Abstract
The paper concerns selection of mathematical statistical model for prediction of time series of Heat Supply Daily Diagram (HSDD). This forecast is utilized for control of technological process in real time. The solved prediction is specially determined for qualitative-quantitative method of hot-water piping heat output control — Baláte system which enables to eliminate transport delay by the qualitative control only. Importance of it is increased namely for controlled systems having great time constants and great transport delay. The model according to BOX-JENKINS is used for calculation of time series prediction. The credibility of the tested model is estimated from three points of view.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Box, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M.: Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. Holden Day, San Francisco (1976)
Dostâl, P.: Machine Processing of Daily Diagram Course Prediction of Loading the Centralized Heat Supply System. Ph.D Thesis, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering of TU Brno, Brno (1986)
Dostâl, P.: Mathematical stochastic linear model. Students’ Scientific Work (20 pp). Faculty of Mechanical Engineering of TU Brno, Brno (1978)
Chramcov, B.: Control of Hot-Water Piping Heat Output — Program for Calculation of Time Series Prediction. Diploma Thesis. Institute of Automation and Control Technology, Faculty of Technology in Zlín, TU Bmo, Zlín (1998)
Baldte, J.: Design of Automated Control System of Centralized Heat Supply. PhSc Thesis. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering of TU Brno, Brno (1982)
Cipra, T.: Time Series Analysis with Applications in Economy SNTL, Prague (1986)
Andel, J.: Statistical Analysis of Time Series. SNTL, Prague (1976)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2000 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Baláte, J., Chramcov, B. (2000). Selection of Mathematics Model for Daily Diagram Prediction According to Box-Jenkins Method. In: Hampel, R., Wagenknecht, M., Chaker, N. (eds) Fuzzy Control. Advances in Soft Computing, vol 6. Physica, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1841-3_21
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1841-3_21
Publisher Name: Physica, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-7908-1327-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-7908-1841-3
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive