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Using Participatory Scenario Simulation to Plan for Conservation Under Climate Change in the Greater Everglades Landscape

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Restoring Lands - Coordinating Science, Politics and Action

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Abstract

Because changing climate is expected to shift the distribution of suitable areas for many species, it poses a substantial challenge to conventional conservation planning approaches which rely on the establishment of fixed protected areas. Over the next decades, climate change will also cause changes in human settlement patterns and on demands for various ecosystem services. New conservation methods are needed to deal with these complex phenomena. We believe that participatory spatial simulation approaches have much to offer under such circumstances, since they address both institutional and technical planning needs. From an institutional point of view, such exercises engage relevant stakeholders across various agencies and administrative jurisdictions. From a technical point of view, the simulations performed provide actionable information, since they help to prioritize potential conservation actions and generate landscape-scale strategies. This chapter presents a case study applying such an approach to the challenges of conservation planning for the Greater Florida Everglades.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Urban Studies and Planning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Av. Office 9-365, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA

    Juan Carlos Vargas-Moreno & Michael Flaxman

Authors
  1. Juan Carlos Vargas-Moreno
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  2. Michael Flaxman
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Juan Carlos Vargas-Moreno .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. University of New Hampshire, Durham, New, Trapelo Road, Lincoln, 01773, USA

    Herman A. Karl

  2. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, S. Lincoln St 830, Arlington, 22204, Virginia, USA

    Lynn Scarlett

  3. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, C, Chestnut Hill Av 163#306, Brighton, 02135, Massachusetts, USA

    Juan Carlos Vargas-Moreno

  4. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, C, Cambridge, 21039, Massachusetts, USA

    Michael Flaxman

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Vargas-Moreno, J.C., Flaxman, M. (2012). Using Participatory Scenario Simulation to Plan for Conservation Under Climate Change in the Greater Everglades Landscape. In: Karl, H., Scarlett, L., Vargas-Moreno, J., Flaxman, M. (eds) Restoring Lands - Coordinating Science, Politics and Action. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2549-2_3

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