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Implementation: Ethical Aspects, Validation, and Testing of Complex Societal Methodologies

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Abstract

In this chapter, Implementation; Ethical Aspects, Validation, and Testing of Complex Societal Methodologies, the discussion about the use of the Compram methodology will continue with four issues:

  • Possible opposition against implementation of large technological projects

  • Ethical aspects of the Compram methodology

  • External, internal, boundary, and report validation of research of complex societal problems

  • Scientific testing of methodologies of societal complexity.

The cases of the high-speed railway, the expansion of Schiphol airport, and the floods of Dutch rivers will be addressed to illustrate the Theory of the Methodology of Societal Complexity.

This Chapter, Implementation; Ethical Aspects, Validation and Testing of Complex Societal Methodologies, is based on the articles. DeTombe (2000a, b, c); DeTombe (2001h); DeTombe (2003e); DeTombe (2008a, c); DeTombe (2010).

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Notes

  1. 1.

    HSL is an abbreviation of Hoge Snelheids Lijn (high-speed railway).

  2. 2.

    The plans for creating this line were already mentioned in 1968 (Jansen 1972). As of 2014 this subway line has not been completed.

  3. 3.

    In 1972 Siemens (Germany, The Netherlands, and France) was given by the German government the commission to build a nuclear power plant in Germany, because Germany wanted to decrease its energy import. The fast breeder nuclear reactor SNR-300 in Gorleben (North Rhine-Westphalia) was finished in 1985. The project cost 3.5 billion Euros. However, already during the development of this nuclear power plant a huge societal protest was started because of the safety-threatening elements of the nuclear power plant. The opposition was successful; therefore the power plant was never taken into use. After one decade of waiting the plant was sold in 1995 for about 2.5 million Euros and turned into an amusement park called Corewater Wonderland (Wikipedia).

  4. 4.

    See Chaps. 7 and 8 for a description of the Compram methodology.

  5. 5.

    A steering instrument is a political power instrument, such as a law.

  6. 6.

    Formal power refers to official letters and replies; informal power refers to discussions outside the official meetings.

  7. 7.

    The concept of self-steering is a central concept of the Theory of Socio-Cybernetics. It points to the fact that an actor is a self-organizing identity and able on its own initiative to react and to decide what kind of reaction he/she will give (see also DeTombe and VanDijkum 1998).

  8. 8.

    Remember the fairytale of Sleeping Beauty in which the fairy, who was not invited to the birth celebration of the princes, was so angry that she wished the child to die (Grimm 1812).

  9. 9.

    This could be seen in the high-speed railway project in The Netherlands (HSL project) where some local governments wanted the railway link to be connected with their city.

  10. 10.

    The Netherlands implemented cruise missiles with nuclear power elements at the military base Woensdrecht in the 1970s. In spite of the large societal demonstrations against it in the 1980s these missiles are still there.

  11. 11.

    Gorleben is a small town in Germany, where the nuclear power plant Kalkar was built.

  12. 12.

    See, for instance, the ecological lobby, which started with a small group of highly engaged people fighting against pollution.

  13. 13.

    Support groups are groups that support the person who is directly involved in the problem handling process with providing knowledge and advice (see Chap. 7).

  14. 14.

    The Betuwe is a beautiful landscape area in the middle of The Netherlands between the two large rivers Rhine and Meuse. Here fruit trees grow in green orchards and cows and sheep graze in the meadows.

  15. 15.

    See also Chap. 9.

  16. 16.

    Mintzberg (1983, p. 4) defines power in organizations as the capacity to effect and affect organizational outcomes. In relation to large technological projects power can be defined as the way an actor effects and affects the outcome of a project.

  17. 17.

    The costs for Shell for dismantling the platform have grown to more than 23 million US dollars. Shell defends the high costs pointing to the importance for Shell to discuss this issue with society.

  18. 18.

    These last two projects are stopped because of too much opposition and other objections.

  19. 19.

    See also Chap. 14.

  20. 20.

    See Fig. 4.1.

  21. 21.

    See Fig. 11.3: The Netherlands above and under sea level.

  22. 22.

