Skip to main content

Effects of Climate Change on Regional Agriculture Production, Food Price and Food Insecurity

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Climate Change, Agriculture and Rural Livelihoods in Developing Countries

Abstract

Climate change is expected to have both negative as well as positive effect on agricultural production. Therefore, depending upon the regional characteristics of climate and its future direction some regions are going to be benefited by climate change in terms of agricultural productivity, whereas some regions’ agriculture is exposed to a higher degree of vulnerability. Considering these differential regional effects of climate change on agriculture, this chapter discusses projected impact of climate change in agricultural productivity, price of agricultural commodities, and food insecurity in different regions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Adams RM, Hurd BH, Lenhart S, Leary N (1998) Effects of global climate change on agriculture: an interpretative review. Clim Res 11:19–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aggarwal PK (2003) Impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. J Plant Biol 30:189–198

    Google Scholar 

  • Ahmed MN, Schmitz PM (2011) Using Ricardian technique to estimate the impacts of climate change on crop farming in Pakistan. In: The EAAE 2011 congress, Zurich, 30 August to 2 September 2011

    Google Scholar 

  • Boubacar I (2010) The effects of drought on crop yields and yield variability in Sahel. In: The Southern Agricultural Economics Association annual meeting. The Southern Agricultural Economics Association, Orlando

    Google Scholar 

  • Cline WR (2007) Global warming and agriculture: impact estimates by country. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Cruz RV, Harasawa H, Lal M, Wu S (2007) Asia. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hansen CE (eds) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 469–506

    Google Scholar 

  • Easterling WE, Aggarwal PK, Batima P, Brander KM, Erda L, Howden SM, Tubiello FN (2007) Food, fibre and forest products. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof PJJP, Hanson CE (eds) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 273–313

    Google Scholar 

  • Faisal IM, Parveen S (2004) Food security in the face of climate change, population growth and resource constraints; implications for Bangladesh. Environ Manage 34:487–498

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • FAO (1996) Rome declaration on world food security and world food summit plan of action. World Food Summit 13–17 November, 1996. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischer G, Shah M, van Velthuizen H (2002a) Climate change and agricultural vulnerability. A special report prepared as a contribution to the World Summit on Sustainable Development. International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischer G, Shah M, Tubiello FN, van Velthuizen H (2005) Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated assessment, 1990–2080. Philos Trans R Soc Biol Sci 360:2067–2083

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fischer G, van Velthuizen H, Shah M, Nachtergaele FO (2002b) Global agro-ecological assessment for agriculture in the 21st century: methodology and results. Research Report RR-02-02. International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg

    Google Scholar 

  • Kim MK, Pang A (2009) Climate change impact on rice yield and production risk. J Rural Dev 32(2):17–29

    Google Scholar 

  • Lal M (2007) Implications of climate change on agricultural productivity and food security in South Asia. Key vulnerable regions and climate change—identifying thresholds for impacts and adaptation in relation to Article 2 of the UNFCCC. Springer, Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Lal M, Singh KK, Rathore LS, Srinivasan G, Saseendran SA (1998) Vulnerability of rice and wheat yields in NW—India to future changes in climate. Agr Forest Meteorol 89:101–114

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell DB, Ortiz-Monasterio JI, Asner GP, Matson PA, Naylor RL, Falcon WP (2005) Analysis of wheat yield and climatic trends in Mexico. Field Crop Res 94:250–256

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn R (2000) Measuring the effect of climate change on developing country agriculture. In: Two essays on climate change and agriculture: A developing country perspective (FAO Economic and Social Development Paper 145). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, pp 2–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn R (2009) The impact of climate change on agriculture in developing countries. J Nat Resour Policy Res 1(1):5–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murdiyarso D (2000) Adaptation to climatic variability and change: Asian perspectives on agriculture and food security. Environ Monit Assess 61:123–131

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Parry ML, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Livermore M, Fischer G (2004) Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Change 14:53–67

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parry M, Rosenzweig C, Livermore M (2005) Climate change, global food supply and risk of hunger. Philos Trans R Soc Biol Sci 360:2125–2138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rosegrant MW, Ewing M, Yohe G, Ian Burton SH, Valmonte-Santos R (2008) Climate change and agriculture: threats and opportunities. German Technical Cooperation (GTZ), Eschborn

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenzweig C, Parry ML, Fischer G (1995) World food supply. In: Strzepek KM, Smith JB (eds) As climate changes: international impacts and implications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 27–56

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmidhuber J, Tubiello FN (2007) Global food security under climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci 104(50):19703–19708

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tubiello F, Schmidhuber J, Howden M, Neofotis PG, Park S, Fernandes E, Thapa D (2008) Climate change response strategies for agriculture: challenges and opportunities for the 21st century. Agriculture and Rural Development Discussion Paper. The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang J, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Huang J, Rozelle S, Zhang L (2009) The impact of climate change on China’s agriculture. Agr Econ 40:323–337

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • You L, Rosegrant MW, Wood S, Sun D (2009) Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China. Agr Forest Meteorol 149:1009–1014

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer Japan

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Maharjan, K.L., Joshi, N.P. (2013). Effects of Climate Change on Regional Agriculture Production, Food Price and Food Insecurity. In: Climate Change, Agriculture and Rural Livelihoods in Developing Countries. Advances in Asian Human-Environmental Research. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-54343-5_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics