Skip to main content

The Future of the Middle East

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
A World After Climate Change and Culture-Shift

Abstract

The Middle East is a region of diverse cultures, political systems, economies, historical experiences, and international alliances regardless of the monolithic view of the region from the outside. These differences become real sources of division and conflict within as well as among the nations in the region. The level of economic and social development in the region varies from country to country. The countries have a political geography that is a product of the colonial period, and authoritarian governments that have done little to improve the living standards in the region or develop a just political system. The regimes have tried to isolate their peoples, frame the outside world, and put great pressure on any organized group that has the potential challenge to undermine their position. A number of these countries have some of the most repressive regimes in the world. The uneven distribution of wealth and resources is a major social, political, and economic problem. People in the region want change and began to push for it. However, the Middle East has not been and is not totally isolated. It is part of a global system of markets, media, and migrations. Also, diverse religious, ethnic, and political groups ask for recognition, access to resources, and a fair representation. As a result, things are beginning to change and even more radical changes in social, political, and economic orders are underway in the region.The effects of climate change, such as falling precipitation rates and rising temperatures, may to have dramatic impacts on the life in the Middle East. The region’s water scarcity, along with worsening water quality, rising sea levels, and increasing population, could have important negative impacts on agricultural production, health, and the nature. Thus, adaptive measures need to be taken to deal with the overuse of groundwater, alarming water scarcity, and contamination in the region.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Abramowitz M (2003) The United States and Turkey: allies in need. Century Foundation Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Allan J (2001) The Middle East water question: hydropolitics and the global economy. I.B. Tauris, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Allan J (2003) Virtual water—the water, food, and trade nexus. Useful concept or misleading metaphor? Water Intl 28(1):106–113. doi:10.1080/02508060.2003.9724812

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson-Wilk M (2009) Changing the engines of change: natural resource conservation in the era of social media. J Soil and Water Conserv 64(4):129a–131a

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson B (1991) Imagined communities: reflections on the origin and spread of nationalism. Verso, London. (rev and extended ed)

    Google Scholar 

  • Appadurai A (1998) Modernity at large: cultural dimensions of globalization. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis

    Google Scholar 

  • Arjomand SA (2009) Has Iran’s Islamic revolution ended? Radic Hist Rev (105):132–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arnell NW (1999) Climate change and global water resources. Glob Environ Change 9(Suppl 1):S31–S49

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aslaksen S (2010) Oil and democracy: more than a cross-country correlation? J Peace Res 47(4):421–431

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aydın-Düzgit S (2012) No crisis, no change: the third AKP victory in the June 2011 parliamentary elections in Turkey. South Eur Soc Polit 1–18. doi:10.1080/13608746.2011.640426

    Google Scholar 

  • Bleek PC, Stein A (2012) Turkey and America face Iran. Survival 54(2):27–37

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BP (2012) BP statistical review of world energy. London. http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/Statistical-Review-2012/statistical_review_of_world_energy_2012.pdf

  • Bruckner M, Ciccone A, Tesei A (2012) Oil price shocks, income, and democracy. Rev Econ Stat 94(2):389–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bruni F (2003) Turks and Kurds maintain a mutual suspicion. New York Times, 12 April 2003

    Google Scholar 

  • Buckner E (2011) The role of higher education in the Arab state and society: historical legacies and recent reform patterns. Comp Int High Educ 3:21–26

    Google Scholar 

  • Bush K (2012) Arab spring dreams: the next generation speaks out for freedom and justice from North Africa to Iran. Libr J 137(8):88–88

    Google Scholar 

  • Carpenter H (2011) The networked nonprofit: connecting with social media to drive change. Nonprofit and Volunt Sect Q 40(5):974–976

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Castells M (2002) Local and global: cities in the network society. Tijdschrift Voor Economische En Sociale Geografie 93(5):548–558

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coury RM (2006) The search for Arab democracy: discourses and counterdiscourses. Muslim World 96(2):381–385

