Skip to main content

Predictability of Industry Returns After M&A Announcements

  • Chapter
  • 404 Accesses

Abstract

This essay documents a strong and prevalent drift in longterm industry returns after M&A announcements. Specifically, industries that experience positive average announcement reactions continue to do well in the future, while industries that experience negative average announcement reactions continue to do poorly. Industry M&A investment strategies, which buy positively reacting industries and sell negatively reacting industries, appear profitable even after controlling for size and book-to-market effects in returns. Profitability has strengthened over time and seems to exist also for the largest stocks. The evidence suggests that capital markets underreact to the industrywide information provided by merger announcements.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Moeller, Sara B., Frederik P. Schlingemann, and Rene M. Stulz, 2004, Firm Size and the Gains from Acquisitions, Journal of Financial Economics 73(2), 201–228.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loughran, Tim, and Anand M. Vijh, 1997, Do Long-Term Shareholders Benefit from Corporate Acquisitions?, Journal of Finance 52(5), 1765–1790.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eckbo, B. Espen, 1983, Horizontal Mergers, Collusion, and Stockholder Wealth, Journal of Financial Economics 11(1–4), 241–273.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eckbo, B. Espen, 1985, Mergers and the Market Concentration Doctrine: Evidence from the Capital Market, Journal of Business 58(3), 325–349.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Song, Moon H., and Ralph A. Walkling, 2000, Abnormal Returns to Rivals of Acquisition Targets: A Test of the ‘Acquisition Probability Hypothesis.’, Journal of Financial Economics 55(2), 143–171.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fee, C. Edward, and Shawn Thomas, 2004, Sources of Gains in Horizontal Mergers: Evidence from Customer, Supplier, and Rival Firms, Journal of Financial Economics 74(3), 423–460.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shahrur, Husayn, 2005, Industry Structure and Horizontal Takeovers: Analysis of Wealth Effects on Rivals, Suppliers, and Corporate Customers, Journal of Financial Economics 76(1), 61–98.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moskowitz, Tobias J., and Mark Grinblatt, 1999, Do Industries Explain Momentum?, Journal of Finance 54(4), 1249–1290.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fuller, Kathleen, Jeffry Netter, and Mike Stegemoller, 2002, What Do Returns to Acquiring Firms Tell Us? Evidence from Firms That Make Many Acquisitions, Journal of Finance 57(4), 1763–1793.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brown, Stephen J., and Jerold B. Warner, 1980, Measuring Security Price Performance, Journal of Financial Economics 8(3), 205–258.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Banz, Rolf W., 1981, The Relationship between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks, Journal of Financial Economics 9(1), 3–18.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1992, The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns, Journal of Finance 47(2), 427–465.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1993, Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stock and Bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 33(1), 3–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1996, Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies, Journal of Finance 51(1), 55–84.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daniel, Kent, and Sheridan Titman, 1997, Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns, Journal of Finance 52(1), 1–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Newey, Whitney K., and Kenneth D. West, 1987, A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix, Econometrica 55(3), 703–708.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White, Halbert, 1980, A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity, Econometrica 48(4), 817–838.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Gabler | GWV Fachverlage GmbH, Wiesbaden

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

(2008). Predictability of Industry Returns After M&A Announcements. In: Selected Essays in Empirical Asset Pricing. Gabler. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-9814-9_3

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics