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A Predictive Ground-Motion Model for Turkey and Its Comparison with Recent Local and Global GMPEs

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Earthquake Data in Engineering Seismology

Part of the book series: Geotechnical, Geological, and Earthquake Engineering ((GGEE,volume 14))

Abstract

We present a local ground motion prediction equation (GMPE ) for estimating the peak ground-motion values that was derived using the recently compiled Turkish strong motion database . The new GMPE is comparable with the recent global GMPEs in terms of model sophistication and quality of underlying database. Using this equation, we explore the inter-event , inter-station ground motion variability of the recent Turkish strong motion database as well as suitability of some local and global GMPEs for regional seismic hazard assessment analyses. The inter-event error underlines the distinguishing characteristics of few earthquakes, suggesting that the use of local GMPEs can be important especially when specific scenario studies are to be carried out. The inter-station variability allowed us to detect stations with outlier site response and to investigate the goodness of the employed site effect s model. Results also indicate suitability of some global and local GMPEs for use in regional seismic hazard assessments together with the model presented in this study. These should be combined through a logic tree scheme to reduce both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in local hazard assessments.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Earthquake Research Department, General Directorate of Disaster Affairs, Ministry of Settlement and Public Works, Republic of Turkey

  2. 2.

    Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Middle East Technical University

  3. 3.

    Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey

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Acknowledgments

This study is financially supported by the Scientific and Technological Council of Turkey under the award no. 105G016. Mr. E. Yenier and Mr. A. Sandıkkaya processed many records and compiled the entire dataset. We sincerely appreciate their efforts.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, Middle East Technical University Northern Cyprus Campus, Kalkanlı, Güzelyurt, KKTC, Mersin 10, Turkey

    Z. Çağnan

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Middle East Technical University, 06531, Ankara, Turkey

    Sinan Akkar & Polat Gülkan

Authors
  1. Z. Çağnan
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  2. Sinan Akkar
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  3. Polat Gülkan
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Z. Çağnan .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Dept. Civil Engineering &, Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, 06531, Turkey

    Sinan Akkar

  2. Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Department of Civil Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, 06531, Turkey

    Polat Gülkan

  3. ORFEUS c/o Seismology Division, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institu, De Bilt, 3730 AE, Netherlands

    Torild van Eck

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Çağnan, Z., Akkar, S., Gülkan, P. (2011). A Predictive Ground-Motion Model for Turkey and Its Comparison with Recent Local and Global GMPEs. In: Akkar, S., Gülkan, P., van Eck, T. (eds) Earthquake Data in Engineering Seismology. Geotechnical, Geological, and Earthquake Engineering, vol 14. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-0152-6_4

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