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Conway D (1996) The impacts of climate variability and future climate change in the Nile basin on water resources in Egypt. Int J of Water Resour Dev 12(3):277–296. doi:10.1080/07900629650178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cullity J (2003) Television and social change in rural India. J Asian Stud 62(2):665–666

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dalacoura K (2012) The 2011 uprisings in the Arab Middle East: political change and geopolitical implications. Int Aff 88(1):63–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupont C, Passy F (2012) One year later, whither the Arab Spring? Domestic and regional challenges. Swiss Polit Sci Rev 18(1):101–104

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ebrahimpour H, Sepehri MB (2011) Cultural factors and their effect in the use of overseas media: a survey of the audience for satellite TV programs from Turkey and the Republic of Azerbaijan in Iran’s Ardebil Province. 2nd World Conference on Psychology, Counseling and Guidance 2011, 30

    Google Scholar 

  • Economist (2010) Democracy index 2010: democracy in retreat: the economist intelligence unit

    Google Scholar 

  • Ehteshami A, Elik S (2011) Turkey’s growing relations with Iran and Arab Middle East. Turkish Stud 12(4):643–662

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eid H, El-Marsafawy S, Ouda S (2007) Assessing the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Egypt. The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Esarey A (2011) After the Internet, before democracy: competing norms in Chinese media and society. China Q 207:735–737

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evans J (2009) 21st century climate change in the Middle East. Clim Chang 92:417–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evans J (2010) Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation processes in the Middle East. Theor Appl Clim 99(3–4):389–402

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fahmy Z (2010) Media-capitalism: colloquial mass culture and nationalism in Egypt, 1908–18. Int J Middle East Stud 42(1):83–103

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Falah GW (2011) Epilogue: the challenge of keeping non-violent protest non-violent. Arab World Geogr 14(2):9

    Google Scholar 

  • Fox J, James P, Li YT (2009) Religious affinities and international intervention in ethnic conflicts in the Middle East and beyond. Can J Polit Sci 42(1):161–186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Franck G (2003) Mental capitalism (power and freedom in the age of mass media). Merkur-Deutsche Zeitschrift Fur Europaisches Denken 57(1):1–15

    Google Scholar 

  • Gao X, Giorgi F (2008) Increased aridity in the mediterranean region under greenhouse gas forcing estimated from high resolution simulations with a regional climate model. Glob Planet Chang 62(3–4):195–209

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giddens A (2000) Runaway world: how globalisation is reshaping our lives. Routledge, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • GLOWA (2009) Jordan River, phase II final report: an integrated approach to sustainable management of water resources under global change. http://download.glowa-jordan-river.com/GLOWAJR_report_phaseII.pdf

  • Gursoy Y (2011) The impact of EU-driven reforms on the political autonomy of the Turkish military. South Eur Soc Polit 16(2):293–308. http://www.cleaner-production.de/fileadmin/assets/bilder/BMBF-Projekte/01LW0501_-_Abschlussbericht.pdf

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haynes J (2008) Debating Arab authoritarianism: dynamics and durability in nondemocratic regimes. Democratization 15(5):1033–1035

    Google Scholar 

  • Heper M, dot (2005) The justice and development party government and the military in Turkey. Turkish Stud 6(2):215–231

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Himelboim I, Lariscy RW, Tinkham SF, Sweetser KD (2012) Social media and online political communication: the role of interpersonal informational trust and openness. J Broadcast Electron Media 56(1):92–115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Howard PN, Parks MR (2012) Social media and political change: capacity, constraint, and consequence. J Commun 62(2):359–362

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Livingstone R (2011) Media and new capitalism in the digital age: the spirit of networks. Media Cult Soc 33(3):506–508

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lloyd A (2011) The prospect of Internet democracy. New Media Soc 13(5):848–849

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MacKenzie D (2012) The Arab spring runs dry. New Scientist 214(2861):32–33

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mai M (1998) Television as object and moment of social change—factors and consequences of current changes in television. Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie 50(4):785–787

