Abstract
This chapter attempts to review current research on teleconnections between the Tropics and the Extratropics, for the most part at midlatitudes and focusing mainly, though not exclusively, on the Atlantic Ocean. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, the largest interannual climate signal, is the first climate phenomenon shown to depend essentially upon coupled interactions of the dynamics of both ocean and atmosphere and the only one, at present, capable of yielding some (moderate) interannual predictability. In recent works, some regions in the Extratropics have appeared more sensitive to ENSO impacts in the present times. It is however, still unknown whether or not this situation is completely new, and if so, linked to the effects of global warming. Other important uncertainties not yet solved are the unknown impacts on the Extratropics, of large-scale climatic phenomena such as ENSO, in a future and more variable warmer world. The tropical atmospheric bridge hypothesis, though not the only hypothesis, provides a strong basis to address these sorts of interactions dynamically. Other mechanisms for the generation of interannual to interdecadal variability at midlatitudes that involve internal ocean dynamics in midlatitude oceans, might also provide useful insights to enhance climate predictability and will be briefly discussed in this chapter. As a last point, a brief overview is introduced on recent studies and techniques developed for the isolation and modeling of climate forcing on ecosystems. This extreme is achieved using newly-developed specific statistical tools and taking into account transient threshold-dependent relationships.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Adcock, RJ (1878) The Analyst (Des Moines, Iowa), 5, 53.
Allen MR, SFB Tett (1999) Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting. Clim Dyn 15, 419–434.
Anderson DLT, ES Sarachik, PJ Webster, LM Rohstein (1998) The TOGA decade. J. Geophys. Res. (special issue) 14167–14510.
Bitz, C.M. and D.S. Battisti (1999) Interannual to decadal variability in climate and the glacier mass balance in Washington, western Canada, and Alaska. Journal of Climate, 12(11):3181–3196.
Blackmon ML, YH Lee, HH Hsu (1984) Time variation of 500 mb height fluctuations with long, intermediate, and short time scales as deduced from lag-correlation statistics. J. Atmos. Sci. 41, 981–991.
Barnett TP, GC Hegerl, T Knutson, SFB Tett (2000) Uncertainty levels in predicted patterns of anthropogenic climate change. J. Geophys.Res., 105, 15525–15542.
Barnston AG, RE Livezey (1987) Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115, 1083–1126.
Bjerknes, J (1966) A possible response of the atmospheric Hadley circulation to equatorial anomalies of ocean temperature. Tellus 18, 820–829.
Cai W and PG Baines (2001) Forcing of the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave by ENSO teleconnections. J. Geophys. Res. 106(C5):9019–9038
Cai, W., P.G. Baines and A.B. Pittock (2001) Fluctuations of the relationship between ENSO and northeast Australian rainfall. Clym. Dyn. 17(5/6):421–432
Cane, M.A., S.E. Zebiak and S.C. Dolan (1986) Experimental forecasts of El Niño. Nature, 321,827–832.
Cane MA, Zebiak SE, Xue Y (1995) Model studies of the long-term behavior of ENSO. In: National Research Council (E.J. Barron, chairman) Natural climate variability on decade-tocentury time scales. National Academy Press, Washington, pp. 442–455.
Chang, P., L. Ji and H. Li (1997) A decadal climate variation in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean from thermodynamic air-sea interactions. Nature, 385(6616):516–518.
Chelliah M, P Arkin (1992) Large-scale variability of monthly outgoing longwave radiation anomalies over the global tropics. J. Clim. 5, 371–389.
Dai A, Y Fung, A Del Genio (1997) Surface observed global land precipitation variations during 1900–1988. J. Clim. 10, 2943–2962.
Dai A, TML Wigley (2000) Global patterns of ENSO-induced precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27, 1283–1286.
Deser C, JM Wallace (1990) Large-scale atmospheric circulation features ot warm and coldepisodes in the tropical Pacific. J. Clim. 3, 1254–1281.
Drévillon M, L Terray, P Rogel, C Cassou (2001) Mid latitude Atlantic SST influence on european winter climate variability in the NCEP reanalysis. Clim. Dyn. 18, 331–344.
Enfield DB, DA Mayer (1997) Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature variability and its relation to El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 102, 929–945.
Fedorov, A.V. and S.G. Philander (2000) Is El Niño changing?, Science, 288(5473):1997–2002.
Fraedrich K, K Muller (1992) Climate anomalies in Europe associated with ENSO extremes. lnt. J. Clim. 12, 25–31.
Gadgil SP, V Joseph, NV Joshi (1984) Ocean-atmosphere coupling over monsoon regions. Nature 312, 141–143.
Goddard, L. and N.E. Graham (1999). Importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa. J. Geophys. Res. 104 (D16):19099–19116.
Graham NE, TP Barnett, R Wilde, M Ponater, S Schubert (1994) On the roles of tropical and midlatitude SSTS in forcing interannual to interdecadal variability in winter Northern Hemisphere circulation. J Clim 7, 1416–1441.
Grenfell BT, et al., (1998) Noise and determinism in synchronized sheep dynamics. Nature 394, 674–677.
Griffies SM, K Bryan (1997) A predictability study of simulated North Atlantic multidecadal variability. Clim. Dyn. 13, 459–488.
Gu, D. and SGH. Philander (1997) Interdecadal climate fluctuations that depend on excjhanges between the tropics and extratropics. Science, 275:805–807.
Hamilton, K. (1988) A detailed examination of the extratropical response to tropicai Ei Nino/Southern Oscillation events. J. Clim., 8(1):67–86.
Hasselmann, K (1993) Optimal fingerprints for the Detection of Time dependent slimate Change. J. Clim. 6: 1957–1971.
Hasselmann K (1997) Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection and attribution of climate change. Clim. Dyn., 13: 601–612.
Hasselmann, K. (1976) Stochastic climate models. Tellus, 28:473–484
Hegerl GC, P Stott, M. Allen, JFB Mitchell, SFB Tett, U Cubasch (2000) Detection and attribution of climate change: Sensitivity of results to climate model differences. Clim. Dyn., 16, 737–754.
Hoerling MP, A Kumar, M Zhong (1997) El Niño, La Nina, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. J. Clim. 10, 1769–1786.
Horel JD, JM Wallace (1981) Planetary scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon Wea Rev 109, 813–829.
Hsuing, J. and R.E. Newell (1983) The principal nonseasonal modes of global sea surface temperature. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 13:1957–1967.
IPCC, 2001 Climate Change: The scientific Basis. Contribution of the Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report. Houghton, J.T., D.J. Ding, M. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell and C.A. Johnson (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 881 pp.
Jacobs GA, Hurlburt HE, Kindle JC, Metzger EJ, Mitchell JL, Teague WJ, Wallcraft AJ (1994) Decade-scale trans-Pacific propagation and warming effects of an El Niño anomaly. Nature, 370, 360–363.
Jacobs GA, JL Mitchell (1996) Ocean circulation variations associated with the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 2947–2950.
Kawamura, R., M. Sugi, T. Kayahara and N. Sato (1997). Recent abnormal changes in wintertime atmospheric response to tropical SST forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24(7):783–786.
Kerr, R. A., 1999: A new force in high-latitude climate. Science, 284, 241–242.
Kiladis GN, HF Díaz (1989) Global climatic anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Clim. 2, 1069–1090.
Klein, S.A., B.J. Soden and N.C. Lau (1999) Remote Sea Surface Temperature during ENSO: Evidence for a Tropical Atmospheric Bridge. J. Clim., 12:917–932
Kumar A and MP Hoerling (1995) Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 76, 335–345.
Kumar A. and M.P. Hoerling (2000). Analysis of a conceptual model of seasonal climate variability and implications for seasonal prediction. Bull. Am. Met. Soc.. 81(2):255–264
Kumar A., A.G. Barnston, P.T. Peng, M.P. Hoerling and L. Goddard (2000). Changes in the spread of the variability of the seasonal mean atmospheric states associated with ENSO. J. Clim., 13(17):3139–3151.
Kushmir, Y. (1999) Climatology — Europe winter prospects . Nature, 39R:219–291
Lanzante JL (1996) Lag relationships involving tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Climate 9, 2568–2578.
Latif, M., K. Sperber, J. Arblaster, P. Braconot, D. Chen, A. Colman, U. Cubasch, C. Cooper, P. Delecluse, D. DeWitt, L. Fairhead, G. Flato, T. Hogan, M. Ji, M. Kimoto, A. Kitoh, T. Knutson, H. Le Treut, T. Li, S. Manabe, O. Marti, C. Mechoso, G. Meehl, S. Power, E. Roeckner, J. Sirven, L. Terray, A. Vintzileos, R. Voss, B. Wang. W. Washington (2001). ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project. Clim. Dyn., 18(3/4):255–276.
Lau NC and MJ Nath (1990) A general circulation model study of the atmospheric response to extratropical SST anomalies observed in 1950–79. J Clim 9, 965–989.
Lau NC and MJ Nath (1994) A modeling study of the elative roles of tropical and extratropical SST anomalies in the variability of the global atmosphere-ocean system. J Clim 7, 1184–1207.
Lau NC and MJ Nath (1996) The role of the “atmospheric bridge” in linking tropical Pacific ENSO events to extratropical SST anomalies. J. Clim., 9:2036–2057.
Lau NC and MJ Nath (2001) Impact of ENSO on SST variability in the North Pacific and North Atlantic: Seasonal dependence and role of extratropical sea-air coupling. J. Clim. 14(13), 2846–2866.
Madden, R. A., and P. R. Julian (1972) Description of global-scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40–50 day period. J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 1109–1123.
Mantua NJ, SR Hare, Y Zhang, JM Wallace, RC Francis, Bull Am Met Soc 78, 1069–1079 (1997)
May W, L Bengtsson (1998) The signature of ENSO in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude seasonal flow and high-frequency intraseasonal variability. Met. Atmos. Physics 69, 81–100.
McPhaden M, The child prodigy of 1997–98. Nature 398, 559–562 (1999)
Meehl GA and WM Washington (1996) El Nino-like climate change in a model with increased atmospheric CO sub(2) concentrations. Nature 382(6586): 56–60.
Namias, J. (1969) Seasonal interactions between the North Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere during the 1960’s. Mon. Wea. Rev., 97:173–192
Nature (2002) Voyage of the Argonauts. R. Dalton (correspondent). Nature 415:954–955
Neelin JD, Battisti DS, Hirst AC, Jin F-F, Wakata Y, Yamagata T, Zebiak SE (1998) ENSO theory. J Gephys Res 103: 14261–14290
Oldenborgh, G.J. and G. Burgers (2000) On the El Niño teleconnection to spring precipitation in Europe. Int. Jour. Climatology: 20–565–574
Pascual M, Rodó X, Ellner S, Colwell R, Bouma M (2000) Cholera dynamics and El N iñoSouthern Oscillation. Science, 289, 1766–1769.
Peterson RG, WB White (1998) Slow oceanic teleconnections linking the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave with the tropical El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 24573–24583.
Philander, SGH, T. Yamagata and R.C. Pacanowski (1984) Unstable air-sea interactions in the tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 41:604–613
Philander, SGH (1990) El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation. Academic Press.
Pierce DW, TP Barnett, N Schneider, R Saravanan, D Dommenget, M Latif (2001) The role ot ocean dynamics in producing decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 18: 51–70.
Peterson RG, WB White (1998) Slow oceanic teleconnections linking the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave with the tropical El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 24573–24583.
Rasmusson EM, TC Carpenter (1982) Variations in tropical sea surface temperature ana surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño. Mon. Wea. Rev. 110, 354–384.
Robinson, W.A. (2000) Review of WETS — The Workshop on Extra-Tropical SST anomalies. Bull. Am. Met. Soc. , 81(3):567–577.
Rodó X, E Baert, FA Comín (1997) Variations in seasonal rainfall in Southern Europe during the present century: relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Clim. Dyn. 13, 275–284.
Rodó X, FA Comín (2000) Links between large-scale anomalies, rainfall and wine quality in the Iberian Peninsula during the last three decades. Glob. Change Biol. 6, 267–273.
Rodó X (2001) Reversal of three global atmospheric fields linking changes in SST anomalies in the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceàns at tropical latitudes and midlatitudes. Clim. Dyn. 18: 203–217.
Rodó, X, M Pascual, AS Faruque (submitted) ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?
