Abstract
“Energy security concerns have always been central to geopolitical interests. Throughout history, the effort to secure access to energy sources and ensure adequate transport routes has demanded technological, commercial, diplomatic and military agility.”1
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References
Fereidum Fesharaki: Energy and the Asian Security Nexus. In: Journal of International Affairs, Autumn 1999, pp. 85–99.
See Issam Al-Chalabi: Market Myths and Political Realities. In: John Calabrese (Ed.): Gulf-Asia Energy Security. Middle East Institute, Washington D.C. 1998, pp. 71–76.
Fereidum Fesharaki: ibid.
See also other publications by the author – Frank Umbach: Geostrategische und geoökonomische Aspekte der chinesischen Sicherheits-und Rüstungspolitik im 21. Jahrhundert – Die Verknüpfung traditioneller Sicherheitspolitik mit Ressourcenfragen im geopolitischen Denken Chinas. In: Gunter Schubert (Ed.): China: Konturen einer Übergangsgesellschaft auf dem Weg in das 21. Jahrhundert. Mitteilungen des Instituts für Asienkunde No. 344, Hamburg 2001, pp. 341–404; Globale Energiesicherheit. Strategische Herausforderungen für die europäische und deutsche Außenpolitik. München 2003, here pp. 103 ff; Konflikt oder Kooperation in Asien-Pazifik? Chinas Einbindung in regionale Sicherheitsstrukturen und die Auswirkungen auf Europa. München 2002, here pp. 330 ff.; and: Die Energiepolitik Chinas. In: Internationale Politik, January 2001, pp. 43–48. See also Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Factor: Myths and Dilemmas of Energy, Security and the Pacific Future. New York 2000; IEA: China’s Worldwide Quest for Energy Security. Paris 2000; Erica Strecker Downs: China’s Quest for Energy Security. MR-1244-AF. RAND-Corporation, Santa Monica 2000.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy. In: Survival, Spring 2002, pp. 115–134 (120).
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 92.
See “China’s Quest for Energy Independence”, Stratfor.Com, 24.5.2002, p. 1.
See the chapter “Energy” in: FEER: Asia 2001 Yearbook. A Review of the Events of 2000. Hong Kong, December 2000, pp. 48–49 (48).
See Chien Chung: China’s Energy Strategy in the 21st Century. Peace Forum Essays, Taipei 2001 <www.dsis.org.tw/peaceforum/p_2e.htm#7>.
For a comparison: the largest oil field in the world Ghawar in Saudi Arabia comprises 70–85 billion barrels of crude oil. The Kazakh oil field Kashagan, another mega oil field, contains around 10–30 billion barrels of crude oil.
Compare: Potentially Massive Oil and Gas Find in China. Stratfor.Com, 5.9.2001; and: China Finds Oil in Tibet. BBC-News, 21.8.2001 (Internet Version).
See the chapter: “Energy”. In: FEER: Asia 2000 Yearbook. A Review of the Events of 1999. Hong Kong, December 1999, pp. 48–49 (49); and Yang Guang: China’s Stabilizing Role. In: John Calabrese (Ed.): Gulf-Asia Energy Security, pp. 39–46 (41). In 2000 the IEA even assumed an import requirement of 200 million tons of crude oil in the year 2010.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 118.
Compare the chapter: “Energy”. In: FEER: Asia 2002 Yearbook. A Review of the Events of 2001. Hong Kong, December 2001, pp. 43–44 (44).
See Chien Chung: China’s Energy Strategy in the 21st Century, p. 1.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 121f.
See Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament. In: Survival, Spring 2000, pp. 73–88 (79).
See Gao Shixian: China. In: Paul B. Stares (Ed.): Rethinking Energy Security in East Asia. Tokyo-New York 2000, pp. 43–58 (52).
See Yang Guang: China’s Stabilizing Role, p. 40.
See Shaun Breslin: The China Challenge? Development, Environment, and National Security. In: Security Dialogue 4/1997, pp. 497–508 (499). See also Gregory D. Foster: China’s Environmental Threat: Crafting a Strategic Response. In: Comparative Strategy 2000, pp. 123–143.
See David Shambaugh in: IHT, 1.10.1999, p. 10.
See Gregory D. Foster: China’s Environmental Threat, p. 123.
So far China only operates two reactors – the nuclear power plant Dayawan in Guandong province and one in Qinshan Zhejiang – while three others are under construction. The sixth nuclear power plant has been under construction since January 2002. See China Daily, 7.1.2002 (Internet Version).
See the chapter: “Energy”. In: FEER: Asia 2001 Yearbook, p. 49.
See “Changes in the Wind?”, Stratfor.Com, 4.1.2001.
See Klaus Sieg: Der Tagesspiegel, 12.6.2002, p. B. 2.
See Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 76.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 88.
See Keiun-Wook Paik: Gas and Oil in Northeast Asia. London 1995, pp. 3–5.
See Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 78.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 89.
See Sujit Dutta: Indo-Gulf Relations: Dimensions of Security. In: John Calabrese (Ed.): Gulf-Asia Energy Security, pp. 47–51 (47f.).
See R.A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 75.
See ibid and the chapter: “Energy”. In: FEER: Asia 2001 Yearbook. A Review of the Events of 2000. Hong Kong, December 2000, pp. 48–49 (48); and Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 75f.
See the chapter: “Energy”. In: FEER: Asia 2001, p. 48.
See FAZ, 14.7.2001, p. 21 and IHT, 14–15.7.2001, p. 9.
See Katsuhiko Suetsugu: Energy Markets and Power Politics. In: John Calabrese (Ed.): Gulf-Asia Energy Security, pp. 53–60 (53).
Fadhil Chalabi: Gulf-Asia-Energy Interdependence. In: John Calabrese (Ed.): Gulf-Asia Energy Security, p. 13–21 (16).
Private purchases of cars in Thailand for example rose by 18% annually between 1985– 1992. See also Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, here p. 77 f.
Fadhil Chalabi: Gulf-Asia-Energy Interdependence. p. 20.
See Yang Guang: China’s Stabilizing Role, p. 41f.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 122ff.
See: China’s Quest for Energy Independence, p. 2f.; and David Lague: The Quest for Energy to Grow, p. 4.
See Katsuhiko Suetsugu: Energy Markets and Power Politics, p. 55.
Ibid., p. 80. For the background see also Jonathan Rynhold: China’s Cautious New Pragmatism in the Middle East. In: Survival 3 (Autumn) 1996, pp. 102–116; and Geoffrey Kemp: The Persian Gulf Remains the Strategic Prize; and by the same author: Energy Superbowl. Strategic Politics and the Persian Gulf and Caspian Basin. Washington D.C. 1997.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 90 f.
See Robert A.Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 81.
US energy expert Kent Calder, in particular, has drawn attention to these dangers. See his studies: Energy Forum. In: The Washington Quarterly, Autumn 1996, pp. 91–95; and: Asia’s Deadly Triangle. How Arms, Energy and Growth Threaten to Destabilize Asia-Pacific. London-Sonoma 1997. See also Frank Umbach: Konflikt oder Kooperation in Asien-Pazifik, Chapters 3 and 9.
Sujit Dutta: Indo-Gulf Relations: Dimensions of Security, p. 49.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 93.
See Martin Kühl: Financial Times Deutschland, 28.3.2002, p. 10.
See Jonathan Rynhold: China’s Cautious New Pragmatism in the Middle East. In: Survival, Autumn 1996, pp. 102–116.
See Bates Gill: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back: The Dynamics of Chinese non-Proliferation and Arms Control Policy-Making in an Era of Reform. In: David Lampton (Ed.): The Making of Chinese Foreign and Security Policy in the Era of Reform. Stanford 2001, pp. 257–288; and the data and discussion in Richard F. Grimmett: Conventional Arms Transfers to Developing Nations, 1993–2000. Washington D.C. (Congressional Research Service), p. 58, <www.fas.org/asmp/resources/govern/crs.2000.pdf>.
See John Calabrese: China and the Persian Gulf: Energy and Security: In: Middle East Journal, Summer 1998, pp. 351–366; and Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 122ff.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 115f.
See Katsuhiko Suetsugu: Energy Markets and Power Politics, pp. 56–58.
See Robert A. Manning: The Asian Energy Predicament, p. 82.
See John Calabrese: Introduction. In Gulf-Asia Energy Security, p. 9.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 91.
Frank Umbach: Konflikt oder Kooperation, here p. 46ff.
COSCO is the second largest shipping company in the world and according to the U.S. acts as the “merchant navy arm of the PLA”. See From Singapore to Port Said: China’s Influence over the World’s Waterways. Stratfor.Com, 10.5.2000.
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 125f.
See Fereidun Fesharaki: Energy and Asian Security Nexus, p. 94.
See South China Morning Post, 8.1.2002 (Internet Version).
See Amy Myers Jaffe/Steven W. Lewis: Beijing’s Oil Diplomacy, p. 127f.
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Umbach, F. (2004). Future Impacts of Chinese and Asian Dependency upon Energy from the Middle East and Central Asia. In: Reiter, E., Hazdra, P. (eds) The Impact of Asian Powers on Global Developments. Physica, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-13172-5_12
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