Abstract
Global warming, the overall extraction of minerals and the expansion of cultivated land for biomass harvest are growing globally. These “Big Three” represent key environmental pressures which may lead to a continuous degradation of the living environment, if not controlled at levels with acceptable low risk. The situation is complex, because countries and regions consume products which require resources such as minerals and land in various parts of the world. Nevertheless, it is possible to measure the global resource use which is associated with the domestic consumption. In order to inform policies at the national and supranational level whether it may be necessary to adjust the incentive framework for industry and households, reference data are needed to compare the status quo of their countries with what may be deemed acceptable at a global level. This chapter outlines a rationale for the derivation of possible long-term targets for total material consumption of abiotic materials (TMCabiot) and global land use for crops (GLUcropland). The indicated targets are expressed in tentative per capita values which may serve as a first orientation and basis for further debate and research.
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Notes
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The net effect of consumption can generally be calculated by adding domestic emissions and emissions associated with imports minus exports. Indirect GHG emissions of imports to and exports out of Germany, for instance, have been accounted for by Schoer et al. (2007).
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Decision 1600/2002/EC, O.J. L 242/1 of 19.9.2002.
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§8 (i) (c) of the 6 EAP.
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MOSUS data base established by S. Giljum and colleagues: http://www.materialflows.net (accessed February 17, 2009).
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The order of magnitude might not have decreased since those values have been estimated. 2–5 Mha of global arable land are lost every year to soil erosion (den Biggelaar et al. 2004). According to Lavelle et al. (2005) persistently high rates of erosion affect more than 1.1 billion hectares of land worldwide.
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A recent estimate for 2008 by OECD/FAO (2008) arrives at 64.5 billion litres ethanol and 11.8 billion litres biodiesel, up 22 % from 2007 (by energy content). From 2005 to 2007 (average) to 2008, the share of ethanol in global gasoline type fuel use has increased from 3.78 to 5.46 %, the share of biodiesel in global diesel type fuel use rose from 0.93 to 1.5 % (OECD/FAO 2008).
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TMC = Total Material Consumption, comprises both abiotic and biotic resources.
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From a systems perspective, erosion may be regarded as flow along the system boundary between socio-industrial metabolism and environment; as a consequence, it may be (1) included when environmental pressure through mass translocation also by agriculture shall be accounted for, analogous to translocations in mining (Schmidt-Bleek et al. 1998); or it may be (2) regarded as impact of human activities and excluded from material flow accounts when concentrating on the throughput of industries and directly linked flows like unused extraction (e.g. Eurostat (2001) regards erosion as memory item).
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The development from a phase of physical growth towards a phase of steady stocks may be regarded as essential characteristic of maturation.
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Note that TMC* abiot does not include biomass nor erosion.
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In case the EU would increase its exports (in relation to domestic consumption) in order to supply other regions to a growing extent, the decline of the TMR would be lower than that of the TMC. Any policy target aiming to reduce absolute resource consumption should be oriented towards TMC, whereas targets for resource productivity should be based on TMR (as explained below).
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Note that TMC** includes all primary materials without excavation and erosion.
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The data for 2005 resulted in a global average TMCabiot ** of 18 t/cap (Dittrich, personal communication, September 2009) which is about 25 % higher than the data provided by www.materialflows.net
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Based on FAO (2006). The FAO expects an expansion of 200 million ha by 2030; further expansion was estimated to follow the growth of the world population until 2050.
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For further discussion see also Bringezu and Steger (2005) who state the importance to account for “intensively cultivated land”.
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Using only TMCabiot, without a complementary indicator of biomass-related land use, would be misleading; as long as GLUA data is not available, targets should be based on TMC (including both abiotic and biotic resources), in order to avoid problem shifting towards (enhanced) overuse of biomass.
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Acknowledgments
The author would like to thank Helmut Schütz for data checking and Monika Dittrich for the provision of the TMCabiot ** world map.
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Bringezu, S. (2014). Targets for Global Resource Consumption. In: Angrick, M., Burger, A., Lehmann, H. (eds) Factor X. Eco-Efficiency in Industry and Science, vol 29. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-5706-6_3
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