Abstract
Modern global inter-bank spot foreign exchange is essentially a limit-order market. Execution strategies in such a market may differ from those in markets that permit market orders. Here we describe microstructure and dynamics of the EBS market (EBS being an ICAP company is the leading institutional spot FX electronic brokerage). In order to illustrate specifics of the limit-order market, we discuss two problems. First, we describe our simulations of maker loss in case when the EUR/USD maker order is pegged to the market best price. We show that the expected maker loss is lower than the typical bid/offer spread. Second, we discuss the problem of optimal slicing of large orders for minimizing execution costs. We start with analysis of the expected execution times for the EUR/USD orders submitted at varying market depth. Then we introduce a loss function that accounts for the market volatility risk and the order’s P/L in respect to the market best price. This loss function can be optimized for given risk aversion. Finally, we apply this approach to slicing large limit orders.
The information presented in this work is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Any opinions expressed in this work are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of ICAP Electronic Broking LLC, its management, officers or employees.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Chaboud AP, Chernenko SV, Howorka E, Krishnasami RS, Liu D, Wright JH (2004) The high-frequency effects of US macroeconomic data releases on prices and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market. International Finance Discussion Papers, N823
Dacorogna MM, Gencay R, Muller U, Olsen RB, Pictet OV (2001) An introduction to high-frequency finance. Academic, New York
Lyons RK (2001) The microstructure approach to exchange rates. MIT Press, Cambridge
Goodhart CAO, O’Hara M (1997) High frequency data in financial markets: issues and applications. J Empir Finan 4:73–114
Berger DW, Chaboud AP, Chernenko SV, Howorka E, Krishnasami RS, Liu D, Wright JH (2005) Order flow and exchange rate dynamics in electronic brokerage system data. International Finance Discussion Papers, N830
Howorka E, Schmidt AB (2006) Dynamics of the top of the order book in a global FX spot market. In: Computational finance and its applications. WIT Press, Southampton, pp 257–266
Ito T, Hashimoto Y (2006) Intra-day seasonality in activities of the foreign exchange markets: evidence from the electronic broking system. J Japanese Int Econ 20(4):637–664
Chaboud AP, Chiquoine B, Hjalmarsson E, Loretan M (2008) Frequency of observation and the estimation of integrated volatility in deep and liquid financial markets. BIS Working Paper 249
LeBaron B, Zhao Y (2008) Foreign exchange reversals in New York time. Working paper. Brandeis University
Hashimoto Y, Ito T, Ohnishi T, Takayasu M, Takayasu H, Watanabe T (2008) Random walk or a run: market microstructure analysis of the foreign exchange rate movements based on conditional probability. NBER Working Paper 14160
Dunis CL, Williams M (2003) Applications of advanced regression analysis for trading and investment. In: Applied quantitative methods for trading and investment. Wiley, New York, pp 1–40
Osler C (2003) Currency orders and exchange-rate dynamics: explaining the success of technical analysis. J Finance 58:1791–1819
James J (2005) FX trading models – how are they doing? Quant Finan 5(5):425–431
Smith C (2008) The rise of alternative trading venues. J Trading 3(1):56–58
Biais B, Hillion P, Spatt CS (1995) An empirical analysis of the limit order book and the order flow in the Paris bourse. J Finance 50(5):1655–1689
Harris L, Hasbrouck J (1996) Market versus limit orders: the superdot evidence on order submission strategy. J Finan Quant Anal 31:213–231
Lo AW, MacKinlay AC, Zhang J (2002). Econometric models of limit-order executions. J Fin Econ 65:31–71
Hollifield B, Miller RA, Sandas P, Slive J (2006). Estimating the gains from trade in limit-order markets. J Finance 61:2753–2804
Potters M, Bouchaud J-P (2003) More statistical properties of order book and price impact. Physica A 324:133–140
Eisler Z, Kertesz J, Lillo F, Mantegna RN (2009) Diffusive behavior and the modeling of characteristic times in limit order executions. Quant Finan 9:547–563
Howorka E, Nagirner E, Schmidt AB (2007). Analysis of order execution in a global FX spot market. In: 13th International conference on computing in economics and finance, Montreal
Howorka E, Nagirner E, Schmidt AB (2007) Maker or taker: simulations of trading loss in the EBS market. ICAP Memo
Schmidt AB (2008) Simulation of maker loss in the global inter-bank FX market. J Trading 3(4):66–70
Farmer JD, Gerig A, Lillo F, Mike S (2006) Market efficiency and the long-memory of supply and demand: is price impact variable and permanent or fixed and temporary? Quant Finan 6(2):107–112
Bouchaud J-P, Kockelkoren J, Potters M (2006) Random walks, liquidity molasses and critical response in financial markets. Quant Finan 6(2):115–123
Almgren R, Chriss N (2000) Optimal execution of portfolio transactions. Risk 3(2):5–39
Kissell R, Glantz M (2003) Optimal trading strategies. AMACOM
Kissell, R, Glantz M, Malamut R (2004) A practical framework for estimating transaction costs and developing optimal strategies to achieve best execution. Fin Res Lett 1(1):35–46
Fabozzi F, Kolm PN, Pachamanova D, Focardi SM (2007) Robust portfolio optimization and management. Wiley, New York
Sullivan R, Timmermann A, White H (1999) Data-snooping, technical trading rule performance, and the bootstrap. J Finance 54:1647–1691
Aronson RA (2006) Evidence-based technical analysis: applying the scientific method and statistical inference to trading signals. Wiley, New York
Fusai G, Ronoroni A (2008) Implementing models in quantitative finance: methods and cases. Springer, Berlin
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2010 Springer
About this paper
Cite this paper
Schmidt, A.B. (2010). Microstructure and Execution Strategies in the Global Spot FX Market. In: Takayasu, M., Watanabe, T., Takayasu, H. (eds) Econophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-53853-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-53853-0_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Tokyo
Print ISBN: 978-4-431-53852-3
Online ISBN: 978-4-431-53853-0
eBook Packages: Physics and AstronomyPhysics and Astronomy (R0)