Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Component Methods

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Subnational Population Estimates

Part of the book series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ((PSDE,volume 31))

  • 1209 Accesses

Abstract

These methods have a long history, but not always under the names we now know them by (Shryock and Lawrence, 1949). There are several methods of population estimation that belong to the “component” family. All of the component methods are based on the fundamental demographic equation:

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 199.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Bowley, A. (1924). “Births and Population in Great Britain.” The Economic Journal 34: 188–192.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bogue, D. (1950). “A Technique for making Extensive Population Estimates.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 45: 149–163.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bogue, D., and B. Duncan. (1959). “A Composite Method for Estimating Post-censal Population of Small Areas by Age, Sex, and Color.” Vital Statistics Special Reports 47 (6).

    Google Scholar 

  • Bryan, T. (2004). Population Estimates.” pp. 523–560 in J. Siegel and D. A. Swanson (eds.) The Methods and Materials of Demography, 2nd Edition. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier Academic Press

    Google Scholar 

  • California Department of Health Services. (1999). California Life Expectancy Abridged Life tables by Race/Ethnicity for California 1995-97. Sacramento, CA: California Department of Health Service, Center for Health Statistics, “Data Matters,” Report Register No. DM99-10000.

    Google Scholar 

  • California Department of Education. (No Date). California Department of Education online query system (http://dq.cde.ca.gov/dataquest).

  • California Department of Public Health. (No Date). California Department of Public Health Online Query System (http://www.apps.cdph.ca.gov/vsq).

  • Cannan, E. (1895). “The Probability of Cessation of the Growth of Population in England and Wales during the next Century.” The Economic Journal 5: 506–515.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Gans, H. (1999). Population Forecasting 1895–1945: The Transition to Modernity. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • George, M.V., S. Smith, D. A. Swanson, and J. Tayman. (2004). Population Projections.” pp. 561–601 in J. Siegel and D. Swanson (eds.) The Methods and Materials of Demography, 2nd Edition, Revised. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Academic/Elsevier Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, C. H. and J. Perry. (1962). “A Short Method for Projecting Population by age from one Decennial Census to Another.” Social Forces. 41: 163–170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hoque, M. N. (2010). “An Evaluation of Small Area Population Estimates Produced by Component Method II, Ratio-correlation, and Housing Unit Methods.” The Open Demography Journal 3: 18–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Long, J. (1993). “Post-censal Population Estimates: States, Counties, and Places.” Population Division Working Paper No. 3. Washington, DC: US Census Bureau (http://www.census.gov/population/www/documentation/twps0003.html).

  • Murdock, S. S. Hwang, and R. Hamm. (1995). “Component Methods” pp. 10–53 in N. Rives, W. Serow, A. Lee, H. Goldsmith, and P. Voss (Eds.) Basic Methods for Preparing Small-Area Population Estimates. Madison, WI” Applied Population Laboratory, Department of Rural Sociology, University of Wisconsin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shryock, H. and N. Lawrence. (1949). “The Current Status of State and Local Population Estimates in the Census Bureau.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 44: 157– 173.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith, S., J. Tayman, and D. A. Swanson. (2001). State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis. New York, NY: Kluwer Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Starsinic, D., A. Lee, H. F. Goldsmith, and M. Spar. (1995). “The Census Bureau’s Administrative Records Method.” Pp. 54–69 in N. Rives, W. Serow, A. Lee, H. F. Goldsmith, and P. Voss (eds.) Basic Methods for Preparing Small-Area Population Estimates. Madison, Wisconsin: Applied Population Laboratory, Department of Rural Sociology, University of Wisconsin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swanson, D.A. and J. McKibben. (2010). “Urban-Suburban Migration Patterns in the United States, 2004-2008: The Beginning of the End for Suburbanization?” Presented at the 2010 Conference of the European Population Association, Vienna, Austria, September 1–4.

    Google Scholar 

  • Swanson, D. A., A. Schlottmann, and R. Schmidt. (2010). “Forecasting the Population of Census Tracts by Age and Sex: An Example of the Hamilton-Perry Method in Action.” Population Research and Policy Review 29 (1): 47–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • US Census Bureau. (1992). Table QT-P1A. Age and Sex for the Total Population: 1990.” Summary Tape File 1, Tract 1.01, Clark County, Nevada. (http://factfinder.census.gov).

  • US Census Bureau. (2001a). “Table P12, Sex by Age.” Census 2000 Summary File 1, Inyo County California (http://factfinder.census.gov).

  • US Census Bureau. (2001b). “Table P12, Sex by Age.” Census 2000 Summary File 1, Census tract 1.01, Clark County, Nevada (http://factfinder.census.gov).

  • US Census Bureau. (2010). Appendix A, Source Notes and Explanations, pp A1–A78 in State and Metropolitan Area Data Book: 2010. Washington, DC: US Census Bureau (http://www.census.gov/compendia/databooks/pdf_version.html).

  • US Census Bureau. (2011a). “Table GCP-PL2, Population and Housing Occupancy Status: 2010 – State- County- County Equivalent.” (http://factfinder2.census.gov).

  • US Census Bureau. (2011b). “Table QT-PL, Race, Hispanic or Latino, Age, and Housing Occupancy: 2010 Census Redistricting Data (Public Law 94–171).” (http://factfinder2.census.gov).

  • Whelpton, P. (1928). “The Population of the United States, 1925 to 1975.” American Journal of Sociology 34: 253–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zitter, M. and H. S. Shryock. (1964). “Accuracy of Methods of Preparing Post-censal Population Estimates for States and Local Areas.” Demography 1: 227–241.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, 92521, USA

    David A. Swanson

  2. Department of Economics, University of California San Diego, Gilman Drive 9500-0508, La Jolla, CA, 92093, USA

    Jeff Tayman

Authors
  1. David A. Swanson
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Jeff Tayman
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Swanson, D.A., Tayman, J. (2012). Component Methods. In: Subnational Population Estimates. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol 31. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8954-0_10

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation