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Der Einfluss von Wahlerfolgen euroskeptischer Parteien

„Ansteckungsgefahr“ für die etablierten Parteien und ihre Positionen zur EU?

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Zusammenfassung

Verschiedene Fallstudien suggerieren, dass antieuropäische Parteien einen Einfluss auf die Positionierung etablierter Parteien zur europäischen Integration haben. Eine systematisch-vergleichende Auseinandersetzung mit der Frage, ob etablierte Parteien auf euroskeptische Parteien reagieren, hat es allerdings noch nicht gegeben. Daher prüft dieser Beitrag mit einem komparativen Forschungsdesign, ob Wahlerfolge von euroskeptischen Herausforder-Parteien, die Positionen etablierter Parteien zur europäischen Integration in Westeuropa negativ beeinflussen. Auf Basis der Daten von Expertenumfragen wird gezeigt, dass Wahlerfolge von euroskeptischen Herausforderer-Parteien Positionsänderungen zum EU-Thema bei etablierten Parteien herbeiführen können. Dies trifft allerdings nur zu, wenn euroskeptische Herausforderer in jenem Land das EU-Thema für wichtig halten. Die Ergebnisse zeigen außerdem, dass Mitte-Links-Parteien sowohl auf Wahlerfolge von links- als auch rechtsradikalen euroskeptischen Parteien reagieren. Mitte-Rechts-Parteien sind hingegen nur für rechtsradikalen Euroskeptizismus empfänglich.

Abstract

Several case studies have suggested that anti-European parties can induce positional shifts among mainstream parties on the issue of European integration. This chapter aims to investigate with a systematic comparative design whether the support for Eurosceptic challenger parties indeed influences mainstream party position change on European integration in Western Europe. Using expert survey data it is demonstrated that Eurosceptic challenger support is capable of influencing mainstream position shifts on European integration provided that, on average, EU issues are regarded as important by the Eurosceptic challengers. Moreover, the centre-left is more affected by Eurosceptic contagion since it reacts to both radical right and radical left Eurosceptic success, whereas the centre-right is only susceptible to radical right success.

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Meijers, M.J. (2018). Der Einfluss von Wahlerfolgen euroskeptischer Parteien. In: Anders, L., Scheller, H., Tuntschew, T. (eds) Parteien und die Politisierung der Europäischen Union. Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft. Springer VS, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-19283-9_5

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