    Google Scholar 

  • Mamadouh V (2011) Forum on the 2011 “Arab Spring”—introduction. The Arab World Geogr 14(2):5

    Google Scholar 

  • McCarthy J (1983) Muslims and minorities: the population of Ottoman Anatolia and the end of the empire. New York University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Nisan M (2002) Minorities in the Middle East: a history of struggle and self-expression, 2nd edn. McFarland & Co, Jefferson

    Google Scholar 

  • Opwis F (2003) Contemporary discussion on Islamic counseling philosophy (Shura) with respect to continuities and discontinuities in the history of ideas. Int J Middle East Stud 35(4):633–635

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ottaway M, Hamzawy A (2011) Protest movements and political change in the Arab world: the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

    Google Scholar 

  • Perthes V (2011) Europe and the Arab Spring. Survival 53(6):73–83

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ross ML (2001) Does oil hinder democracy? World Polit 53(April):36

    Google Scholar 

  • Said EW, Mohr J (1999) After the last sky: Palestinian lives. Columbia University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Saleh N (2012) Digitally enabled social change: activism in the Internet age. Perspect Polit 10(2):514–515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satana NS (2008) Transformation of the Turkish military and the path to democracy. Armed Forces Soc 34(3):357–388

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sánchez E, Gallardo C, Gaertner MA, Arribas A, Castro M (2004) Future climate extreme events in the Mediterranean simulated by a regional climate model: a first approach. Glob Planet Chang 44(1–4):163–180

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Secor A (2011) Turkey’s democracy: a model for the troubled Middle East? Eurasian Geogr Econ 52(2):157–172

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharbrough C (2012) The Middle East: a guide to politics, economics, society, and culture. Libr J 137(5):136–136

    Google Scholar 

  • Shavit U (2010) Is Shura a Muslim form of democracy? Roots and systemization of a polemic. Middle East Stud 46(3):349–374

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sohrabi N (1995) Historicizing revolutions—constitutional revolutions in the Ottoman-empire, Iran, and Russia, 1905–1908. Am J Sociol 100(6):1383–1447

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sowers J, Vengosh A, Weinthal E (2011) Climate change, water resources, and the politics of adaptation in the Middle East and North Africa. Clim Chang 104(3–4):599–627

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suppan P, Kunstmann H, Heckel A, Rimmer A (2008) Impact of climate change on water availability in the near East. In: Zereini F, Hotzl H (eds) Climate changes and water resources in the Middle East and North Africa. Springer, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  • Spyer J (2008) Israel in the Middle East: threats and countermeasures. Int Relat 22(3):349–352

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taspinar O (2004) Kurdish nationalism and political Islam in Turkey: Kemalist identity in transition. Routledge, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Teti A (2011) Democracy in the Arab world: explaining the deficit. Mediter Polit 16(3):459–462

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tlili M (2001) Arab democracy: a possible dream? World Policy J 18(3):47–48

    Google Scholar 

  • Tosun MS, Yilmaz S (2010). Decentralization, economic development, and growth in Turkish Provinces. Emerg Mark Finan and Trade 46(4):71–91

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tsui KK (2011) More oil, less democracy: evidence from worldwide crude oil discoveries. Econ J 121(551):89–115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tufekci Z, Wilson C (2012) Social media and the decision to participate in political protest: observations from Tahrir square. J Commun 62(2):363–379

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • UNDP (2008) Fighting climate change: human solidarity in a divided world UNDP, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • UNDP (2011) Human Development Report 2011. United Nations Development Programme, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Warf B (2011) Myths, realities, and lessons of the “Arab Spring”. Arab World Geogr 14(2):13

    Google Scholar 

  • Yavuz H (2009) Secularism and Muslim democracy in Turkey. Cambridge University Press, New York

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Yazdani F, Williams C (2010) Aspects of education in the Middle East and North Africa. Educ Rev 62(3):362–363

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Kaya, I., Ari, Y., Yazici, H. (2014). The Future of the Middle East. In: Norwine, J. (eds) A World After Climate Change and Culture-Shift. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7353-0_10

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics