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Abstract

For modeling carbon stock changes in forests, currently a dedicated Hungarian model, CASMOFOR can be used. CASMOFOR was originally developed mainly to allow one to estimate the carbon stock changes of various afforestation projects. This section presents modeling results for afforestations that have taken place in Hungary since 1990, as well as that could be implemented in the coming decades. For modeling future afforestations, several scenarios were developed with regard to the intensity, species structure, and site distribution of possible projects. The amount of carbon stock changes estimated by the model varied quite substantially by these factors, but also by carbon pools and calendar year. In addition, the specific costs of carbon sequestration were assessed, and they showed a sharply declining value over time. Thus, the results not only demonstrate the dynamics of carbon sequestration of forests, but also the competitiveness of removing carbon from the air through afforestations.

* Citation:

Somogyi, Z., 2010: Modeling of biosphere–atmosphere exchange of greenhouse gases – Forests. In: Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: The Hungarian Perspective (Ed.: Haszpra, L.), pp. 253–261.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Article 3.3 is an essential article of the KP, which states that carbon stock changes in land that is afforested or reforested (AR), as well as land that is deforested, since January 1, 1990, must be accounted for to comply with the commitments made in the KP itself.

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Acknowledgments

This research was funded by the European Commission as part of the CarboInvent project (Multi-Source Inventory Methods For Quantifying Carbon Stocks And Stock Changes In European Forests; Contract number EVK2-CT-2002-00157), see www.joanneum.at/CarboInvent. COST E21 also provided opportunities for the author to obtain valuable information at both whole action meetings, as well as task force meetings. The author is also grateful to the ­following organizations for providing assistance for the preparation of this paper: DG Joint Research Centre, Ispra; Erdészeti Tudományos Intézet (Forest Research Institute, ERTI), Budapest; Nyugat-Magyarországi Egyetem (University of West Hungary), Sopron; Kiskunsági Erdészeti és Faipari Rt. (Kiskunsag Forestry and Wood Company, KEFAG Rt.), Kecskemét; Állami Erdészeti Szolgálat Kecskeméti Igazgatósága (Kecskemet Directorate of the State Forest Service), Kecskemét, and the Ministry of Environment and Water.

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Correspondence to Zoltán Somogyi .

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Somogyi, Z. (2011). Forests. In: Haszpra, L. (eds) Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: The Hungarian Perspective. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9950-1_11

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