Simulation of Future Land Use for Developing a Regional Spatial Strategy

The Case of the Province of Overijssel
  • Arjen KoekoekEmail author
  • Eric Koomen
  • Willem Loonen
  • Egbert Dijk
Part of the GeoJournal Library book series (GEJL, volume 101)


Many geo-information tools, such as visioning, storytelling, forecasting, analysis, sketching, and evaluation, appear to be rarely used for spatial planning (Vonk, Geertman & Schot, 2005). Progress in the application of such tools beyond basic activities, such as researching spatial queries and generating thematic maps, to help solve key spatial planning problems remains limited (Stillwell, Geertman & Openshaw, 1999; Vonk et al., 2005). Land Use Scanner’s model has the ability to assist in many of these planning-specific tasks. Especially in scenario-based national forecasts of on the future the model, it has proven to be an adequate tool for informing policy-makers on potential future developments (Borsboom-van Beurden et al., 2005) and has provided ex-ante evaluations of policy alternatives (MNP, 2001; Stillwell et al., 1999; Van der Hoeven, Aerts, Van der Klis & Koomen, 2009). More recently, the model has also been used to optimise projected spatial developments according to specific policy objectives (Borsboom-van Beurden, Bakema & Tijbosch, 2007; MNP, 2007). The resulting maps have the potential to inform policy-makers about alternative solutions for current spatial problems (Koomen, 2008). This chapter demonstrates the capacity of Land Use Scanner to generate optimised spatial developments in actual regional planning contexts. Contributing to the policy formulation process by simulating land use on a regional scale in close cooperation with a regional authority is an interesting step forward in the application of land-use models. Thus, in this case Land Use Scanner has traversed the full spectrum, from academic research to actual planning practice. Applying Land Use Scanner on a regional scale has been a tempting idea since the modelling resolution was increased from 500 to 100 m. Before the currently discussed Overijssel study was done, such applications were, however, limited to a single example (Bouwman, Kuiper & Tijbosch, 2006).


Spatial Development Environmental Impact Assessment Sustainability Indicator Strategic Environmental Assessment Sustainability Impact 
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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Arjen Koekoek
    • 1
    Email author
  • Eric Koomen
    • 1
    • 2
  • Willem Loonen
    • 3
  • Egbert Dijk
    • 4
  1. 1.GeodanAmsterdamThe Netherlands
  2. 2.Department of Spatial Economics/SPINlabVU University AmsterdamAmsterdamThe Netherlands
  3. 3.ProRailUtrechtThe Netherlands
  4. 4.Province of OverijsselZwolleThe Netherlands

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