Skip to main content

Better-Educated Youth as a Vanguard of Social Change? Adolescent Transitions to Later Marriage and Lower Fertility in Southwest Ethiopia

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

Abstract

In this chapter, we illustrate the process of social change through an examination of two markers of the transition to adulthood in Ethiopia: (1) entry into marriage, and (2) desired family size. The data include 2084 in-school youths aged between 13 and 17 years from the urban and rural areas of Jimma Zone of Southwest Ethiopia. We investigate how youths’ own perceived individual aspirations and lifetime goals (i.e. agency) are associated with increased levels of education. Coupled with parental expectations and family and community context, these inform youth about the timing of the transition to adulthood. Our findings show that community norms of family formation and the level of socioeconomic development in their community are strong predictors of life course plans. Even though social identity also appears to affect how the youth envision their life course plans, agency, as conceptualized by the “capability approach”, seems to have little impact on this cohorts’ family formation plans. Thus, it appears that youth’s desires to benefit from the expanding educational and occupational opportunities by reinterpreting family formations norms, e.g., by delaying marriage, have not yet been incorporated in the youths’ life course planning (perhaps due to stringent social mores, as exemplified by the statistical significance of community norms as a predictor of life course plans). Addressing this palpable cohort-disparity between youths’ perception of expanded opportunities and that of their parents who lived through relatively limited opportunities is crucial in enhancing the benefits of the recent structural investments in human capital in the region.

The Mellon Foundation, Hewlett Foundation, Packard Foundation, and Compton Foundation provided support for this paper.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  • CSA. (2008). Summary and Statistical Report of the 2007 Population and Housing Census. Addis Ababa, December. http://www.csa.gov.et

  • CSA and ORC Macro. (2006). Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) 2005. CSA and ORC Macro, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia and Calverton, MD.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elder, G.H., Johnson, M.K., and Crosnoe, R. (2003). The Emergence and Development of Life Course Theory. In Mortimer, J.T., Shanahan, M.J. (eds.), Handbook of the Life Course. New York, NY, Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Herman, M.O., and Hogan, D. (2009). The Impact of Well-being and Agency, Conceptualized by the Capability Approach, on Human Capital Aspirations and Life Course Plans of Ethiopian youth. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Honwana, A., and De Beck, F. (eds.). (2005). Makers and Breakers: Children and Youth in Postcolonial Africa. Oxford, James Currey.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lindstrom, D., and Herman, M.O. (2010). The Role of Poor Health Status, Risks of Debilitating Conditions in the Future, and Perceived Barriers to Occupational Attainment on the Educational Aspirations of Ethiopian Youth (Under Review).

    Google Scholar 

  • Loft, L.T., Spearin, C.E., Hogan, D., Belachew, T., Tessema, F., Gebremariam, A., and Lindstrom, D. (2010). Not Just Luck: The Emergence of a Merit-Based System of Stratification in Rural Ethiopian. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas TX.

    Google Scholar 

  • Manda, S., and Meyer, R. (2005). Age at First Marriage in Malawi: A Bayesian Multilevel Analysis Using a Discrete Time-to-Event Model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 168(2): 439–455.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murphy, M. (2007). Is the Relationship between Fertility of Parents and Children Really Weak? Social Biology 46(1–2): 122–145.

    Google Scholar 

  • Policy Brief Number 10, Jimma Longitudinal Family Survey of Youth. (2007). Decision-Making Autonomy among Adolescents in Jimma Zone. Brown University, Population and Training Center and Jimma School of Public Health.

    Google Scholar 

  • Policy Brief Number 19, Jimma Longitudinal Family Survey of Youth. (2007). Adolescent Attitudes about Male and Female Equality in Jimma Zone. Brown University, Population and Training Center and Jimma School of Public Health.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ryder, N. (1965). The Cohort as a Concept in the Study of Social Change. American Sociological Review 30(6): 843–861.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sen, A.K. (1985). Commodities and Capabilities. Oxford, Elsevier Science Publishers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen, A.K. (1992). Inequality Reexamined. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen, A.K. (1993). Capability and Well-being. In Sen, A., and Nussbaum, M. (eds.), Quality of Life. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen, A.K. (1999). Development as Freedom. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shanahan, M.J. (2000). Pathways to Adulthood in Changing Societies: Variability and Mechanisms in Life Course Perspective. Annual Review of Sociology 26: 667.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Moshi Herman .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Herman, M. et al. (2011). Better-Educated Youth as a Vanguard of Social Change? Adolescent Transitions to Later Marriage and Lower Fertility in Southwest Ethiopia. In: Teller, C. (eds) The Demographic Transition and Development in Africa. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8918-2_5

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics