Abstract
Traditional accounts of rational decision making cannot be applied in the field of macroeconomic policy-making because macroeconomic forecasts fail consistently. Having elaborated a minimalist notion of instrumental rationality, this chapter shows in particular that neither the deterministic nor the probabilistic account of rational choice can be applied. Furthermore, rational decision making cannot be based on causal knowledge, either. Eventually, macroeconomic policy-making is characterized as decision making under uncertainty and ignorance.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2006 Deutscher Universitäts-Verlag | GWV Fachverlage GmbH, Wiesbaden
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
(2006). Consequences for traditional decision making. In: Prediction or Prophecy?. DUV. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8350-9053-8_11
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8350-9053-8_11
Publisher Name: DUV
Print ISBN: 978-3-8350-0223-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-8350-9053-8
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)