Abstract
This paper summarises the main economic findings of an interdisciplinary EU project (FP6) which studied the impacts of climate change in Hungary, Bulgaria and Romania. Economic impact assessments were carried out at region and sector specific case study levels. Results suggest positive economic impacts related to climate change on agriculture in the Bulgarian case study region, whereas no clear message about impact direction could be derived for the Romanian region under investigation. The studied climate change impacts on tourism are tendentially negative in the regions considered within the single tourism case studies. The conducted energy case studies also suggest (small and sometimes insignificant) negative economic impacts of climate change within specific configurations assumed. Vulnerability of the public sector has been assessed by analysing the countries’ risk transfer mechanisms with respect to damages from extreme weather events.
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- 1.
The CLAVIER project was supported by the European Commission’s 6th Framework Programme (contract number 037013) as a 3-year Specific Targeted Research Project from 2006 to 2009 under the Thematic Sub-Priority “Global Change and Ecosystems”. Daniela Jacob was coordinator of the project, Franz Prettenthaler led WP4 on the economic impacts of climate change.
- 2.
The Thom’s Discomfort Index (THI) includes the parameters air temperature and relative humidity (see e.g. Tzenkova et al., 2003).
- 3.
The hydrological model was developed by the Romanian National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management.
- 4.
See Law 58/2003 regarding the Wesselényi Miklós Flood and Inland Water Compensation Fund.
References
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Acknowledgment
The authors wish to thank other authors of individual case studies for their contributions: Plamen Mishev, Antonaneta Golemanova, Nedka Ivanova, Milkana Mochurova and Todor Kaloyanov for the Bulgarian case studies, Dan Balteanu, Ana-Irina Dinca, Diana Dogaru, Carmen Dragotă, Bianca Dumitrescu, Monica Dumitraşcu, Dana and Mihai Micu, Camelia Surugiu, Marius Matreata, as well as Boróka Bíró, Emese Szocs and Maria Vincze for the Romanian case studies and Eric Kirschner, Heimo Truhetz, Andreas Gobiet, Cornelia Sterner and Petra Amrusch for the Hungarian case studies. For detailed results see Jacob (ed.), 2010 and http://www.clavier-eu.org.
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Prettenthaler, F., Köberl, J. (2010). A Summary of Sector and Region Specific Economic Impact and Vulnerability Assessments by Case Study in Bulgaria, Romania and Hungary. In: Alexandrov, V., Gajdusek, M., Knight, C., Yotova, A. (eds) Global Environmental Change: Challenges to Science and Society in Southeastern Europe. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8695-2_10
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