The effects of demographics and maternal behavior on the distribution of birth outcomes

Abstract

This paper utilizes quantile-regression techniques in order to estimate the effects of demographics and maternal behavior during pregnancy at various quantiles of the birthweight distribution. Due to the high costs and longterm effects (both medical and economic) associated with low-birthweight babies, there is a great deal of interest in quantifying these effects, particularly at the lower end of the birthweight distribution. Using large samples of 1992 and 1996 births in the United States, the quantile-regression estimates indicate that several factors (including race, education, and prenatal care) have a significantly higher impact at lower quantiles and lower impact at higher quantiles. These effects at lower quantiles are underestimated by least-squares regression estimates. The inequality in birthweights implied by these results is quite significant, and there is little indication that the inequality has changed much in recent years.

Financial support from the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business is gratefully acknowledged. This paper has benefited from the comments of Bernd Fitzenberger and two anonymous referees. I am indebted to Roger Koenker and Kevin Hallock, who pointed out an error in my original data.