Abstract
The landuse change has considerable impact on the surface run-off of a catchment. With the changing landuse there is reduction in the initial abstraction which results in increasing run-off. This also has effect on future because of constant change in landuse due to urbanization. The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) model was used in the study for calculating run-off in a sub-catchment of Narmada River basin for the years 1990, 2000 and 2011 which was further validated with the observed data from the gauges. Stream flow of future for 2020 and 2030 was estimated by this method to observe the impact of landuse change on run-off. The landuse classification was done by Fuzzy C-Mean algorithm. The future landuse prediction for 2020 and 2030 was performed with the Markov Chain Model with 2011 validation. Future run-off was generated on the basis of changing landuse which shows increasing rate of run-off.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Kokkonen, T.S., Jakeman, A.J.: Structural effects of landscape and landuse on streamflow response. In: Beck, M.B. (ed.) Environmental foresight and models: a manifesto, pp. 303–321. Elsevier, Oxford (2002)
Langford, K.J.: Change in yield of water following a bush fire in a forest of Eucalyptus regnans. J. Hydrol. 29, 87–114 (1976)
Hibbert, A.R.: Forest treatment effects on water yield. In: Sopper, W.E., Lull, H.W. (eds.) International symposium on forest hydrology, p. 813. Pergamon, Oxford (1967)
Bosch, J.M., Hewlett, J.D.: A review of catchment experiments to determine the effect of vegetation changes on water yield and evapotranspiration. J. Hydrol. 55, 3–23 (1982)
Hollis, G.E.: The effect of urbanization on flood of different recurrence interval. Water Resour. Res. 11, 431–435 (1975)
Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., Eckhardt, K., Frede, H.G.: Hydrologic response to landuse changes on the catchment scale. Phys. Chem. Earth (B) 26, 577–582 (2001)
De Roo, A., Odijk, M., Schmuck, G., Koster, E., Lucieer, A.: Assessing the effects of landuse changes in the Meuse and Oder catchment. Phys. Chem. Earth (B) 26, 593–599 (2001)
Braud, I., Vich, A.I.J., Zuluaga, J., Fornero, L., Pedrani, A.: Vegetation influence on runoff and sediment yield in the Andes region: observation and modelling. J. Hydrol. 254, 124–144 (2001)
Schreider, S.Y., Jakeman, A.J., Letcher, R.A., Nathan, R.J., Neal, B.P., Beavis, S.G.: Detecting changes in streamflow response to changes in non-climatic catchment conditions: farm dam development in the Murray-Darling basin. Aust. J. Hydrol. 262, 84–98 (2002)
Beven, K.J.: Rainfall-runoff modelling: the primer. Wiley, New York (2000)
Bronstert, A., Niehoff, D., Burger, G.: Effects of climate and land-use change on storm runoff generation: present knowledge and modelling capabilities. Hydrol. Process. 16, 509–529 (2002)
Ranzi, R., Bochicchio, M., Bacchi, B.: Effects on floods of recent afforestation and urbanisation in the Mella River (Italian Alps). Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 6, 239–253 (2002)
USDA Soil Conservation Service.: National Engineering Handbook Section 4 Hydrology. Chapters 4–10 (1972)
USDA Soil Conservation Service.: National Engineering Handbook Section 4 Hydrology. Chapter 19 (1983)
USDA-SCS.: National Engineering Handbook, Section 4 Hydrology. Washington, D.C. (1985)
Stuebe, M.M., Johnston, D.M.: Run-off volume estimation using GIS techniques. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 26, 611–620 (1990)
Mishra, S.K., Singh, V.P.: Another look at the SCS-CN method. J. Hydrol. Eng. ASCE 4, 257–264 (1999)
Mishra, S.K., Singh, V.P.: SCS-CN based hydrological simulation package. In: Singh V.P., Frevert D.K. (eds) mathematical Models in Small Watershed Hydrology and applications, pp. 391–464. Water Resources Publications, Littleton (2002)
Schneider, L.E., McCuen, R.H.: Statistical guidelines for curve number generation. J Irrig. Drainage Eng. ASCE 131, 282–290 (2005)
Pandey, A., Sahu, A.K.: Generation of curve number using remote sensing and Geographic Information System. (2002). (http://www.gisdevelopment.net/application/nrm/water/watershed/watws0015pf.htm)
Yang, T.C., Yu, P.S.: The effect of landuse change on the design hydrograph. J. Hydrol. Changing Environ. 3, 207–216 (1998)
Kim, Y., Engel, B.A., Lim, K.J.: Runoff impacts of landuse change in Indian river Lagoon watershed. J. Hydrol. Eng. 7, 245–251 (2002)
Okoński, B.: Hydrological response to landuse change in central European lowland forest catchment. J. Environ. Eng. Landscape Manage. 15, 3–13 (2007)
He, C.Y., Shi, P.J., Chen, J., Zhou, Y.Y.: A study on landuse/cover change in Beijing area. Geogr. Res. 20(6), 679–687 (2000)
Zhang, Q., Wang, J., Peng, X., Gong, P., Shi, P.: Urban built-up land change detection with road density and spectral information from multi-temporal Landsat TM data. Int. J. Remote Sens. 23(15), 3057–3078 (2002)
Brown, D.G., Pijanowski, B.C., Duh, J.D.: Modeling the relationships between landuse and land cover on private lands in the Upper Midwest. USA J. Environ. Manage. 59, 247–263 (2000)
Jahan, S.: The determination of stability and similarity of Markovian landuse change processes: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Socio-Econ Planning Sci. 20, 243–251 (1986)
Muller, R.M., Middleton, J.: A Markov model of land-use change dynamics in the Niagara region, Ontario, Canada. Landscape Ecol. 9, 151–157 (1994)
Weng, Q.: Landuse change analysis in the Zhujiang Delta of China using satellite remote sensing, GIS and stochastic modeling. J. Environ. Manage. 64, 273–284 (2002)
Peterson, L.K., Bergen, K.M., Brown, D.G., Vashchuk, L., Blam, Y.: Forested land-cover patterns and trends over changing forest management eras in the Siberian Baikal region. For. Ecol. Manage. 257, 911–922 (2009)
Zhang, R., Tang, C., Ma, S., Yuan, H., Gao, L., Fan, W.: Using Markov chains to analyze changes in wetland trends in arid Yinchuan Plain. Chin Math. Comput. Model. 54, 924–930 (2011)
Chow, V.T., Maidment, D.R., Mays, L.W.: Applied Hydrology. McGraw-Hill, Singapore (1988)
Jain, A., Dubes, R.: Algorithms for Clustering Data. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1988)
Bezdek, J.C., Ehrlich, R., Full, W.: FCM: the fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm. Comput. Geosci. 10(2–3), 191–203 (1984)
Lillesand, T.M., Kiefer, R.W., Chipman, J.W.: Remote sensing and image interpretation. Wiley, New York (2008)
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the United States Geographical Survey (USGS) and NRSC for providing the Landsat and LISS-III satellite imageries for the study area. The authors are also thankful to the Indian Meteorological Department for providing rainfall and run-off data and to the CSIR for financial support.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer India
About this paper
Cite this paper
Mondal, A., Khare, D., Kundu, S., Mishra, P.K., Meena, P.K. (2014). Landuse Change Prediction and Its Impact on Surface Run-off Using Fuzzy C-Mean, Markov Chain and Curve Number Methods. In: Pant, M., Deep, K., Nagar, A., Bansal, J. (eds) Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Soft Computing for Problem Solving. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 259. Springer, New Delhi. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1768-8_33
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1768-8_33
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, New Delhi
Print ISBN: 978-81-322-1767-1
Online ISBN: 978-81-322-1768-8
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)