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Forecast performance in natural sciences

Abstract

This chapter evaluates the predictive performance of thermodynamics in distinguishing between experimental and non-experimental contexts. Two historic case studies, namely on the latent heat of fusion and the ideal gas law, warrant the conclusion that experimental thermodynamics is characterized by predictive progress in depth as well as in scope. The non-experimental case is explored by examining attempts to predict the climate. Climatology’s predictive performance is found to be poor.

Keywords

Latent Heat Natural Science Predictive Performance Forecast Performance Predictive Success 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Deutscher Universitäts-Verlag | GWV Fachverlage GmbH, Wiesbaden 2006

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