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An Investigation of Australian OECD PISA Trend Results

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Research on PISA

Abstract

The first three PISA cycles occurred in 2000, 2003 and 2006 with Literacy Scales in Reading, Mathematics and Science. This chapter explores equating-related issues for the Australian data and considers the implications for Australia’s reported results. Previous published PISA results have employed a common reporting scale across the first three cycles for Reading only. Common scales for all three Literacy Scales were constructed in this chapter. In addition, the item parameters estimated here were based on Australian data only rather than using the international item parameters, as is done in PISA. This allows for an examination of the impact of country differential item functioning (DIF) on the Australian results. Australian PISA trends were explored in terms of the overall shape of the estimated performance distributions. Where applicable, comparisons were made with the published results based on international item parameters. While such comparisons showed several similarities, some differences were also found.

Published Australian Reading distributions reported a decline over the first three cycles in the performance of Australian students located at the top end of the distribution. Using Australian data only, a decline between the first two PISA cycles was found, but remarkably in the bottom 15% of the distribution only. Between cycles 2003 and 2006 an almost constant decline across the whole proficiency distribution was found and not a decline that was limited to the top end of the distribution, as published by the media.

Reported PISA results have a high impact on educational policy. The outcomes of trend analyses may alter with different methods. This investigation examines the impact when Australian country specific and when International item parameters are used to estimate the distributions of Australian PISA performance. This is further explored by equating the first three PISA cycles for each literacy scale. The results reported in this chapter highlight some of the potentially important differences that can occur when using different analyses methods.

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Correspondence to Daniel Urbach .

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Urbach, D. (2013). An Investigation of Australian OECD PISA Trend Results. In: Prenzel, M., Kobarg, M., Schöps, K., Rönnebeck, S. (eds) Research on PISA. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-4458-5_10

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