Skip to main content

Introduction: Why an African Green Revolution Is Needed and Why It Must Include Small Farms

  • Chapter
In Pursuit of an African Green Revolution

Part of the book series: Natural Resource Management and Policy ((NRMP,volume 48))

  • 700 Accesses

Abstract

This book explores recent experiences in the effort to bring about a Green Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). It focuses on rice and maize, which are promising and strategic smallholder crops. This chapter sets out the stage for the statistical analyses presented in later chapters by clarifying the importance of Green Revolution, identifying emerging challenges, and suggesting an effective strategy towards an African Green Revolution . Three major conclusions are derived. First, a rice Green Revolution is possible based primarily on the transfer and adaptation of technology and management practices from Asia, a process that is already begun in some places. Second, a maize Green Revolution is possible based on the establishment of new productive farming systems; however the relevant experience is limited in comparison to the new rice technologies. Third, not only “improved technologies ” but also “improved management practice s” are the keys to Green Revolution in SSA.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    For example, Ravallion and Datt (1996) link growth in agriculture to significant declines in poverty in India, and Anríquez and López (2007) find the same holds true for middle-income Chile.

  2. 2.

    For example, Thirtle et al. (2003) estimate that a 1 % gain in crop yields reduces the number of people living under poverty by 6.25 million while productivity gains in industry and services have little effect on poverty rates. Using a cross-country panel, Bravo-Ortega and Lederman (2009) found that the effects of boosting agricultural labor productivity were 2.9 times more effective at reducing poverty than productivity gains in other sectors. Christiaensen et al. (2011) found that agriculture mattered most for the very poor, but non-agricultural growth was important for the near-poor. The cited studies about poverty in India and Chile also found that economic growth outside of agriculture had significant consequences for poverty levels.

  3. 3.

    A large literature of global, regional and country studies have emerged documenting the consequences of the 2008 price spike and the prolonged raise from 2010 to 2012. See, for example, the global study by Ivanic and Martin (2008), the regional study by Larson et al. (2014a, b), and country studies for Brazil (Ferreira et al. 2013), Ethiopia (Kumar and Quisumbing 2013), Indonesia (Warr and Yusuf 2014), Mexico (Valero-Gil and Valero 2008), and the Philippines (Fujii 2013).

  4. 4.

    FAO estimates the 2014 world population at 7.23 billion and projects the 2050 population at 9.55 billion. The corresponding numbers for SSA are 1.35 billion and 2.71 billion.

  5. 5.

    See Godfray et al. (2010) for a good discussion of why sustainable intensification is needed.

  6. 6.

    Even in areas in Africa where large-scale farming is feasible, hurdles remain due to poor property rights, especially for communal lands, and inefficient and opaque land markets.

References

  • Anríquez G, López R (2007) Agricultural growth and poverty in an archetypical middle income country: Chile 1987–2003. Agric Econ 36(2):191–202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Binswanger-Mkhize H, McCalla AF (2010) The changing context and prospects for agricultural and rural development in Africa. In: Pingali P, Evenson R (eds) Handbook of agricultural economics. Elsevier, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Bravo-Ortega C, Lederman D (2009) La agricultura y el bienestar nacional en el mundo. El Trimestre Economico 76(3):577–617

    Google Scholar 

  • Buresh RJ (2015) Nutrient and fertilizer management in rice systems with varying supply of water. In: Drechsel P, Heffer P, Magen H, Mikkelsen R, Wichelns D (eds) Managing water and fertilizer for sustainable agricultural intensification. IFA/IWMI/IPNI/IPI Publication, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Christiaensen L, Demery L, Kuhl J (2011) The (evolving) role of agriculture in poverty reduction: an empirical perspective. J Dev Econ 96(2):239–254

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • David CC, Otsuka K (1994) Modern rice technology and income distribution in Asia. Lynne Rienner, Boulder

    Google Scholar 

  • Deininger K, Byerlee D (2012) The rise of large farms in land abundant countries: do they have a future? World Dev 40(4):701–714

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Delgado C, Rosegrant M, Steinfeld H, Ehui S, Courbois C (2001) Livestock to 2020: the next food revolution. Outlook Agric 30(1):27–29

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Diagne A, Midingoyi S-KG, Kinkingninhoun-Medagbe FM (2013a) Impact of NERICA adoption on rice yield: evidence from West Africa. In: Otsuka K, Larson DF (eds) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Diagne M, Demont M, Seck PA, Diaw A (2013b) Self-sufficiency policy and irrigated rice productivity in the Senegal River Valley. Food Secur 5(1):55–68

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Estudillo JP, Otsuka K (2013) Lessons from the Asian Green Revolution in rice. In: Otsuka K, Larson DF (eds) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Evenson RE (2003) Production impacts of crop genetic improvement. In: Evenson RE, Gollin D (eds) Crop variety improvement and its effect on productivity: the impact of international agricultural research. CABI Publishing, Cambridge, MA

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Evenson RE, Gollin D (2003a) Assessing the impact of the Green Revolution, 1960–2000. Science 300(5620):758–762

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evenson RE, Gollin D (2003b) Crop genetic improvement in developing countries: overview and summary. In: Evenson RE, Gollin D (eds) Crop variety improvement and its effect on productivity: the impact of international agricultural research. CABI Publishing, Cambridge, MA

