AIM/Trend: Policy Interface

  • Junichi Fujino
  • Shigekazu Matsui
  • Yuzuru Matsuoka
  • Mikiko Kainuma


The model for assessing the future environmental loads based on the past socio-economic trends has been developed. By using this model, the environmental trends until 2032 in the Asia-Pacific 42 countries have been estimated. This AIM/Trend model has characteristics of econometric model and communication tool to enhance discussions and search for countermeasures by envisaging environmental conditions in a consistent way. Results of AIM/Trend model show that Asia-Pacific countries have a wide range of economy, energy, and environment conditions. It makes the country-level study in this region more important to deal with the diversity of Asia-Pacific countries.


Color Plate Final Energy Demand Policy Interface Emission Reduction Rate Total Primary Energy Supply 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.


  1. EIA/DOE (2001) International energy outlook 2001. EIA’s National Energy Information Center, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
  2. Fujino J (2001) Development of AIM-Trend model as a communication tool to enhance discussions about prospect of energy and environment in each Asia-Pacific country. In: Proceeding of IFAC Workshop on modeling and control in environmental issues, Yokohama, pp109–114Google Scholar
  3. IEA(2001) Energy statistics 2001 CD-ROM. IEA, ParisGoogle Scholar
  4. IMF (2001) World economic outlook May 2001. IMF, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
  5. IPCC (1996) Revised IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories: reference manual, vol 3. Hadley Centre, BracknellGoogle Scholar
  6. IPCC (2000) Special report on emission scenarios. Cambridge University, Cambrige PressGoogle Scholar
  7. Klein, Goldewijk CGM, Battjes, JJ (1995) The IMAGE 2 hundred year (1890-1990) data base of the global environment (HYDE). RIVM rapport 481507008Google Scholar
  8. UN (1998) World population prospects: The 1998 revision. UN publication, New YorkGoogle Scholar
  9. UN (2000) Energy statistics yearbook 1997. UN publication, New YorkGoogle Scholar
  10. UNEP (2002) Global environment outlook 3 2002. Earthscan Publications, LondonGoogle Scholar
  11. WB (2000) World development indicators 2000 CD-ROM. WB, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Japan 2003

Authors and Affiliations

  • Junichi Fujino
    • 1
  • Shigekazu Matsui
    • 2
  • Yuzuru Matsuoka
    • 3
  • Mikiko Kainuma
    • 1
  1. 1.National Institute for Environmental StudiesTsukubaJapan
  2. 2.Fuji Research Institute CorporationTokyoJapan
  3. 3.Kyoto UniversityKyotoJapan

Personalised recommendations