Abstract
The employment share of the industry has been decelerating in many developing countries. Even when industrialization in terms of value added has occurred in some of the countries, the share of industry in total workforce still dwindles at a low level. All this has raised concern as the twin objectives of growth and poverty reduction through productive employment generation in the industrial sector do not seem to have come through. This paper based on panel data from developing countries tries to verify if import of technology reduces the labour-absorbing capacity of the manufacturing sector. The overall results based on countries across South and East Asia, Africa and Latin America are indicative of such a tendency. After controlling for real wage rate and real GDP per capita, this chapter notes a negative effect of manufactures imports (as a percentage of total merchandise imports) on employment to value-added ratio. Besides, the technical efficiency index derived by employing a statistical stochastic frontier function framework also tends to vary inversely with technology import from abroad. This implies possible mismatches between the available technology and the skill base of the workforce to operate the technology. In fact, evidence is also indicative of an inverse relationship between inadequacy of skill and employment growth in the industrial sector. In particular, it examines if skill scarcity in the domestic economy reduces the optimum use of the technology imported from abroad.
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Notes
- 1.
The terms manufacturing and industrial sector are used synonymously.
- 2.
Globalization raises capital flows from developed to developing countries which means that, even without technology imports, capital output ratios in developing countries would rise and, given the complementary relationship between capital and skills, this would raise the relative demand for skilled labour (Mayer 2000). Johanson (2004) argues that it is not possible to disentangle the interlinked factors responsible for changes in skill demands, but at least three main forces are at work in increasing the demand for skills worldwide which are technological change, changes in work organization and trade openness.
- 3.
Thus, our analysis is only partial in this context.
- 4.
Japan being an East Asian country has been included in the analysis.
- 5.
Only Korea shows a wrong sign.
- 6.
Situation 1: value-added growth: 6%, employment growth, 5%, and labour productivity growth 1% and employment elasticity 0.83. Situation 2: value-added growth: 8.1%, employment growth, 7%, and labour productivity growth 1.1% and employment elasticity is 0.86.
- 7.
Situation 3: value-added growth: 10%, employment growth, 7%, and labour productivity growth 3% and employment elasticity 0.7.
- 8.
For some of the countries, information only on one or two variables and that too for a few years is available.
- 9.
Berg and Cazes (2007) however point out the serious conceptual and methodological problems associated with the World Bank’s Employing Workers Index of the Doing Business indicators and risks of formulating policies on the basis of these indicators.
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Mitra, A. (2013). Technology Import and Industrial Employment: India and Other Developing Countries. In: Insights into Inclusive Growth, Employment and Wellbeing in India. Springer, India. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-0656-9_5
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