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Ferreira FHG, Fruttero A, Leite PG, Lucchetti LR (2013) Rising food prices and household welfare: evidence from Brazil in 2008. J Agric Econ 64(1):151–176

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Food and Agriculture Organization (2015) FAOSTAT. FAO, Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • Fujii T (2013) Impact of food inflation on poverty in the Philippines. Food Policy 39:13–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Godfray HCJ, Beddington JR, Crute IR, Haddad L, Lawrence D, Muir JF, Pretty J, Robinson S, Thomas SM, Toulmin C (2010) Food security: the challenge of feeding 9 billion people. Science 327(5967):812–818

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) (2011) Rural poverty report 2011. Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2014) Climate change 2014 synthesis report: summary for policymakers

    Google Scholar 

  • Ivanic M, Martin W (2008) Implications of higher global food prices for poverty in low-income countries. Agric Econ 39(1):405–416

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kijima Y, Otsuka K (2013) Causes and consequences of NERICA adoption in Uganda. In: Otsuka K, Larson DF (eds) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar N, Quisumbing AR (2013) Gendered impacts of the 2007–2008 food price crisis: evidence using panel data from rural Ethiopia. Food Policy 38:11–22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ladha JK, Reddy PM (2003) Nitorgen fixation in rice systems: state of knowledge and future prospects. Plant Soil 252(1):151–167

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson DF, Mundlak Y (1997) On the intersectoral migration of agricultural labor. Econ Dev Cult Change 45(2):295–319

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson DF, Otsuka K, Kajisa K, Estudillo J, Diagne A (2010) Fostering a Green Revolution in rice: can Africa replicate Asia’s experience? In: Dawe D, Byerlee D, Rozelle S, Dobermann A, Mohanty S, Hardy B, Pandey S (eds) Rice in the 21st century global economy: strategic research and policy issues for food security. International Rice Research Institute, Los Banos

    Google Scholar 

  • Larson DF, Lampietti J, Gouel C, Cafiero C, Roberts J (2014a) Food security and storage in the Middle East and North Africa. World Bank Econ Rev 28(1):48–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson DF, Ostuka K, Matsumoto T, Kilic T (2014b) Should African rural development strategies depend on smallholder farms? An exploration of the inverse-productivity hypothesis. Agric Econ 45(3):355–367

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lowder SK, Skoet J, Singh S (2014) What do we really know about the number and distribution of farms and family farms in the world? ESA working paper No. 14-02. Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (2015) OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2014–2023. Available at Stats.OECD.org

  • Otsuka K (2013) Food insecurity, income inequality, and the changing comparative advantage in world agriculture. Agric Econ 44(S1):7–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Otsuka K, Larson DF (2013a) Towards a Green Revolution in sub-Saharan Africa. In: Otsuka K, Larson DF (eds) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Otsuka K, Larson DF (2013b) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Otsuka K, Estudillo JP, Sawada Y (2008) Rural poverty and income dynamics in Asia and Africa. Routledge, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Pingali PL (2012) Green Revolution: impacts, limits, and the path ahead. Proc Natl Acad Sci 109(31):12302–12308

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pingali PL, Rosegrant MW (1994) Confronting the environmental consequences of the Green Revolution in Asia. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Pinstrup-Andersen P, Hazell PER (1985) The impact of the Green Revolution and prospects for the future. Food Rev Int 1(1):1–25

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ravallion M, Datt G (1996) How important to India’s poor is the sectoral composition of economic growth? World Bank Econ Rev 10(1):1–25

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ravallion M, Chen S, Sangraula P (2007) New evidence on the urbanization of global poverty. Popul Dev Rev 33(4):667–701

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ray DK, Ramankutty N, Mueller ND, West PC, Foley JA (2012) Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation. Nat Commun 3(1293):1–7

    Google Scholar 

  • Smale M, Byerlee D, Jayne T (2013) Maize revolutions in sub-Saharan Africa. In: Otsuka K, Larson DF (eds) An African Green Revolution: finding ways to boost productivity on small farms. Springer, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Stevenson JR, Villoria N, Byerlee D, Kelley T, Maredia M (2013) Green Revolution research saved an estimated 18 to 27 million hectares from being brought into agricultural production. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 110(21):8363–8368

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thirtle C, Lin L, Piesse J (2003) The impact of research-led agricultural productivity growth on poverty reduction in Africa, Asia and Latin America. World Dev 31(12):1959–1975

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Valero-Gil JN, Valero M (2008) The effects of rising food prices on poverty in Mexico. Agric Econ 39(supplement 1):485–496

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Warr P, Yusuf AA (2014) World food prices and poverty in Indonesia. Aust J Agric Res Econ 58(1):1–21

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wodon Q, Zaman H (2010) Higher food prices in sub-Saharan Africa: poverty impact and policy responses. World Bank Res Obs 25(1):157–176

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • World Bank (2015) World development indicators. World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • World Bank Pink Sheet (2015) Available at http://go.worldbank.org/4ROCCIEQ50

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Donald F. Larson .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 The Editor(s) and the Author(s)

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Larson, D.F., Otsuka, K. (2016). Introduction: Why an African Green Revolution Is Needed and Why It Must Include Small Farms. In: Otsuka, K., Larson, D. (eds) In Pursuit of an African Green Revolution. Natural Resource Management and Policy, vol 48. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-55693-0_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics