Abstract
Accurate traffic speed prediction is essential in the development of intelligent transportation systems. Even though a lot of methods have been proposed for traffic prediction, few works pay attention to the application of ensemble learning and feature subset selection. In this paper, we propose an implementation of ensemble learning using combination of M5 model tree and bagging to tackle traffic speed prediction. A method to select optimal neighboring links as features for our prediction model is also introduced, and different feature subset selection methods are compared. Experimental results show that the proposed ensemble with feature subset selection outperforms both single model and nonparametric model (k-NN).
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Acknowledgments
This research was supported by MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning), Korea, under the ITRC (Information Technology Research Center) support program (NIPA-2013-(H0301-13-1012)) supervised by the NIPA (National IT Industry Promotion Agency).
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Rasyidi, M.A., Ryu, K.R. (2014). Short-Term Speed Prediction on Urban Highways by Ensemble Learning with Feature Subset Selection. In: Han, WS., Lee, M., Muliantara, A., Sanjaya, N., Thalheim, B., Zhou, S. (eds) Database Systems for Advanced Applications. DASFAA 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8505. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-43984-5_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-43984-5_4
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