service 2010 Resources Planning Act assessment (Gen. Tech. Rep. WO-87, 198pp). Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. (2008). Heat island effect. http://www.epa.gov/hiri/. Accessed July 2008.

  • Vose, J. M., Peterson, D. L., & Patel-Weynand, T. (2012). Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. forest sector. (Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-870, 265 pp). Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wade, A. A., & Theobald, D. M. (2010). Residential development encroachment on U.S. protected areas. Conservation Biology, 24, 151–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watson, R. T. (Ed.). (2001). Climate change 2001: Synthesis report (398pp). Cambridge/ New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wear, D. N. (2011). Forecasts of county-level land uses under three future scenarios: A technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment (Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-141, 41pp). Asheville: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wear, D. N., & Greis, J. G. (Eds.). (2011). The Southern forest futures project: Technical report. http://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/futures/reports/draft/pdf/technicalreport.pdf Accessed 27 June 2012.

  • Wear, D. N., & Prestemon, J. (2004). Timber market research, private forests, and policy rhetoric. In M. Rauschner, & K. Johnsen (Eds.), Southern forest science: Past, present and future (Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-75, pp. 289–300). Asheville: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, M. (1989). Americans and their forests: A historical geography (599pp). New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Willkinson, C. F., & Anderson, H. M. (1987). Land and resource planning in the national forests (396pp). Washington, DC: The Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yaffee, S. L. (1994). The wisdom of the spotted owl: policy lessons for a new century (430pp). Washington, DC: Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to David N. Wear .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht (outside the USA)

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Wear, D.N., Joyce, L.A., Butler, B.J., Gaither, C.J., Nowak, D.J., Stewart, S.I. (2014). Climate Change and Forest Values. In: Peterson, D., Vose, J., Patel-Weynand, T. (eds) Climate Change and United States Forests. Advances in Global Change Research, vol 57. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7515-2_5

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics