Application of AIM/Enduse to Vietnam: A Study on Effects of CO2 Emission Reduction Targets

  • Ram M. Shrestha
  • Le Thanh Tung


This study examines the effects of imposing CO2 emission: reduction targets on the least cost energy resource requirements as well as emissions of CO2, SO2 and NO2 from different economic sectors of Vietnam in 2020 using the AIM/Enduse model. The results show that in 2020 total primary energy requirement in the reference scenario would be 2,170 PJ as compared to 866 PJ in 2000. About 13.5 billion m3 of natural gas would be required in the reference scenario in 2020 while hydropower capacity needed would be about 5,000 MW. The study also shows that the least cost energy mix for meeting emission reduction targets of 5% to 15% in 2020 would require the use of additional 3.6 to 3.9 billion m3 of natural gas over and above the quantity of gas needed in the reference scenario. The incremental cost of reducing CO2 emission by 5 to 15% of the reference scenario emission would be in the range of US$ 9.2 to US$ 58.3 per ton of CO2.


ER15 Case Transport Sector Reference Scenario Average Annual Growth Rate Asian Development Bank 
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Copyright information

© Springer Japan 2003

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ram M. Shrestha
    • 1
  • Le Thanh Tung
    • 1
  1. 1.Asian Institute of TechnologyKlong LuangThailand

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