    The amount of water the river has to carry can be as high as 12,000 m3/s, which means 12,000 l water per second. It is the amount of water versus the speed, which, when the water level is too high or the water comes too fast, creates the floods.

  23. 23.

    In The Netherlands all along the river Rhine and Meuse the land near the rivers is protected by dikes.

  24. 24.

    Fortunately there was only economic damage.

  25. 25.

    This was a clear example of privatizing the benefits and socializing the debts of a complex societal problem.

  26. 26.

    Translated this means: Give the rivers more space.

  27. 27.

    Translated this means: A combined search at the last track of the rivers.

  28. 28.

    In Dutch also known as “Calamiteiten plan.”

  29. 29.

    A polder is a former lake that has been artificially dried. Because the area is so low the water has to be pushed out constantly by pumping stations. This used to be operated by windmills.

  30. 30.

    These plans are called “Ruimte voor de rivier” (Give the rivers more space), “Advies Ruimte voor de Rivieren” (Advise about giving the rivers more space), and “Advies Integrale Verkenning Beneden Rivieren” (Advise on a combined search of the last track of the rivers) (Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat 2000; Bestuurlijke Begeleidingsgroep Ruimte voor Rijntakken 2000; Bestuurlijke Begeleidingsgroep Integrale Verkenning Benedenrivieren 2000).

  31. 31.

    The Flood Case is described in Sects. 13.11 and 13.12, and will continue in the Sects. 13.28.

  32. 32.

    See for a further discussion of the Schiphol case Sect. 13.24.1.

  33. 33.

    In 1973 the Dutch government addressed the possibility of making a high-speed direction from Amsterdam to Brussels and Paris. The project started in 1988, and the implementation started in 2000. In 2009 the first track to Anvers was ready. However, until now the project is not successfully completed (Derix and De Groot (2013).

  34. 34.

    A high-speed railway system was planned as a fast train connection between Amsterdam (Schiphol airport) and Paris as a part of the European high-speed railway connection (the HSL, High-Speed line (Dutch: Hoge Snelheids Lijn)). This plan provoked much discussion and opposition, which increased the cost enormously. In 2014 the interventions of the plan are still not fully implemented.

  35. 35.

    CEO is an abbreviation of chief executive officer.

  36. 36.

    See how George Soros played down the currency of Asia in the mid-1990s (NRC Handelsblad, March 1996), how Enron misled the people (NRC Handelsblad, March 2002), and how stockholders were misled by the side letters of Ahold (NRC Handelsblad 2003a, b). See also Chap. 10.

  37. 37.

    In 1991 the “First Iraq war” (The Persian Gulf War) was started by the Bush senior Administration and in 2003 the Second Iraq War was started by the Bush junior Administration.

  38. 38.

    NSA stands for National Security Agency. The NSA is one of the secret services of the USA.

  39. 39.

    NRC Handelsblad 2013.

  40. 40.

    See also Chap. 10.

  41. 41.

    Introduced in Kant’s 1785 Groundwork of the Metaphysic of Morals , it may be defined as a way of evaluating motivations for action also referred to as Foundations of the Metaphysics of Morals, Grounding of the Metaphysics of Morals, and the Grounding for the Metaphysics of Morals (Wikipedia). Freely interpreted: what you do not want others do to you, do not do that to others.

  42. 42.

    War is the main cause of the famine and immigrant problems such as in Africa, and in this way also partly responsible for the HIV/Aids problem.

  43. 43.

    Methodology books such as, for example, De Groot (1969), Segers (1977), Swanborn (1987), and ‘t Hart et al. (1996).

  44. 44.

    An example is the politically vulnerable question of gas drilling in an environmentally highly valued part of the Dutch North Sea, the Waddenzee, a UNESCO world heritage site from 2009 on, in which many birds, fishes, and seals live in peaceful coexistence. Before the government could give an answer in this long-lasting debate it wanted the opinion of experts on the question: “Does, or does not, the drilling harm the environment?” (NRC Handelsblad, November 1999).

  45. 45.

    Socially burning questions are different from the societal demands for research. Societal demands for research are translated into helping the government or large organizations to do their research. Research money for socially burning questions like healthcare problems for women and the elderly or child abuse is often lacking or extremely meager.

  46. 46.

    Validity refers to external and internal validity (Swanborn 1987, p. 189). The difference between external and internal validity comes from experimental psychology.

  47. 47.

    See the methodological textbooks of De Groot (1969), Segers (1977), Swanborn (1987), and ‘t Hart et al. (1996) for a more extended description of validity.

  48. 48.

    I.Q. is intelligence quotient.

  49. 49.

    Not always the distinction between internal and external validity is made. In some textbooks on methodology the differentiation is not made (see ‘t Hart et al. (1996)).

  50. 50.

    Remember the cautionary tale of storks and numbers of babies born. There is no causal relation between the amount of storks and the number of babies born.

  51. 51.

    In Dutch: enquete commissie.

  52. 52.

    The AMC is the Amsterdam Medical Center, which is the academic hospital of the University of Amsterdam.

  53. 53.

    In the Bijlmermeer there live many Afro-Caribbean people.

  54. 54.

    We also reflect on the Schiphol Case in Sect. 13.3, 13.24.1, and 13.26.

  55. 55.

    Three departments of the government were fighting over this issue. The Department of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, in charge of transport, infrastructure, and water management, wanted to expand Schiphol. The Department of Housing responsible for building houses, town and country planning, and environmental issues was strongly against expanding Schiphol and wanted to build houses in this area instead. The Department of Economy wanted an expansion of the airport (Spanjerberg and Pe 1998; DeTombe 2013c).

  56. 56.

    There is still in 2014 a discussion about the noise pollution of Schiphol airport (Blokker 2014; Blokker and Vermeer 2014).

  57. 57.

    See Chap. 8.

  58. 58.

    The Flood Case is described in Sect. 13.11, 13.12, and 13.28.

  59. 59.

    Similar things can be said about the floods of the Saint Lawrence river that wanders at the border between the USA and Canada.

  60. 60.

    When the answer is yes the report is valid.

  61. 61.

    When the answer is yes the report is invalid.

  62. 62.

    The Schiphol Case is described in Sects. 13.13, 13.24.1, and 13.26.

  63. 63.

    The Roman Catholic Church asked a former minister and mayor of a large town in The Netherlands, W. Deetman, to investigate sexual abuse of children by their clergymen (see Deetman et al. 2011a, b). This was also the case in Germany where a research commission was given to a similar kind of person, also a (former) governmental high civil servant (see Die Zeit 2013). By giving the commission of the research to these people the impression was made that the research was going to be carried out by a neutral person from outside, actually by the government. However, both research groups which received the commission were assigned and paid by the Roman Catholic Church, the object of research itself (DeTombe 2014a).

  64. 64.

    See discussion generated by DeKwaadsteniet on the presentation of the research results in the report of the RIVM (Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid (Governmental Institute for Healthcare)). The description of the results gave the impression that these results are certain instead a possible outcome (De Trouw 1999). The uncertainty, inherent of these processes, was not included in the report.

  65. 65.

    For example the methodology books of De Groot (1969), Segers (1977), Swanborn (1987), and ‘t Hart et al. (1996).

  66. 66.

    See Chap. 7.

  67. 67.

    See also this Sect. 13.20.1.

  68. 68.

    See the cases of HSL (High-Speed train Line—Hoge Snelheids Lijn) line (Tweede Kamer der Staten Generaal, 1991) and the expansion of Schiphol airport and the opposition against flooding the Hedwige Polder (Vermeer 2012).

  69. 69.

    See Chap. 7 for more hypotheses about the Compram methodology.

  70. 70.

    Many expensive additional tunnels were needed to save the landscape view (DeTombe 1997f).

  71. 71.

    We have given here just one example. In order to confirm the hypotheses more examples should follow.

  72. 72.

    Gökmen, Sinan, Weber, Gökmen, Ecevit, Sürmeli, Bali, Ecevit, Gökmen, and DeTombe (2004).

  73. 73.

    JST-RISTEX see Chap. 14.

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DeTombe, D. (2015). Implementation: Ethical Aspects, Validation, and Testing of Complex Societal Methodologies. In: Handling Societal Complexity. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-43917-3_13

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