Abstract
A methodology used to forecast freight transport demand, based on the use of Input-Output models, is presented. The methodology has been developped in the framework of a study carried out in Italy in order to evaluate alternative transportation policies. After a short discussion of the issue of freight transport in Italy, this paper reviews the fundamental hypotheses of the study, the models utilized, the simulation procedures and some of the preliminary results already obtained.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Administrative Management Agency (1984), 1980 Input-Output Tables (English Summary), Tokio, Government of Japan.
Andersson A. (1986), The Four Logistical Revolutions, Paper of the Regional Science Association, vol. 59: 1–12.
Costa P. (1987), Prospettive a lungo termine dell’economia italiana. Esplorazioni con un modello multisettoriale dinamico, CNR. Progetto finalizzato Economia, working paper, CUOA, Altavilla Vicentina (VI).
Costa P. and Martellato D. (1987), Intereg: un modello multisettoriale multiregionale per l’Italia in Ricerche quantitative e basi statistiche per la politica economica, Roma, Banca d’Italia: 1–47.
Duchin F. and Szyld D. (1985), A Dynamic Input-Output Model with Assured Positive Outputs, Metroeconomica, vol. 47: 269–282.
Friesz T. and Harker P. (1985), Freight network equilibrium: a review of the state of the art, in Daughety A. F. (ed.) Analytical studies in transport economics, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.
IFO Institut (1981), Europa-Transport. Analyse and Ausschiften. Erste Jahres Bericht, Muenchen.
Leontief W. (1953), Dynamic Analysis in Leontief W. Studies in the Structure of the American Economy, White Plains, N.Y., IASP.
Leontief W. and Duchin F. (1986), The Future Impact of Automation on Workers, New York, Oxford University Press.
Leontief W. and Costa P. (1986), Trasporti ed economia italiana oltre il 2000: un approccio input-output, 3a Conferenza Nazionale dei Trasporti. Roma (mimeo).
Liew C.K. and Liew C.J. (1984), Measuring the Development Impact of a Proposed Transportation System Regional Science and Urban Economics, vol. 14: 175–198.
Martellato D. and Scandola M. (1986), Grado di apertura ed attivazione in un modello interregionale per l’Italia, Ricerche Economiche, vol. XL: 328–359.
Ministero dei Trasporti (1986), Conto nazionale dei trasporti (anno 1984 ), Roma, Istituto poligrafico e Zecca dello Stato.
Ministero dei Trasporti (1986), Il mercato dei trasporti nei traffici con l’estero, Roma (mimeo).
Piano Generale dei Trasporti (1986), D.P.C.M. 10 April 1986, Gazzetta Ufficiale, n. 36, 15 May 1987.
Roberts P. and Kresge D. (1968), Transport for Economic and Social Development. Simulation of Transport Policy Alternatives for Colombia, American Economics Review, Papers and Proceedings: 341–359.
Roberts P., Kresge D. and Meyer J. (1968), An Analysis of Investment Alternatives in the Colombian Transport System, Harvard University, Cambridge Mass (mimeo).
Santeusanio A. (1987), La matrice del capitale. Un tentativo di stima per l’Italia al 1980, paper delivered to the Seminar on “Stime disaggregate dello stock di capitale e modelli dinamici applicati”, CUOA, Altavilla Vicentina (VI).
Sistemi Operativi (1987), Scenari di interazione tra i trasporti ed il resto dell’economia italiana. Gli effetti degli investimenti, Venezia (mimeo).
Skolka J. (ed.) (1982), Compilation of Input-output Tables, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, n. 208, Berlin, Springer-Verlag.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1988 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Costa, P. (1988). Using Input-Output to Forecast Freight Transport Demand. In: Bianco, L., La Bella, A. (eds) Freight Transport Planning and Logistics. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 317. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02551-2_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02551-2_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-50232-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-662-02551-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive