Skip to main content

Interactions between the Tropics and Extratropics

A bit on theory, results and prospects for future predictability

  • Chapter
Global Climate

Abstract

This chapter attempts to review current research on teleconnections between the Tropics and the Extratropics, for the most part at midlatitudes and focusing mainly, though not exclusively, on the Atlantic Ocean. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, the largest interannual climate signal, is the first climate phenomenon shown to depend essentially upon coupled interactions of the dynamics of both ocean and atmosphere and the only one, at present, capable of yielding some (moderate) interannual predictability. In recent works, some regions in the Extratropics have appeared more sensitive to ENSO impacts in the present times. It is however, still unknown whether or not this situation is completely new, and if so, linked to the effects of global warming. Other important uncertainties not yet solved are the unknown impacts on the Extratropics, of large-scale climatic phenomena such as ENSO, in a future and more variable warmer world. The tropical atmospheric bridge hypothesis, though not the only hypothesis, provides a strong basis to address these sorts of interactions dynamically. Other mechanisms for the generation of interannual to interdecadal variability at midlatitudes that involve internal ocean dynamics in midlatitude oceans, might also provide useful insights to enhance climate predictability and will be briefly discussed in this chapter. As a last point, a brief overview is introduced on recent studies and techniques developed for the isolation and modeling of climate forcing on ecosystems. This extreme is achieved using newly-developed specific statistical tools and taking into account transient threshold-dependent relationships.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Adcock, RJ (1878) The Analyst (Des Moines, Iowa), 5, 53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen MR, SFB Tett (1999) Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting. Clim Dyn 15, 419–434.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson DLT, ES Sarachik, PJ Webster, LM Rohstein (1998) The TOGA decade. J. Geophys. Res. (special issue) 14167–14510.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bitz, C.M. and D.S. Battisti (1999) Interannual to decadal variability in climate and the glacier mass balance in Washington, western Canada, and Alaska. Journal of Climate, 12(11):3181–3196.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blackmon ML, YH Lee, HH Hsu (1984) Time variation of 500 mb height fluctuations with long, intermediate, and short time scales as deduced from lag-correlation statistics. J. Atmos. Sci. 41, 981–991.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnett TP, GC Hegerl, T Knutson, SFB Tett (2000) Uncertainty levels in predicted patterns of anthropogenic climate change. J. Geophys.Res., 105, 15525–15542.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barnston AG, RE Livezey (1987) Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115, 1083–1126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bjerknes, J (1966) A possible response of the atmospheric Hadley circulation to equatorial anomalies of ocean temperature. Tellus 18, 820–829.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cai W and PG Baines (2001) Forcing of the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave by ENSO teleconnections. J. Geophys. Res. 106(C5):9019–9038

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cai, W., P.G. Baines and A.B. Pittock (2001) Fluctuations of the relationship between ENSO and northeast Australian rainfall. Clym. Dyn. 17(5/6):421–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cane, M.A., S.E. Zebiak and S.C. Dolan (1986) Experimental forecasts of El Niño. Nature, 321,827–832.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cane MA, Zebiak SE, Xue Y (1995) Model studies of the long-term behavior of ENSO. In: National Research Council (E.J. Barron, chairman) Natural climate variability on decade-tocentury time scales. National Academy Press, Washington, pp. 442–455.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chang, P., L. Ji and H. Li (1997) A decadal climate variation in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean from thermodynamic air-sea interactions. Nature, 385(6616):516–518.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chelliah M, P Arkin (1992) Large-scale variability of monthly outgoing longwave radiation anomalies over the global tropics. J. Clim. 5, 371–389.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dai A, Y Fung, A Del Genio (1997) Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900–1988. J. Clim. 10, 2943–2962.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dai A, TML Wigley (2000) Global patterns of ENSO-induced precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27, 1283–1286.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deser C, JM Wallace (1990) Large-scale atmospheric circulation features ot warm and coldepisodes in the tropical Pacific. J. Clim. 3, 1254–1281.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drévillon M, L Terray, P Rogel, C Cassou (2001) Mid latitude Atlantic SST influence on european winter climate variability in the NCEP reanalysis. Clim. Dyn. 18, 331–344.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Enfield DB, DA Mayer (1997) Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature variability and its relation to El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 102, 929–945.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fedorov, A.V. and S.G. Philander (2000) Is El Niño changing?, Science, 288(5473):1997–2002.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fraedrich K, K Muller (1992) Climate anomalies in Europe associated with ENSO extremes. lnt. J. Clim. 12, 25–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gadgil SP, V Joseph, NV Joshi (1984) Ocean-atmosphere coupling over monsoon regions. Nature 312, 141–143.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goddard, L. and N.E. Graham (1999). Importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa. J. Geophys. Res. 104 (D16):19099–19116.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Graham NE, TP Barnett, R Wilde, M Ponater, S Schubert (1994) On the roles of tropical and midlatitude SSTS in forcing interannual to interdecadal variability in winter Northern Hemisphere circulation. J Clim 7, 1416–1441.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grenfell BT, et al., (1998) Noise and determinism in synchronized sheep dynamics. Nature 394, 674–677.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Griffies SM, K Bryan (1997) A predictability study of simulated North Atlantic multidecadal variability. Clim. Dyn. 13, 459–488.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gu, D. and SGH. Philander (1997) Interdecadal climate fluctuations that depend on excjhanges between the tropics and extratropics. Science, 275:805–807.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, K. (1988) A detailed examination of the extratropical response to tropicai Ei Nino/Southern Oscillation events. J. Clim., 8(1):67–86.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hasselmann, K (1993) Optimal fingerprints for the Detection of Time dependent slimate Change. J. Clim. 6: 1957–1971.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hasselmann K (1997) Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection and attribution of climate change. Clim. Dyn., 13: 601–612.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hasselmann, K. (1976) Stochastic climate models. Tellus, 28:473–484

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hegerl GC, P Stott, M. Allen, JFB Mitchell, SFB Tett, U Cubasch (2000) Detection and attribution of climate change: Sensitivity of results to climate model differences. Clim. Dyn., 16, 737–754.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hoerling MP, A Kumar, M Zhong (1997) El Niño, La Nina, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Clim. 10, 1769–1786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Horel JD, JM Wallace (1981) Planetary scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon Wea Rev 109, 813–829.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hsuing, J. and R.E. Newell (1983) The principal nonseasonal modes of global sea surface temperature. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 13:1957–1967.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC, 2001 Climate Change: The scientific Basis. Contribution of the Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report. Houghton, J.T., D.J. Ding, M. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell and C.A. Johnson (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 881 pp.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs GA, Hurlburt HE, Kindle JC, Metzger EJ, Mitchell JL, Teague WJ, Wallcraft AJ (1994) Decade-scale trans-Pacific propagation and warming effects of an El Niño anomaly. Nature, 370, 360–363.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jacobs GA, JL Mitchell (1996) Ocean circulation variations associated with the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 2947–2950.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kawamura, R., M. Sugi, T. Kayahara and N. Sato (1997). Recent abnormal changes in wintertime atmospheric response to tropical SST forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24(7):783–786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kerr, R. A., 1999: A new force in high-latitude climate. Science, 284, 241–242.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kiladis GN, HF Díaz (1989) Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Clim. 2, 1069–1090.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klein, S.A., B.J. Soden and N.C. Lau (1999) Remote Sea Surface Temperature during ENSO: Evidence for a Tropical Atmospheric Bridge. J. Clim., 12:917–932

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kumar A and MP Hoerling (1995) Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 76, 335–345.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kumar A. and M.P. Hoerling (2000). Analysis of a conceptual model of seasonal climate variability and implications for seasonal prediction. Bull. Am. Met. Soc.. 81(2):255–264

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kumar A., A.G. Barnston, P.T. Peng, M.P. Hoerling and L. Goddard (2000). Changes in the spread of the variability of the seasonal mean atmospheric states associated with ENSO. J. Clim., 13(17):3139–3151.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kushmir, Y. (1999) Climatology — Europe winter prospects . Nature, 39R:219–291

    Google Scholar 

  • Lanzante JL (1996) Lag relationships involving tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Climate 9, 2568–2578.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Latif, M., K. Sperber, J. Arblaster, P. Braconot, D. Chen, A. Colman, U. Cubasch, C. Cooper, P. Delecluse, D. DeWitt, L. Fairhead, G. Flato, T. Hogan, M. Ji, M. Kimoto, A. Kitoh, T. Knutson, H. Le Treut, T. Li, S. Manabe, O. Marti, C. Mechoso, G. Meehl, S. Power, E. Roeckner, J. Sirven, L. Terray, A. Vintzileos, R. Voss, B. Wang. W. Washington (2001). ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project. Clim. Dyn., 18(3/4):255–276.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lau NC and MJ Nath (1990) A general circulation model study of the atmospheric response to extratropical SST anomalies observed in 1950–79. J Clim 9, 965–989.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lau NC and MJ Nath (1994) A modeling study of the elative roles of tropical and extratropical SST anomalies in the variability of the global atmosphere-ocean system. J Clim 7, 1184–1207.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lau NC and MJ Nath (1996) The role of the “atmospheric bridge” in linking tropical Pacific ENSO events to extratropical SST anomalies. J. Clim., 9:2036–2057.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lau NC and MJ Nath (2001) Impact of ENSO on SST variability in the North Pacific and North Atlantic: Seasonal dependence and role of extratropical sea-air coupling. J. Clim. 14(13), 2846–2866.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Madden, R. A., and P. R. Julian (1972) Description of global-scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40–50 day period. J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 1109–1123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mantua NJ, SR Hare, Y Zhang, JM Wallace, RC Francis, Bull Am Met Soc 78, 1069–1079 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • May W, L Bengtsson (1998) The signature of ENSO in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude seasonal flow and high-frequency intraseasonal variability. Met. Atmos. Physics 69, 81–100.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McPhaden M, The child prodigy of 1997–98. Nature 398, 559–562 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meehl GA and WM Washington (1996) El Nino-like climate change in a model with increased atmospheric CO sub(2) concentrations. Nature 382(6586): 56–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Namias, J. (1969) Seasonal interactions between the North Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere during the 1960’s. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97:173–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nature (2002) Voyage of the Argonauts. R. Dalton (correspondent). Nature 415:954–955

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neelin JD, Battisti DS, Hirst AC, Jin F-F, Wakata Y, Yamagata T, Zebiak SE (1998) ENSO theory. J Gephys Res 103: 14261–14290

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oldenborgh, G.J. and G. Burgers (2000) On the El Niño teleconnection to spring precipitation in Europe. Int. Jour. Climatology: 20–565–574

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pascual M, Rodó X, Ellner S, Colwell R, Bouma M (2000) Cholera dynamics and El N iñoSouthern Oscillation. Science, 289, 1766–1769.

    Google Scholar 

  • Peterson RG, WB White (1998) Slow oceanic teleconnections linking the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave with the tropical El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 24573–24583.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Philander, SGH, T. Yamagata and R.C. Pacanowski (1984) Unstable air-sea interactions in the tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 41:604–613

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Philander, SGH (1990) El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation. Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pierce DW, TP Barnett, N Schneider, R Saravanan, D Dommenget, M Latif (2001) The role ot ocean dynamics in producing decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 18: 51–70.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peterson RG, WB White (1998) Slow oceanic teleconnections linking the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave with the tropical El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 24573–24583.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rasmusson EM, TC Carpenter (1982) Variations in tropical sea surface temperature ana surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño. Mon. Wea. Rev. 110, 354–384.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Robinson, W.A. (2000) Review of WETS — The Workshop on Extra-Tropical SST anomalies. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. , 81(3):567–577.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rodó X, E Baert, FA Comín (1997) Variations in seasonal rainfall in Southern Europe during the present century: relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Clim. Dyn. 13, 275–284.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rodó X, FA Comín (2000) Links between large-scale anomalies, rainfall and wine quality in the Iberian Peninsula during the last three decades. Glob. Change Biol. 6, 267–273.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rodó X (2001) Reversal of three global atmospheric fields linking changes in SST anomalies in the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceàns at tropical latitudes and midlatitudes. Clim. Dyn. 18: 203–217.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rodó, X, M Pascual, AS Faruque (submitted) ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?