Rodriguez-Arias, M.A. and X. Rodó (in prep). Geophysical fields modeling
Rodríguez-Arias MA, X Rodó (2002) On the characterization of transient dynamics in ecoiogical series. Oecologia (in press).
Ropelewski CF, MS Halpert (1987) Global and regional-scale precipitation patterns associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 115, 1606–1626.
Ropelewski CF, MS Halpert (1989) Precipitation patterns associated with the high index phase of the Southern Oscillation. J. Clim. 2, 268–284.
Santoleri R, E. Böhm, ME Schiano (1995) The sea surface temperature of the western Mediterranean sea: historical satellite thermal data. In La Violette PE (ed) Seasonal and interannual variability of the western Mediterranean sea. Am. Geophys. Union, 155–176.
Stenseth, NC, et al., 1999: Common dynamic structure of Canada lynx populations within three climatic regions. Science 285, 1071–1073.
Timmermann, A., J. Oberhuber, A. Bacher, M. Esch, M. Latiff and E. Roeckner (1999). Increased El Nino frequency in a climate model forced by future greenhouse warming. Nature, 398(6729):694–697.
Tong H, I Yeung (1988) On tests for SETAR-type non-linearity in partially observed time series. Tech. Rep., Institute of Mathematics, University of Kent.
Trenberth, K.E. (1998) Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: Implications for rainfall rates and climate change. Clim. Change, 39(4):667–694.
Trenberth, K.E. and T.J. Hoar (1996) The 1990–1995 El Nino-Southern Oscillation event: Longest on record. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23(1):57–60.
Trenberth KE, and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmospheric-ocean variations in the Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 9, 303–309.
Trenberth KE, GW Branstator, D Karoly, A Kumar, N Clau, C Ropelewski (1998) Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 14291–14324.
Thompson DJ and JM Wallace (2002) Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability. J. Climate, in press.
Thompson DJ, JM Wallace, G Hegerl (2002) Annular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part II: Trends. Journal of Climate, in press
Torrence, C. and G.P. Compo (1998). A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79(1):61–78.
Torrence, C. and P. Webster (1998). The annual cycle of persistence in the El Nino/Southern Oscillation. Quat. J. of the Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 124(550-part B):1985–2004.
Tziperman E, L Stone, H Jarosh, MA Cane, Science 264, 74–74 (1994)
van Loon H, RA Madden (1981) The Southern Oscillation. Part I: Global associations with pressure and temperature in northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 1150–1162.
van Loon H, JC Rogers (1981) The Southern Oscillation. Part II: associations with changes in the middle troposphere in the northern winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 1163–1168.
von Storch H, HA Kruse (1985) Extra-tropical atmospheric response to El Niño events. Tellus 37A, 361–377.
von Storch H, E Zorita, U Cubasch (1993) Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: an application to Iberian rainfall in wintertime. J. Clim. 6, 1161–1171.
Wallace JM, DS Gutzler (1981) Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the northern hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev. 109, 784–812.
Wallace, J.M., E.M. Rasmusson, T.P. Mitchell, V.E. Kousky, E.S. Sarachik, H. von Storch (1998) The structure and evolution of ENSO-related climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Lessons from TOGA. J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7):14241–14259.
Weare, B.C., A. Navato and R.E. Newell (1976) Empirical orthogonal analysis of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 6:671–678.
Yakir D, S Lev-Yadun, A Zangvil (1996) El Niño and tree ring growth near Jerusalem over the last 20 years. Glob. Change Biol. 2, 97–101.
Zhang, Y., J. M. Wallace and D. S. Battisti, 1997: ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J. Climate, 10, 1004–1020.
Zhang R-H, LM Rohstein, A Busalacchi (1998) Origin of upper-ocean warming and El Niño change on decadal scales in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Nature 391, 879–883.
Zorita E, V Kharin, H von Storch (1992) The atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic area in winter: their interaction and relevance for Iberian precipitation. J. Clim. 5, 1097–1108.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2003 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Rodó, X. (2003). Interactions between the Tropics and Extratropics. In: Rodó, X., Comín, F.A. (eds) Global Climate. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-05285-3_11
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-05285-3_11
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-07856-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-662-05285-3
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive