Scenario and Policy Analysis

Part of the Contributions to Economics book series (CE)


In this chapter the author’s semi-endogenous growth model is applied to various demographic problems. The presented scenarios are conceptual. Thus, general results and explanations for the case of aging and shrinking of economies are presented. In later empirical work one can estimate all exogenous variables for a full parameter adoption. Then the model delivers results – based on the neoclassical growth theory – on how a country will develop over time.


Total Fertility Rate Dependency Ratio Growth Sector Family Orientation Real Investment 


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© Physica-Verlag HD 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & Management gGmbHHochschulstudienzentrum LeipzigLeipzigGermany

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