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Determinants of Price Deviations Across Regions in India

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Market, Regulations and Finance

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Abstract

This chapter examines the nature and the extent of price deviation across regions for select tradable commodities in India. For commodities like rice, sugar, washing soap and kerosene, results indicate substantial deviations in prices across regions. It is observed that cross-sectional deviations in prices of these commodities, measured in terms of statistics like relative mean deviation or coefficient of variation, are highly persistent over time. Results reveal that transportation cost and common fiscal policy for regions within a particular state boundary could explain only a small part of the variations in regional price deviations and its persistence. These results highlight the importance of local factors (e.g. local taxes like municipal taxes or octroi, existence of entry barriers due to local monopolies, local supply shocks etc.) in price formation in India. The importance of local factors on regional prices reinforces the structuralist logic of curbing inflation rates through appropriate fiscal and administrative policies rather than by a centralized monetary policy.

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Acknowledgements

The study was financed by a seed money project (No: SM-202) of Indian Institute of Management Lucknow (IIML). The author would like to thank Sushil Kumar Yadav and Neha Raj for arranging the data analyzed in this study. The author is also grateful to seminar and conference participants in IIML and Institute of Development Studies Kolkata (IDSK) for various comments and suggestions that led to significant improvements in the exposition. Views expressed in the chapter are personal and do not reflect the views of IIML. The responsibility of any error lies with the author.

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Correspondence to Kaushik Bhattacharya .

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Appendices

Appendix A

Cities/towns/regions from which data on regional prices are collected in India (Source: Das and Bhattacharya (2005))

State

Cities/towns/regions

Andhra Pradesh (6)

Godavari Khani (18°33′, 79°27′), Guntur (16°18′, 80°27′), Hyderabad (17°23′, 78°29′), Vijaywada (16°31′, 80°37′), Visakhapatnam (17°42′, 83°18′), Warangal (18°00′, 79°35′)

Assam (5)

Tinsukia (27°30′, 95°22′), Guwahati (26°11′, 91°44′), Labac-Silchar (24°49′, 92°48′), Mariani-Jorhat (26°45′, 94°13′), Rangapara-Tezpur (26°38′, 92°48′)

Bihar (1)

Munger-Jamalpur (25°24′, 86°30′)

Chhatisgarh (1)

Bhilai (21°13′, 81°26′)

Gujarat (5)

Ahmedabad (23°02′, 72°37′), Bhavnagar (21°48′, 72°06′), Rajkot (22°18′, 70°47′), Surat (21°10′, 72°50′), Vadodara (22°18′, 73°12′)

Haryana (2)

Faridabad (88°26′, 77°19′), Yamunanagar (30°07′, 77°18′)

Jammu and Kashmir (1)

Srinagar (34°05′, 74°49′)

Jharkhand (6)

Bokaro (23°40′, 86°09′), Giridih (24°11′, 86°18′), Jamshedpur (22°48′, 86°11′), Jharia (23°45′, 86°24′), Kodarma (24°28′, 85°36′), Ranchi-Hatia (23°21′, 85°20′)

Karnataka (5)

Bangalore (12°59′, 77°35′), Belgaum (15°52′, 74°31′), Hubli-Dharwar (15°21′, 75°10′), Mercara (12°25′, 75°44′), Mysore (12°18′, 76°42′)

Kerala (3)

Ernakulam (10°01′, 76°19′), Mundakayam (9°36′, 76°34′), Quilon (8°53′, 76°36′)

Madhya Pradesh (4)

Bhopal (23°16′, 77°24′), Chhindwara (22°04′, 78°56′), Indore (22°43′, 75°50′), Jabalpur (23°10′, 79°57′)

Maharashtra (5)

Mumbai (19°00′, 72°48′), Nagpur (21°09′, 79°06′), Nasik (19°59′, 73°48′), Pune (18°32′, 73°52′), Solapur (17°42′, 75°48′)

Orissa (2)

Angul-Talcher (20°49' , 85°06' ), Rourkela (22°13′, 84°53′)

Punjab (3)

