Skip to main content

Identifying Evacuees’ Demand of Tsunami Shelters Using Agent Based Simulation

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research ((NTHR,volume 35))

Abstract

In plain areas prone to tsunami, finding a way to shelter and escape from the inundation becomes a difficult task for residents. The 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami has shown that the horizontal evacuation using cars can compromise the safety of people. Another alternative is the vertical evacuation. In many cases, not only the capacity of these shelters plays an important role, but the spatial distribution and the evacuee preference for the nearest shelter. Such preference and location creates a conflict between capacity offer and demand. In this paper, we used an agent based model to simulate the evacuation of pedestrians and cars in La Punta, Peru. Twenty designated buildings for vertical evacuation are available for sheltering and escape from tsunami. The stochastic simulation of population spatial distribution and their refuge preferences revealed the over demand of some shelters. Finally, a capacity-demand map was created to share results with local authorities as a first step for future countermeasures in the district.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  • Berninghausen WH (1962) Tsunamis reported from the west coast of South America 1562–1960. Bull Seismol Soc Am 52(4):915–921

    Google Scholar 

  • Chlieh M, Perfettini H, Tavera H, Avouac J-P, Remy D, Nocquet J-M, Rolandone F et al (2011) Interseismic coupling and seismic potential along the Central Andes subduction zone. J Geophys Res 116(B12):1–21. doi:10.1029/2010JB008166

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dorbath L (1990) Assessment of the size of large and great historical earthquakes in Peru. Bull Seismol Soc Am 80(3):551–576

    Google Scholar 

  • Imamura F (1995) Review of tsunami simulation with a finite difference method. In: Long-wave runup models, World Scientific, p. 25–42

    Google Scholar 

  • Imamura, F. (1996) Review of tsunami simulation with finite difference method. In: Yeh, H., Liu, P., Synolakis, C. (Eds.), Long-Wave Runup Models, World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore. pp. 25–42

    Google Scholar 

  • INEI (2007) Censos Nacionales 2007. XI de Poblacion y VI de vivienda @online

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuroiwa J (2004) Disaster reduction: living in harmony with nature, 1st edn. Editorial NSG, Lima, Peru

    Google Scholar 

  • Langer CJ, Spence W (1995) The 1974 Peru earthquake series. Bull Seismol Soc Am 85(3):665–687

    Google Scholar 

  • Mas E, Suppasri A, Imamura F, Koshimura S (2012) Agent based simulation of the 2011 great East Japan earthquake tsunami evacuation. An integrated model of tsunami inundation and evacuation. J Nat Disaster Sci 34(1):41–57

    Google Scholar 

  • Mas E, Imamura F, Koshimura S (2013a) Tsunami departure curves for evacuation simulation. A new approach to model the human behavior in tsunami evacuation. (under review)

    Google Scholar 

  • Mas E, Adriano B, Koshimura S (2013b) An integrated simulation of tsunami hazard and human evacuation in La Punta, Peru. Journal of Disaster Research 8(2):285–295

    Google Scholar 

  • Pulido N, Tavera H, Perfettini H, Chlieh M, Aguilar Z, Aoi S, Nakai S et al (2011) Estimation of slip scenarios for megathrust earthquakes: a case study for Peru. 4th IASPEI/IAEE International Symposium, Santa Barbara, pp 1–6

    Google Scholar 

  • Takahashi S, Endoh K, Zen-ichiro M (1992) Experimental study on people’s safety against overtopping waves on breakwaters. Port Harb Res Inst 31-4:3–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Wilensky U (2001) Modeling nature’s emergent patterns with multi-agent languages. EuroLogo, Linz, Austria

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We would like to express our deep appreciation to the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) and JST-JICA (Peru) for the financial support throughout the study. Also, a special thanks to the authorities and residents in La Punta for their participation and insights.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Erick Mas .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Mas, E. et al. (2014). Identifying Evacuees’ Demand of Tsunami Shelters Using Agent Based Simulation. In: Kontar, Y., Santiago-Fandiño, V., Takahashi, T. (eds) Tsunami Events and Lessons Learned. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, vol 35. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7269-4_19

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics