Introduction into Prognostic Clinical Research

Abstract

An expert clinician’s prognostic knowledge can derive from his/her personal experience for relatively short-term prognoses only; and in these, as well as in long-term prognoses, modern medicine involves consideration of the effects of interventions as well as the intervention-conditional course of the illness at issue. Prognostic research is already very extensive, but it now generally is a matter of intervention trials with very simplistic conception of the essential result. But the data from these trials could be used to derive results of the appropriate form for the advancement of the knowledge-base of prognosis.