Amritsar (31°35′, 74°53′), Jalandhar (31°19' , 75°35' ), Ludhiana (30°54′, 75°51′)

Rajasthan (3)

Ajmer (26°27′, 74°38′), Bhilwara (25°21′, 74°38′), Jaipur (26°55′, 75°49′)

Tamil Nadu (6)

Chennai (13°05′, 80°17′), Coimbatore (11°00′, 76°58′), Coonor (11°21′, 76°49′), Madurai (9°56′, 78°07′), Salem (11°39′, 78°10′), Tiruchirapally (10°49′, 78°41′)

Uttar Pradesh (5)

Agra (27°11′, 78°10′), Ghaziabad (28°40′, 77°26′), Kanpur (26°28′, 80°21′), Lucknow (26°55' , 80°59' ), Varanasi (25°20′, 83°00′)

West Bengal (9)

Asansol (23°41′, 86°59′), Darjeeling (27°02′, 88°16′), Durgapur (23°29′, 87°20′), Haldia (22°06′, 88°06′), Howrah (22°35′, 88°20′), Jalpaiguri (26°31′, 88°44′), Kolkata (22°34′, 88°21′), Raniganj (23°37′, 87°08’), Siliguri (26°42' , 88°25' )

Chandigarh (1)

Chandigarh (30°44′, 76°55′)

Delhi (1)

Delhi (28°39′, 77°13′)

Pondichery (1)

Pondichery (11°56′, 79°53′)

Himachal Pradesh (1)

The entire industrial belt of the state (31°06′, 77°10′)

Tripura (1)

The entire industrial belt of the state (23°49′, 91°16′)

Goa (1)

The entire industrial belt of the state (15°29′, 73°50′)

  1. Centres in italic font are the new ones not included in Das and Bhattacharya (2005)

Appendix B

Data on prices—errors in reported data and suggested corrections with comments

Article

Unit

Centre

Year

Month

Reported rice

Suspected actual price

Comments

Rice

Kg

Jamshedpur

2011

March

2141

21.41

A clear case of decimal problem in original. The unit of actual measurement might have been quintal, but was reported as kg

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

June

0.00

0.00

Took the reported price as the actual price

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

July

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

August

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

September

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

October

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

November

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2010

December

0.00

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2011

January

Unavailable

0.00

As the previous months’ reported price was 0.0, so the same price was considered

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2011

February

Unavailable

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Tiruchirapally

2011

March

Unavailable

0.00

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

March

Unavailable

9.59

The prices per litre were A 9.59 in both January 2007 and February 2007. The same price of 9.59 per litre was reported from January 2008 to December 2008

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

April

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

May

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

June

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

July

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

August

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

September

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

October

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

November

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2007

December

Unavailable

9.59

Kerosine oil

L

Nagpur

2009

September

Unavailable

9.70

The price remained at A 9.70 per litre between January 2009 and June 2010

Sugar

Kg

Guwahati

2007

March

1917.00

19.17

A clear case of decimal problem in original data for all these months. The unit of measurement might have been quintal, but was reported as kg

Sugar

Kg

Guwahati

2007

April

1910.00

19.10

Sugar

Kg

Guwahati

2007

May

1910.00

19.10

Sugar

Kg

Bangalore

2007

June

1525.00

15.25

Sugar

Kg

Bangalore

2007

July

1524.00

15.24

Sugar

Kg

Bangalore

2007

August

1525.00

15.25

Sugar

Kg

Faridabad

2009

January

2175.00

21.75

Sugar

Kg

Kodarma

2010

March

Unavailable

38.5

The price per kg was A 40.5 in February 2010 and A 32.5 in June 2010. The prices for March–May were estimated through linear interpolation. A similar trend in other centres, especially those near Kodarma, was also observed

Sugar

Kg

Kodarma

2010

April

Unavailable

36.5

Sugar

Kg

Kodarma

2010

May

Unavailable

34.5

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Bhattacharya, K. (2014). Determinants of Price Deviations Across Regions in India. In: Khasnabis, R., Chakraborty, I. (eds) Market, Regulations and Finance. India Studies in Business and Economics. Springer, New Delhi. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1795-4_11

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