Abstract
There is little doubt that the rise of China as a space faring nation will have a significant impact on other states operating in space. Any new or nascent space programme will create challenges. However, the rapid advance of its programme, and the questions that were raised more broadly as a result of its 2007 Anti-Satellite (ASAT) test regarding space debris and space security, highlight those potential challenges very particularly. China’s rapidly accelerating space programme also challenges the status quo in space, and that will be felt most keenly by the most established space power, the United States (U.S.).
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Notes
- 1.
“UCS Satellite Database” 1 Sept. 2013 Union of Concerned Scientists 18 Dec. 2013 http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear_weapons_and_global_security/space_weapons/technical_issues/ucs-satellite-database.html.
- 2.
“Space Foundation's 2013 Report Reveals 6.7 % Growth in the Global Space Economy in 2012” 4 Feb. 2013 Space Foundation 18 Dec. 2013. http://www.spacefoundation.org/media/press-releases/space-foundations-2013-report-reveals-67-percent-growth-global-space-economy.
- 3.
“Long March 4C launches three Yaogan Weixing-17 satellites” 1 Sept. 2013 NASASpacelight.com, September 1, 2013 http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2013/09/long-march-4c-launches-yg17-mission/
- 4.
“Jane’s Space Systems and Industry: Yaogan series” 22 Jun. 2012 HIS Jane’s 19 Dec. 2013. http://articles.janes.com/articles/Janes-Space-Systems-and-Industry/Yaogan-series-China.html.
- 5.
Buckley, Chris. “As Rover Lands, China Joins Moon Club” 19 Dec. 2013 The New York Times 14 Dec. 2013. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/15/world/asia/china-lands-probe-on-the-moon-report-says.html?_r = 0.
- 6.
Ibid.
- 7.
“Shenlong ‘Divine Dragon’ Takes Flight: Is China Developing its First Spaceplane?” 19 Dec. 2013 China SignPost 4 May 2012. http://www.chinasignpost.com/2012/05/shenlong-divine-dragon-takes-flight-is-china-developing-its-first-spaceplane/.
- 8.
Ibid.
- 9.
For China’s first anti-ballistic missile test, see: Zhi, Lin. “China conducts test on ground-based midcourse missile interception” 18 Dec. 2013 Xinhua Net 11 Jan. 2010. http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2010-01/11/content_12792329.htm. For a good overview of the 2007 anti-satellite test, see: Kan, Shirley. “China’s Anti-Satellite Weapon Test” 23 Apr. 2007 CRS Report 20 Dec 2013. https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS22652.pdf.
- 10.
The Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy, “Russia and China Introduce Draft Treaty on Space Weapons” Disarmament Diplomacy 66 (2002).
- 11.
Bates G and Martin K (2007) China’s Space Odyssey: What the Anti-satellite Test Reveals About Decision-Making in Beijing. Foreign Affairs 86.3:2–3 and, Brian W (2011) Conference paper: “The Dragon’s New Eyes: China’s Space-Based Surveillance Capabilities, Doctrine, Strategy, and Implications” Secure World Foundation, from audio transcript available at http://swfound.org/events/2011/the-dragon%E2%80%99s-new-eyes-china%E2%80 %99 s-space-based-surveillance-capabilities,-doctrine,-strategy,-and-implications.
- 12.
Barnes, E. Julian and Page, Jeremy. “China Snubs U.S. Defense Pitch” 18 Dec. 2013 Wall Street Journal 11 Jan. 2011. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703779704576073652543622180.html.
- 13.
Ford, Peter. “Gates's challenge in China: Why he's looking far beyond J-20 stealth fighters” 21 Dec. 2013 The Christian Science Monitor 7 Jan. 2011. http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2011/0107/Gates-s-challenge-in-China-Why-he-s-looking-far-beyond-J-20-stealth-fighters.
- 14.
Pike, John of globalsecurity.org quoted in Book, Elizabeth G. “Will the "Bad Guys" Shoot Down U.S. Satellites?” 20 Dec. 2013 National Defense. 1 Oct. 2001. http://www.globalsecurity.org/org/news/2001/011001-asat.htm.
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Hilborne, M.P. (2015). The Impact of China’s Rise in Space. In: Al-Ekabi, C., Baranes, B., Hulsroj, P., Lahcen, A. (eds) Yearbook on Space Policy 2012/2013. Yearbook on Space Policy. Springer, Vienna. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7091-1827-6_7
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