Abstract
Since World War II there has been a remarkable proliferation in the use of mathematical modeling under the labels of systems analysis, decision analysis, operations analysis, management science, and policy analysis. Technology forecasting, impact, and transfer have also reflected the trend. However, serious limitations are inherent in these reductionist approaches and they have created a serious gap between the model and the real-world decision maker. This discussion focuses on the problem and a means to overcome it.
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Linstone, H.A. (1991). Multiple Perspectives on Technological Diffusion: Insights and Lessons. In: Nakićenović, N., Grübler, A. (eds) Diffusion of Technologies and Social Behavior. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02700-4_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02700-4_4
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