    Google Scholar 

  • Rodriguez-Arias, M.A. and X. Rodó (in prep). Geophysical fields modeling

    Google Scholar 

  • Rodríguez-Arias MA, X Rodó (2002) On the characterization of transient dynamics in ecoiogical series. Oecologia (in press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Ropelewski CF, MS Halpert (1987) Global and regional-scale precipitation patterns associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115, 1606–1626.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ropelewski CF, MS Halpert (1989) Precipitation patterns associated with the high index phase of the Southern Oscillation. J. Clim. 2, 268–284.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Santoleri R, E. Böhm, ME Schiano (1995) The sea surface temperature of the western Mediterranean sea: historical satellite thermal data. In La Violette PE (ed) Seasonal and interannual variability of the western Mediterranean sea. Am. Geophys. Union, 155–176.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stenseth, NC, et al., 1999: Common dynamic structure of Canada lynx populations within three climatic regions. Science 285, 1071–1073.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Timmermann, A., J. Oberhuber, A. Bacher, M. Esch, M. Latiff and E. Roeckner (1999). Increased El Nino frequency in a climate model forced by future greenhouse warming. Nature, 398(6729):694–697.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tong H, I Yeung (1988) On tests for SETAR-type non-linearity in partially observed time series. Tech. Rep., Institute of Mathematics, University of Kent.

    Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth, K.E. (1998) Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: Implications for rainfall rates and climate change. Clim. Change, 39(4):667–694.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth, K.E. and T.J. Hoar (1996) The 1990–1995 El Nino-Southern Oscillation event: Longest on record. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23(1):57–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth KE, and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmospheric-ocean variations in the Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 9, 303–309.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth KE, GW Branstator, D Karoly, A Kumar, N Clau, C Ropelewski (1998) Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 14291–14324.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DJ and JM Wallace (2002) Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability. J. Climate, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thompson DJ, JM Wallace, G Hegerl (2002) Annular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part II: Trends. Journal of Climate, in press

    Google Scholar 

  • Torrence, C. and G.P. Compo (1998). A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79(1):61–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Torrence, C. and P. Webster (1998). The annual cycle of persistence in the El Nino/Southern Oscillation. Quat. J. of the Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 124(550-part B):1985–2004.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tziperman E, L Stone, H Jarosh, MA Cane, Science 264, 74–74 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Loon H, RA Madden (1981) The Southern Oscillation. Part I: Global associations with pressure and temperature in northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 1150–1162.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Loon H, JC Rogers (1981) The Southern Oscillation. Part II: associations with changes in the middle troposphere in the northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 1163–1168.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Storch H, HA Kruse (1985) Extra-tropical atmospheric response to El Niño events. Tellus 37A, 361–377.

    Google Scholar 

  • von Storch H, E Zorita, U Cubasch (1993) Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: an application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime. J. Clim. 6, 1161–1171.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallace JM, DS Gutzler (1981) Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the northern hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 784–812.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wallace, J.M., E.M. Rasmusson, T.P. Mitchell, V.E. Kousky, E.S. Sarachik, H. von Storch (1998) The structure and evolution of ENSO-related climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Lessons from TOGA. J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7):14241–14259.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weare, B.C., A. Navato and R.E. Newell (1976) Empirical orthogonal analysis of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 6:671–678.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yakir D, S Lev-Yadun, A Zangvil (1996) El Niño and tree ring growth near Jerusalem over the last 20 years. Glob. Change Biol. 2, 97–101.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., J. M. Wallace and D. S. Battisti, 1997: ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J. Climate, 10, 1004–1020.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang R-H, LM Rohstein, A Busalacchi (1998) Origin of upper-ocean warming and El Niño change on decadal scales in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Nature 391, 879–883.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zorita E, V Kharin, H von Storch (1992) The atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic area in winter: their interaction and relevance for Iberian precipitation. J. Clim. 5, 1097–1108.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2003 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Rodó, X. (2003). Interactions between the Tropics and Extratropics. In: Rodó, X., Comín, F.A. (eds) Global Climate. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-05285-3_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-05285-3_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-07856-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-05285-3

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics