Abstract
Differentiating between the terms prediction and forecasting, the chapter provides a brief on the current status of forecasting and early warning in the backdrop of success and failure stories. The speeds with which disasters strike, their prediction and people-centered early warning and indicators of crisis and emergency are discussed. The new generation of initiatives are introduced that provide ready access to global, regional, national, and local early warning systems and facilitate dissemination of early warnings.
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Notes
- 1.
Forecasts—Clairvoyants.
- 2.
Great Tsunami. Publication of the Geological Society of India, Bangalore, 2005 and Geometrics in Tsunami, a publication of the Department of Science and Technology, New Delhi and Centre for Remote Sensing, Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappali.
- 3.
Tiding over Tsunami, A Report of the Government of Tamil Nadu, December 2005.
- 4.
According to World Disasters Report 2005 published by International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, the phone call was made by Vijay Kumar Gunasegaram from Singapore to his family in Nallavadu. His family in turn alerted the villagers.
- 5.
International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction set the year 2000 to achieve this goal.
- 6.
(Edin, 1994).
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Bhandari, R.K. (2014). Prediction and Forecasting of Natural Disasters. In: Disaster Education and Management. Springer, New Delhi. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1566-0_6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1566-0_6
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