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A Further Look at Model Evaluation

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Summary

In this chapter we compare the specification tests generally used in econometric model building with recently developed p-step Stone-Geisser prediction tests using jackknife procedures. The comparisons are based on a Monte Carlo study using different structural forms. The structural forms are partly misspecified. Three sets of simulations are presented: A variety of single equation models, a simple multi-equation macro model, and Klein’s Model I using US data. The jackknife based statistics enable a more critical evaluation of the out-of-sample performance of the estimated multi-equation models.

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© 1991 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Schips, B., Abrahamsen, Y. (1991). A Further Look at Model Evaluation. In: Hackl, P., Westlund, A.H. (eds) Economic Structural Change. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-06824-3_5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-06824-3_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-662-06826-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-06824-3

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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