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Using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations for Modelling Spatial Healthcare Utilization

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Complex Models and Computational Methods in Statistics

Part of the book series: Contributions to Statistics ((CONTRIB.STAT.))

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Abstract

In this work we propose different spatial models to study hospital recruitment, including some potentially explanatory variables, using data from the hospital of Mulhouse a town located in the north-east of France. Interest is on the distribution over geographical units of the number of patients living in this geographical unit. Models considered are within the framework of Bayesian latent Gaussian models. Our response variable is assumed to follow a binomial distribution, with logit link, whose parameters are the population in the geographical unit and the corresponding risk. The structured additive predictor accounts for effects of various covariates in an additive way, including smoothing functions of the covariates (for example a spatial effect). To approximate posterior marginals, which are not available in closed form, we use integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA), recently proposed for approximate Bayesian inference in latent Gaussian models. INLA has the advantage of giving very accurate approximations and being faster than MCMC methods when the number of hyperparameters does not exceed 6 (as in our case). Model comparison is performed using the Deviance Information Criterion.

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Acknowledgments

The first author was supported by the project start up giovani ricercatori of the University of Cagliari (Italy). The second author by the Visiting Professor program of Regione Autonoma della Sardegna (Italy). The authors thank the Mulhouse hospital for providing the dataset, and the referees for helpful and constructive comments.

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Correspondence to Monica Musio .

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Musio, M., Sauleau, EA., Mameli, V. (2013). Using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations for Modelling Spatial Healthcare Utilization. In: Grigoletto, M., Lisi, F., Petrone, S. (eds) Complex Models and Computational Methods in Statistics. Contributions to Statistics. Springer, Milano. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-88-470-2871-5_15

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