Abstract
Assessments of Chinese poverty alleviation policy have long been dominated by qualitative analysis, while relatively little quantitative and empirical analysis has been conducted. This section empirically estimates the poverty alleviation effects of urban and rural economic development from the perspective of the FGT poverty index and the crossover time index in order to analyze the effectiveness of poverty alleviation policies.
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- 1.
The summary of macro urban poverty policy references Zhang Jianhua’s (2010) research.
- 2.
According to the poverty decomposition method proposed by Kakwani in 1997.
- 3.
In order to facilitate international comparison, after comparing the poverty lines of a majority of low-income and high-income countries in 1985, the World Bank set US$1 and US$2 (actually US$1.02 and US$2.04) per person per day by PPP as the poverty lines for low- and high-income countries, respectively. In 1993, these were revised to US$1.08 and US$2.15.
- 4.
The online software calculates China’s rural and urban poverty indices from 1980 to 2008 (http://www.worldbank.org/lism/povcal).
- 5.
This indicator was presented by Watts in 1968.
- 6.
Using Taloy’s starting point as the first approximation.
- 7.
This conclusion differs from that of existing studies. Existing studies find that adjustments to the poverty line will significantly affect crossover time—a US$0.50 upward adjustment to the poverty line will triple the crossover time of the urban poor and cause the crossover time of the rural poor to increase by between three and five times.
- 8.
China’s current real poverty line is US$2.15 in urban areas and US$1.05 in the countryside. The adjustment of the poverty lines from US$1 to US$1.5 and US$2 to US$2.50 is done to observe the sensitivity of poverty in China.
- 9.
Asia Development Bank report: “Inequality in Asia,” 2008.
- 10.
This study follows Liu Jian’s (2009) definition of social participation.
- 11.
This study references Liu Jian’s (2009) categories of social participation.
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Appendix A: Poverty Measures in China 1981–2005
Appendix A: Poverty Measures in China 1981–2005
Rural | H (%) | PG (%) | SPG (%) | Watts | Gini (%) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | H1 | H1.5 | P1 | P1.5 | S1 | S1.5 | W1 | W1.5 | |
1981 | 5.95 | 24.56 | 1.06 | 5.66 | 0.35 | 1.87 | 0.0135 | 0.0723 | 24.73 |
1984 | 7.61 | 26.7 | 1.07 | 6.21 | 0.2 | 2.04 | 0.0128 | 0.0793 | 26.69 |
1985 | 10.74 | 32.31 | 1.93 | 8.24 | 0.48 | 2.99 | 0.0236 | 0.1068 | 27.12 |
1987 | 8.3 | 23.75 | 1.53 | 6.05 | 0.46 | 2.17 | 0.0177 | 0.0792 | 29.45 |
1990 | 16.35 | 44.8 | 3.05 | 12.1 | 0.79 | 4.53 | 0.0363 | 0.1592 | 30.57 |
1992 | 39.92 | 70.15 | 12.06 | 26.79 | 5.06 | 13.3 | 0.1657 | 0.3937 | 32.03 |
1993 | 22.31 | 54.9 | 4.85 | 16.1 | 1.48 | 6.49 | 0.0611 | 0.2161 | 32.13 |
1994 | 41.11 | 70.78 | 13.84 | 28.25 | 6.6 | 14.87 | 0.202 | 0.4358 | 33.84 |
1995 | 33.98 | 61.29 | 10.73 | 23.22 | 4.69 | 11.7 | 0.1502 | 0.3462 | 33.98 |
1996 | 8 | 27.92 | 1.23 | 6.49 | 0.31 | 2.04 | 0.0142 | 0.0819 | 33.62 |
1997 | 20.24 | 42.38 | 5.86 | 14.27 | 2.36 | 6.7 | 0.0763 | 0.21 | 33.12 |
1998 | 21.35 | 44.91 | 5.88 | 14.92 | 2.25 | 6.84 | 0.0747 | 0.2134 | 33.07 |
1999 | 9.84 | 29.76 | 1.65 | 7.32 | 0.44 | 2.43 | 0.0194 | 0.0935 | 35.39 |
2002 | 8.07 | 25.88 | 1.28 | 6.16 | 0.32 | 1.97 | 0.0141 | 0.0783 | 38.02 |
2005 | 9.7 | 8.47 | 0.24 | 1.44 | 0.063 | 0.39 | 0.0028 | 0.0161 | 35.85 |
Urban | H (%) | PG (%) | SPG (%) | Watts | Gini (%) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | H1 | H1.5 | P1 | P1.5 | S1 | S1.5 | W1 | W1.5 | |
1981 | 1.79 | 5.91 | 0.38 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.004 | 0.0132 | 18.46 |
1984 | 3.8 | 14.46 | 0.56 | 2.11 | 0.18 | 0.55 | 0.007 | 0.0247 | 17.79 |
1987 | 4.36 | 16.98 | 0.96 | 2.29 | 0.47 | 0.86 | 0.0106 | 0.0264 | 20.2 |
1990 | 20.21 | 35.33 | 4.21 | 8.86 | 1.39 | 3.14 | 0.0512 | 0.114 | 25.59 |
1992 | 13.41 | 28.44 | 2.66 | 6.21 | 0.96 | 2.17 | 0.0349 | 0.0788 | 24.17 |
1993 | 20.92 | 36 | 4.59 | 9.3 | 1.57 | 3.48 | 0.0576 | 0.1192 | 28.47 |
1994 | 18.87 | 32.17 | 4.28 | 8.47 | 1.52 | 3.24 | 0.0533 | 0.1096 | 29.22 |
1995 | 12.49 | 24.08 | 2.59 | 5.66 | 0.9 | 2.03 | 0.0322 | 0.072 | 28.27 |
1996 | 8.76 | 18.7 | 1.6 | 3.96 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 0.0197 | 0.0489 | 29.09 |
1997 | 6.94 | 15.13 | 1.36 | 3.23 | 0.48 | 1.1 | 0.0176 | 0.0396 | 29.35 |
1998 | 7.68 | 15.14 | 1.86 | 3.71 | 0.82 | 1.51 | 0.02 | 0.0452 | 29.94 |
1999 | 6.9 | 14.51 | 1.37 | 3.18 | 0.48 | 1.1 | 0.0176 | 0.0402 | 31.55 |
2002 | 3.1 | 7.23 | 0.69 | 1.54 | 0.3 | 0.58 | 0.0086 | 0.0209 | 33.46 |
2005 | 1.28 | 2.87 | 0.36 | 0.68 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.0039 | 0.0075 | 34.8 |
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Yan, K. (2016). The Development Direction of the Theory and Practice of the “China Model” of Poverty Alleviation in the New Era. In: Poverty Alleviation in China. Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China’s Development Path. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-47392-4_5
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