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Proceedings of the 27th Conference of Spacecraft TT&C Technology in China pp 477–487Cite as

Analysis of False Alarm and Missing Alarm in Conjunction Assessment of Space Objects

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering ((LNEE,volume 323))

Abstract

The risks of collision between space objects are becoming more serious than ever. In order to ensure on-orbit safety, collision probability (Pc), which provides a quantitative measure of likelihood between space objects, is widely used to evaluate the risk of collision. But the conjunction assessment of space objects is substantially a discriminant analysis problem, and there is always a question about the reliability of Pc. In this paper, the probabilities of missing alarm and false alarm are studied based on the explicit expressions of Pc, the safety-region and danger-region of conjunction assessment are defined, and the definition, formula, and basic property of probabilities of missing alarm and false alarm are provided. This paper provides an idea for the reliability calculation of Pc, which is useful for us to directly know the reliability of Pc, balance the cost of taking action to maneuver the spacecraft or not, and make the final decision.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Information and Electronics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China

    Chaowei Ma

  2. Beijing Institute of Tracking and Telecommunications Technology, Beijing, 100094, China

    Chaowei Ma

  3. College of Aerospace Science and Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, China

    Xianzong Bai

Authors
  1. Chaowei Ma
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  2. Xianzong Bai
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chaowei Ma .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing, China

    Rongjun Shen

  2. Beijing Institute of Tracking and Telecommunications Technology, Beijing, China

    Weiping Qian

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Ma, C., Bai, X. (2015). Analysis of False Alarm and Missing Alarm in Conjunction Assessment of Space Objects. In: Shen, R., Qian, W. (eds) Proceedings of the 27th Conference of Spacecraft TT&C Technology in China. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 323. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-44687-4_43

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-44687-4_43

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-662-44686-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-44687-4

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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