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Land-Use Modelling in Planning Practice pp 191–209Cite as

Developing a New, Market-Based Land-Use Model

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Part of the book series: GeoJournal Library ((GEJL,volume 101))

Abstract

This book describes the extensive experience that PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and its partners have built up in more than a decade of using land-use models to support policy-making. The land-use models of PBL – Land Use Scanner and Environment Explorer – have in several large studies contributed substantially to the research findings and policy recommendations, making them a standard component of the analytical framework of outlooks where spatial dynamics are essential for sustainability and environmental quality in future. The performance of the models has been evaluated both by PBL and an audit committee of international experts; the findings of the committee are summarised in Chapter 2. The overall conclusion is that the models represent the state of the art for their current practice, but that to enlarge their potential contribution to policy questions and to address new policy challenges a substantial model redesign, or the development of a new model, is needed. Important challenges in doing so would be the inclusion of the behaviour of key actors in the model chain, the inclusion of essential feedback loops between different sectors and geographical scales, the structural inclusion of transport within the land-use model, and a better integration of water management and land use to be able to evaluate spatial adaptation strategies related to climate change. The insights from the different subject-specific research findings have been highlighted and processed to formulate several basic features to be included in the design of a new land-use modelling framework. In this final chapter, we describe the way forward for the development of such a land-use model. After an evaluation of achievements and drawbacks of the current model chain for the support of strategic policy questions, we discuss the ambitions and options for a new land-use model. Subsequently, the various activities carried out to arrive at the general specifications for the new model and the results achieved so far are highlighted.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. TNO Behavioural and Societal Sciences, PO Box 49, 2600, AA, Delft, The Netherlands

    Judith Borsboom-van Beurden

  2. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500, GH, The Hague, The Netherlands

    Barry Zondag

Authors
  1. Judith Borsboom-van Beurden
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  2. Barry Zondag
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Judith Borsboom-van Beurden .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. , Spatial Economics/SPINlab, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Netherlands

    Eric Koomen

  2. , Built Environment and Geosciences, TNO, Delft, 2600 AA, Netherlands

    Judith Borsboom-van Beurden

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Borsboom-van Beurden, J., Zondag, B. (2011). Developing a New, Market-Based Land-Use Model. In: Koomen, E., Borsboom-van Beurden, J. (eds) Land-Use Modelling in Planning Practice. GeoJournal Library, vol 101. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1822-7_11

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