Abstract
In order to estimate the impact of global warming on plant phenology in Monsoon Asia, an attempt was made first to review the previous studies in Japan, Korea and China. In particular, flowering dates of cherry blossoms were analyzed in relation to air temperature in March, or as a function of latitude, longitude, coldness/warmth indices. Using the experimental formula, one can estimate the condition in the case of global warming. Secondly, it is indicated that the effects of urbanization in big cities on quickening of blooming dates are at a rate of 1–3 day par 1°C. It was shown that the mean flowering dates of cherry blossoms in Japan and Korea become 3–4 days earlier when mean air temperature of March increases 1°C. Further, in the case of early blooming the flowering dates have a more significant relation to March air temperature. In the last part of the study, differences of flowering dates in Honshu, Japan and sugar cane harvest in Minamidaito-jima, Japan, between the El Niño and La Niña events were studied. The flowering date is significantly earlier in the El Niño years. Deviations of harvested area in the El Niño years are negative for “summer planting ”. The deviations are completely opposite in the La Niña years. This is caused by the dry conditions under the influence of developed zonal anticyclone in the subtropics over the North Pacific in the El Niño years, which is suggested to occur in the case of global warming.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Aono, Y., 1993. Climatological studies on blooming of cherry tree (Prunus yedoensis) by mean of DTS method. Bull. Univ. Osaka Pref, Ser. B, Vol. 45, 155–192.
Aono. Y. and Omoto. Y., 1990a. Estimation of blooming date for Prunus yedoensis using DTS combined with chill-unit accumulations. J. Agr. Meteorol., 45, 243–249. (Je)
Aono, Y. and Omoto. Y., 1990b. A simplified method for estimation of blooming date for the cherry by means of DTS. J. Agr. Meteorol., 46, 147–151. (Je)
Aono, Y. and Omoto, Y., 1993. Variation in the March temperature deduced from cherry blossom in Kyoto since the 14th century. J. Agr. Meteorol., 48, 635–638.
Aono, Y. and Omoto, Y., 1994. Estimation of temperature at Kyoto since the 11th century using flowering date of cherry trees in old documents. J. Agr. Meteorol., 49, 263–272. (Je)
Daigo, Y., 1947. Atlas of Agricultural Meteorology of Japan. Kyoritsu Shuppan Book Co., Tokyo, 234 pp.
Daigo, Y. and Suzuki, Y., 1947. Phenology of Japan. Hokuryukan Press, Tokyo, 187pp. (J)
Dansgaard, W. et al.,1969. One thousand centuries of climate record from Camp-Century on the Greenland ice sheet. Science,378.
Gong, G. and Jian, W., 1983a. On the geographical distribution of phenodates in China. Acta Geogr. Sinica, 38 (1). (Ce)
Gong, G., Zhang, P. and Zhang, J., 1983b. The variations of natural phenological seasons in spring of Beijing. Sci. Bull., 24, 1517–1519. (C)
Hopkins, A.D., 1938. Bioclimatics - A Science of Life and Climate Relations. U. S. Dept. Agr. Miscellaneous Publ., No. 280, 187 pp.
Jiang, A., 1994. A review of studies on phenology in China. ( A paper prepared to the present writer’s request. Not yet published ) 13 pp.
Kai, K., 1994. Kikohendo to wagakuni no seibutsu-kisetsu to no kankei (Relationship between the climatic change and phenology in Japan). A paper presented at the 20th Meeting of Japanese Study Group for WCIP and WCAP, March 1, 1994. (J)
Kai, K., Kainuma, M. and Murakoshi, N., 1995. Effects on the phenological observation of plants by global warming in Japan. (to be published in this volume)
Kawamura, T., 1982. Phenological observations and applications of the climatological analysis. Tenki (Weather), 29, 85–100. (J)
Kawamura, T., 1993. An attempt to reconstruct the climate in Little Ice Age using phenological data. J. Geogr., 102, 125–130. (Je)
Kira, T., 1945. Nogyochirigaku no kiso toshiteno toa no shinkikokubun (New climatic classification of East Asia as a basis of agricultural geography). Institute of Horticulture, Kyoto Univ. May Issue, 1–23. (J)
Konno, T. and Sugihara, S., 1986. Temperature index for characterizing biological activity in soil and its application to decomposition of soil organic matter. Bull. Nat. Inst. Agroenviron. Sci., 1, 51–68. (Je)
Momose, N., 1974. Atlas of Animal and Plant Phenology of Japan. Marunouchi Shuppan Book Co., Tokyo, 180 pp. (J)
Nakahara, M., 1948. Phenology. Kawadesyobo Press, Tokyo, 209 pp. (J)
Nakahara, M., 1969. Climatological study on Japanese phenology. Reports of Department of Horticulture, Chiba University, 17, 89–113. (Je)
Ohno, T., 1988. A relationship between temperature and flowering date of cherry blossom - Application to reconstruction of palaeoclimate. Undergraduate Thesis of Inst. of Geoscience, Univ. of Tsukuba, 39pp. (J)
Okamura, T., Nakamura, N. and Shigehara, Y., 1989. Seibutsu kisetsu to kisho - Sakura no kaika ni mini - (Phenology and weather; in special reference to cherry blooming). A paper presented at the Meeting of Japanese Study Group on WCIP and WCAP, held in 1989. (J)
Omasa, K., Morita, T., Masuda, K. and Kainuma, M., 1992. Study on the effects of the plants according to the global warming. Reports on the Global Environmental Studies (1), Environment Agency of Japan, 307–311. (J)
Omoto, Y. and Aono, Y., 1990. Estimation of change in blooming dates of cherry flower by urban warming. J. Agr. Meteorol., 46(3), 123–129. (Je)
Omoto, Y. and Aono, Y., 1990/91. Effect of urban warming on blooming of Prunus yedoensis. Energy and Buildings,15–16, 205–212.
Park-Ono, H.S., Kawamura, T. and Yoshino, M., 1994. Relationships between flowering date of cherry blossom (Prunus yedoensis) and air temperature in East Asia. Biometeorology, pt. 2, Vol. 1, Proc., 13th Intern. Congr. Biomet., Sept. 12–18, 1993, Calgary, Alberta, Canada, 207–220.
Ren, J., 1982. A method of calculation of the net accumulated temperatures at different leaf-ages in breeding the seeds of hybrid rice. Agri. Meteorol. (Beijing), 3, 61–63. (C)
Wan, M., 1990. Dr. Zhu Kezhen’s (Chu Coching’s) contribution to the research works on phenology. Acta Geogr. Sinica, 45, 14–21. (Ce)
Wan, M. and Liu, X., 1979. Phenological observations of China. Science Press, Beijing, 136pp. (C)
Yoshino, M.M., 1974. Agricultural climatology in Japan. In: Agricultural Meteorology of Japan. (ed. by Y. Mihara ), 11–40, Univ. Tokyo Press, Tokyo.
Zhang, Fuchun, 1984. The application of phenological indicator to the climatic survey in mountainous area. Collected Papers on the Study of Mountain Climate. Meteorological Press, Beijing. (C )
Zhu, K., 1973. A preliminary study on the climatic fluctuations during the last 5,000 years in China. Scientia Sinica, 16, 226–256.
Zhu, K. and Wan, M., 1980. Phenology. Science Press, Beijing, 175pp. (C)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1996 Springer Japan
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Yoshino, M., Ono, HS.P. (1996). Variations in the Plant Phenology Affected by Global Warming. In: Climate Change and Plants in East Asia. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-66899-2_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-66899-2_8
Publisher Name: Springer, Tokyo
Print ISBN: 978-4-431-66901-2
Online ISBN: 978-4-431-66899-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive